LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja Prediction 12 July 2026
🔊 LDU Quito approach this fixture from a stronger position in the table and with consistent form on their side. The team remain firmly in the hunt for international tournament spots, with their main objective this season being to maintain their place among the league leaders. Libertad, meanwhile, sit much lower in the standings, struggling through a poor run of defeats and with little motivation left in the competition. This match-up gains extra intrigue from the contrast between the hosts’ reliability and the visitors’ instability.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 08 March 2026 and ended in a 2-1 result. Here's a statistical breakdown of that encounter (Libertad were the home team):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between LDU Quito and Libertad:
- 9 matches played;
- Home side have won 6, away side 2, with 1 draw;
- Goals scored - 19 for the hosts, 10 for the visitors;
- Average goals in the first half - 1.33, in the second half - 1.89;
- Average total goals per match - 3.22.
Head-to-head statistics LDU Quito - Libertad Loja
LDU Quito Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Ecuador Cup, with SD Alianza Cotopaxi hosting LDU Quito. The game ended 1-1, with LDU Quito claiming victory in the penalty shootout.
Here are the key match stats (LDU Quito vs SD Alianza Cotopaxi):
- Possession: 57% vs 43%;
- Corners: 8 vs 2;
- Fouls: 16 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 5.
LDU Quito have displayed consistency in their results and composure at the back. With seven wins in their last ten outings, they’ve shown real resilience, while conceding an average of just 0.9 goals per game-a testament to their defensive organization. Over their previous five matches, LDU have picked up three victories, alongside a draw and a single defeat, maintaining their competitive edge despite a packed fixture list. In terms of their league ambitions, LDU remain among the frontrunners and are motivated to secure a top-three finish, though this stage of the campaign doesn’t demand taking unnecessary risks. At the same time, their attacking threat at home is evident: averaging 1.6 goals per match, they consistently put opponents under pressure in the final third.
Match Results: LDU Quito
Libertad Loja Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A, facing off against Libertad away from home. Leonés del Norte came away with a 3-1 victory.
Here’s how the key stats broke down (Libertad vs Leonés del Norte):
- Possession: 40% vs 60%;
- Corners: 2 vs 7;
- Fouls committed: 16 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Libertad head into this fixture off the back of a tough stretch, managing just two wins and suffering seven defeats in their last ten outings. Defensive frailties have been a recurring issue-Libertad are conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match over this span, which has taken a toll on their consistency. Despite their struggles and a lack of motivation in the league standings this season, Libertad still find the net regularly, even against stronger opponents. Recent matches have frequently seen both teams score, underlining this trend. On average, Libertad score one goal per game, but their defensive vulnerabilities mean their matches tend to be high-scoring affairs.
Match Results: Libertad Loja
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 8 vs 4;
- win percentage: 47% vs 24%;
- losses: 6 vs 8;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 7;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- LDU Quito have won in last 5 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.11, the guests - 1.11;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.22;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja
- average total in the tournament: 1.94 vs 2.47;
- average total goals scored: 1.12 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.41 vs 0.35;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 0.65;
- LDU Quito: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Libertad Loja: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2.2) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 22 of last 24 LDU Quito games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 21 of last 22 LDU Quito games (Serie A).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 LDU Quito home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 10 LDU Quito home games (Serie A).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Libertad Loja away games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Libertad Loja away games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
LDU Quito: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.47; at home field - 6.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; at home field - 7.
Libertad Loja: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.76, away - 3.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 2.33.
- LDU Quito have taken under 6.5 corners in 12 of last 14 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for LDU Quito at home - 2 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for LDU Quito at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 4 (67%).
- Libertad Loja have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (24/136, 17.6%);
- LDU Quito at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Libertad Loja away most often play: 2:1 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.99% (odds 5.44)
2:0 - 12.42% (odds 5.27)
2:1 - 9.95% (odds 6.93)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The match is shaped by a clear imbalance: LDU Quito’s stability contrasts sharply with Libertad’s defensive frailties. However, it’s the visitors’ recent form that sets the tone for this encounter. Despite having little at stake in the standings, Libertad consistently find the net-even against top opposition-which is evident from both teams scoring in six of their last seven outings. The hosts boast a confident home attack and a well-organized setup, making it reasonable to expect at least one goal from each side. Even with the gap in quality, the stats point to a high likelihood of goals at both ends. The pick: Both teams to score.
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Betting Tips: LDU Quito - Libertad Loja
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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