Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka Prediction 5 July 2025
๐Fans are gearing up for an exhilarating derby between Cerezo and Gamba Osaka. Both teams are eager to solidify their positions in the league, but Cerezo are on a roll with their impressive home form, winning their last six matches. The club has been prolific, scoring more than 1.5 goals in their last five home games, while Gamba are struggling with consistency in their results. However, their attacking play could pose challenges for their opponents. Both squads are nearly at full strength, promising an intriguing contest.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams took place on 14 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2-5. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Gamba Osaka were the home side):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 2 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
๐Analytical review of past official matches between Cerezo Osaka and Gamba Osaka:
- 47 matches played;
- home wins - 17, away wins - 19, draws - 11;
- goals scored (home/away) - 65 to 77;
- average total goals per match - 3.02.
Head-to-head statistics Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka

Cerezo Osaka Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the J1 League (home team - Cerezo Osaka, away team - Tokyo Verdy). The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Cerezo Osaka are showing consistent form at home and currently sit ninth in the J1 League standings. The team is known for its balanced style of play, effectively controlling possession while executing swift counterattacks. In their last ten matches, the club has secured six wins and suffered two losses, averaging 2.3 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.3. Their trend of games going over 2.5 goals underscores a tendency towards open play and high scoring.
Match Results: Cerezo Osaka

Gamba Osaka Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the J1 League, with Kyoto Sanga as the home team and Gamba Osaka as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga):
- possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Gamba Osaka currently sit in twelfth place, striving to climb the standings after a shaky start to the season. Their last ten matches have been a mixed bag, featuring three wins and five losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored per game and an equal number conceded. Gamba are attempting to offset their lack of aggression with solid defense, but inconsistency has hindered their ability to rise higher in the league table.
Match Results: Gamba Osaka
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 19, draws - 11.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 9 vs 8;
- win percentage: 41% vs 36%;
- losses: 7 vs 10;
- draws: 6 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Cerezo Osaka have not lost in 11 of last 12 home games.
- Cerezo Osaka have not lost in 9 of last 10 home games (J1 League).
- Cerezo Osaka have not lost in 8 of last 9 games (J1 League).
- Gamba Osaka have not won in 9 of last 10 away games (J1 League).
- Gamba Osaka have not won in 7 of last 8 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.38, the guests - 1.64;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.02;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka
- average total in the tournament: 2.86 vs 2.55;
- average total goals scored: 1.55 vs 1.18;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.77 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.64;
- Cerezo Osaka: average total at home in the tournament - 1.55;
- Gamba Osaka: average total away in the tournament - 0.92;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 3.4) vs 1.1 (away - 1.17).
- Cerezo Osaka have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 home games.
Prediction on corners
Cerezo Osaka: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.36; at home field - 6.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; at home field - 7.
Gamba Osaka: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.82, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 4.83.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.24 (0.62 for home team and 0.62 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.13 (0.35 for home team and 0.78 for away team).
Cerezo Osaka: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.09; at home - 1.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; at home - 1.2.
Gamba Osaka: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.05, away - 1.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.9; away - 1.33.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
- on the home teamโs field - 14 times.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka at home - 8 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Gamba Osaka away - 5 (42%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Gamba Osaka away - 4 (67%).
โญ Editorial Prediction
Cerezo Osaka are the favorites for the upcoming match, bolstered by their impressive home form and recent successes against teams in the lower half of the league table. Considering the current trends of both teams, including the high likelihood of plenty of goals from the home side, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems to be the most reasonable option. This trend has come through in Cerezo Osaka's last six consecutive matches.