Freiburg vs Dortmund Prediction 5 April 2025
🔊 Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund are gearing up for an intense Bundesliga showdown. Both teams are eager to climb the league table, with the hosts currently in seventh place and the visitors sitting in tenth. Given Dortmund's attacking prowess and their tendency to score more than 1.5 goals in recent head-to-heads, we can anticipate an entertaining match.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund:
- 34 matches played;
- home victories - 5, away victories - 24, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 30 for Freiburg, 87 for Dortmund;
- average total in the first half - 1.53, second half - 1.91;
- average total goals per match - 3.44.
The last game took place on 23 November 2024 at Borussia Dortmund's ground and ended with a 4-0 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Freiburg - Dortmund
Freiburg Team Overview
⚫ Freiburg currently hold the seventh spot in this Bundesliga season, showcasing consistent form with four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten matches. The team excels in controlling games at home, averaging 1.37 goals per match while conceding an average of 1.48. Notably, the "Breisgau Brazilians" remain unbeaten in seven of their last eight home league games.
🔗 A home defeat to Union Berlin in the previous round (1-2) ended Freiburg's seven-match unbeaten streak (four wins and three draws). Julian Schuster's squad has conceded two goals in each of their last two games. Prior to that, Noah Atubolu kept clean sheets in six consecutive matches. The injured Freiburg goalkeeper has a total of 10 clean sheets in the Bundesliga, second only to Neuer's 11.
❌ First-choice goalkeeper Noah Atubolu is sidelined with a shoulder injury, and Florian Müller will step in between the posts. Long-term absentees due to injuries include Kiere (attacking midfielder) and Ogbous (central defender). It remains uncertain whether Merlin Röhl (attacking midfielder) will be fit to play.
Match Results: Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 Borussia Dortmund are renowned for their vibrant attacking play, boasting an average of 1.78 goals per Bundesliga match this season. Out of their last ten games, Dortmund have secured five victories, suffered three defeats, and drawn twice. However, their defensive frailties on the road are noteworthy, as the Black and Yellows concede in nearly every away game.
🔝 Three Borussia players made it to Transfermarkt's Team of the Week for the 27th Bundesliga round: Nico Schlotterbeck, Emre Can, and Maximilian Bayer. Center-back Nico Schlotterbeck provided two assists from corner kicks in their 3-1 win over Mainz.
❌ Rami Bensebaini is the most likely replacement for the suspended Nico Schlotterbeck at left center-back for Saturday’s clash against Freiburg. Leading striker Serhou Guirassy is expected to return to the starting lineup, while central midfielder Nmecha should be available for selection. Additionally, backup right-back Yan Couto will miss the game due to yellow card accumulation, and Marcel Sabitzer is sidelined with a knee injury.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 24, draws - 5.
Statistics: Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of wins: 12 vs 11;
- win percentage: 44% vs 41%;
- number of losses: 9 vs 11;
- number of draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of draws: 3 vs 2.
- Freiburg has lost the 2nd half in each of their last 6 Bundesliga games against Borussia Dortmund.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.88, the guests - 2.56;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.44;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund
- average total in the tournament: 2.85 vs 3.33;
- average total goals scored: 1.37 vs 1.78;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.78;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.81 vs 1;
- Freiburg: average total at home in the tournament - 1.92;
- Borussia Dortmund: average total away in the tournament - 1.08;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.6) vs 1.7 (away - 1.4).
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in each of the last 9 Freiburg in the Bundesliga games against Borussia Dortmund.
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in each of the last 6 Freiburg in the Bundesliga home games against Borussia Dortmund.
Prediction on corners
Freiburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.93; at home field - 4.62;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; at home field - 3.2.
Borussia Dortmund: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.93, away - 5.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; away - 6.4.
- Borussia Dortmund has taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 Bundesliga games against Freiburg.
- Borussia Dortmund has taken over 4.5 corners in 16 of the last 18 games.
- Borussia Dortmund has taken over 4.5 corners in 11 of the last 12 Bundesliga games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2 (1 for home team and 1 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.59 (1 for home team and 1.59 for away team).
Freiburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.44; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 2.8.
Borussia Dortmund: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 2.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; away - 1.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Freiburg at home - 8 (62%);
- number of BTTS matches for Borussia Dortmund away - 8 (62%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Freiburg at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Borussia Dortmund away - 1 (20%).
- Freiburg has scored and conceded in each of their last 5 Bundesliga home games against Borussia Dortmund.
Editor's Prediction
The upcoming match promises a clash of styles: the hosts' cautious ball control against Dortmund's aggressive attacking play. In this context, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems reasonable, as this has been the outcome in the last nine consecutive Bundesliga head-to-heads between these teams. We believe there will be even more goals, but prefer not to take excessive risks.
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Betting Tips: Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund
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