Nagoya vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction 5 July 2025
🔊 In the 23rd round of the Japanese Championship, Nagoya Grampus face off against Tokyo Verdy. Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the standings, yet their current form and attacking potential promise an exciting match. Nagoya have been impressive at home, consistently scoring over 1.5 goals in most of their recent home games, posing a serious threat to any opponent. Meanwhile, Tokyo Verdy are eager to improve their away record to climb higher in the table and find some stability. Both sides are motivated to secure a result, and this encounter is likely to be packed with attacking plays from both teams.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 15 March 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Tokyo Verdy were the home side):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Nagoya Grampus and Tokyo Verdy:
- 13 matches played;
- home victories - 3, away wins - 7, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 20 for Nagoya, 26 for Tokyo;
- average total in the first half - 1.92, second half - 1.62;
- average total goals per match - 3.54.
Head-to-head statistics Nagoya - Tokyo Verdy

Nagoya Grampus Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the J1 League, featuring Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the home side against Nagoya Grampus. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
🔴 Nagoya Grampus are in a consistent run of form, securing five wins and suffering just one defeat in their last ten matches. On average, the club scores 1.27 goals per game while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.7 goals over the same period. 🟠 Nagoya's gameplay revolves around ball control and an emphasis on attacking, particularly when playing at home. Matches at their stadium frequently see over 1.5 goals, making them a formidable opponent for any rival. ⚪ In their most recent head-to-head with Tokyo Verdy, Nagoya suffered a 1-2 defeat. This should serve as extra motivation for the hosts to seek revenge on their home turf, backed by their passionate supporters.
Match Results: Nagoya Grampus

Tokyo Verdy Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place on in the J-League 1, with Tokyo Verdy hosting Kawasaki Frontale. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 19 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
🟢 The "Greens" are pushing to climb up the league standings despite a string of mixed results. With four wins and five losses in their last ten matches across all competitions, the team's inconsistency is evident. ⚪ Their playstyle relies on quick counterattacks, but their average scoring rate is underwhelming-just 0.68 goals per game while conceding around one. Nonetheless, Tokyo Verdy have the ability to surprise opponents with unexpected bursts of energy, particularly when underestimated.
Match Results: Tokyo Verdy
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 13;
- First-half wins at home - 3; away - 3; draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.92;
- Today's home side averages 1.15 goals, while the visitors average 0.77.
First-Half Stats: Nagoya Grampus (home) vs Tokyo Verdy (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 11;
- Wins: 2 (20%) vs 1 (9.09%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- Draws: 8 (80%) vs 8 (72.73%);
- Average goals scored: 0.6 vs 0.91;
- Average goals conceded: 0.2 vs 0.64.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 4;
- Losses: 1 vs 2;
- Draws: 7 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.5 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5).
- Nagoya Grampus have drawn the first half at home in their last 6 matches.
- Nagoya Grampus have drawn the first half at home in their last 5 matches (J1 League).
- Tokyo Verdy have drawn the first half away in 8 of their last 9 matches (J1 League).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- Home team wins - 3, Away team wins - 7, Draws - 3.
Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy
- Matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Wins: 7 vs 7;
- Win percentage: 32% vs 32%;
- Losses: 9 vs 9;
- Draws: 6 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 1 vs 5;
- Draws: 4 vs 1.
- Nagoya Grampus are unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Nagoya Grampus have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 J-League 1 matches.
- Nagoya Grampus are undefeated at home in 7 of their last 8 J-League 1 matches.
- Tokyo Verdy have failed to win away in 8 of their last 9 J-League 1 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team scores an average of - 1.54, the visitors - 2;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.54;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 9 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy
- Average total in the tournament: 2.64 vs 1.73;
- Average goals scored: 1.27 vs 0.68;
- Average first-half total: 0.41 vs 0.32;
- Average second-half total: 0.86 vs 0.36;
- Nagoya Grampus: Average home total in the tournament - 1.6;
- Tokyo Verdy: Average away total in the tournament - 0.55;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.8) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Nagoya Grampus have scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters against these opponents.
- Nagoya Grampus have scored less than 1.5 goals in their last 6 consecutive head-to-head matches in J-League 1.
Corners Prediction
Nagoya Grampus: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 3.95; at home - 4.7;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.7; at home - 6.4.
Tokyo Verdy: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 4, away - 3.18;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.7; away - 4.4.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 1.08 (0.54 for the home team and 0.54 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 1.16 (0.83 for the home team and 0.33 for the visitors).
Nagoya Grampus: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 1.36; at home - 1.2;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.3; at home - 1.
Tokyo Verdy: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 1.14, away - 1;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 0.7; away - 0.4.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 9 times;
- At the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy
- Total matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): Nagoya Grampus - 15, Tokyo Verdy - 5;
- Nagoya Grampus BTTS at home - 7 (70%);
- Tokyo Verdy BTTS away - 3 (27%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Nagoya Grampus - 6, Tokyo Verdy - 4;
- Nagoya Grampus BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Tokyo Verdy BTTS away - 3 (60%).
- Nagoya Grampus have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 J-League 1 matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering Nagoya consistently performs as a strong home team with impressive scoring ability, and taking into account Tokyo Verdy's recent trend of low scoring in their last 10 matches (scoring less than 1.5 goals in 8 of them), a well-founded prediction would be to bet on the visitors' individual total being under 1.5 goals. However, the odds for this outcome are understandably low, so we suggest an alternative option: betting on a total over 1.5 goals in the match. Nagoya are solid at home, while Tokyo Verdy are particularly vulnerable defensively on the road. The predicted score is 2-0 in favor of Nagoya.