Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction 5 April 2025
πIn the upcoming Serie A Matchday 31 clash, AC Milan and Fiorentina, who sit next to each other in the league standings, are set to deliver an exciting display of football. Both clubs are eager to leverage their strengths: the hosts are highly effective on home turf, while the visitors consistently perform well on the road. Bookmakers' odds suggest a slight edge for the home side, yet both teams have the potential to surprise with their intensity and attacking prowess.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical preview of the official encounters between Milan and Fiorentina:
- 35 matches played;
- home victories - 18, away wins - 10, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 48 against 37;
- average total in the first half - 0.94, second half - 1.49;
- average total goals per match - 2.43.
The last game took place on 06 October 2024 at Fiorentina's ground and ended with a score of 2-1.
Head-to-head statistics Milan - Fiorentina
Milan Team Overview
AC Milan have been delivering mixed performances this season. The team currently sits in 9th place in the Serie A standings with 13 wins to their name. Despite their fluctuating form, they have been strong at home, remaining unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 matches. On average, they score 1.5 goals per game and concede at the same rate, making them a formidable opponent for any team. However, their defense has been lacking, as they have conceded in each of their last seven games, which could be a critical issue against an attacking Fiorentina side.
In recent weeks, the club's management has expressed dissatisfaction with the team's current results. Despite clinching the Italian Super Cup in January, head coach Sérgio Conceição finds himself under threat of dismissal. Roberto De Zerbi is among the potential candidates considered to replace him.
Additionally, the team will not be at full strength on the pitch. They will be missing three players, although these absences are not deemed significant: Alex JimΓ©nez, Emerson Royal, and Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
Match Results: Milan
Fiorentina Team Overview
Fiorentina continue their push for higher standings. The "Viola" are currently in eighth place on the league table, thanks to their impressive form-five wins out of their last ten games speak volumes. Their consistent attack allows them to score around 1.57 goals per match, but their defense needs attention given they concede an average of 1 goal. Their away games tend to be low-scoring affairs, with less than one and a half goals scored in most encounters with Milan.
On March 30, Fiorentina secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Atalanta, one of the title contenders. The only goal of the match was scored by Moise Kean in the 45th minute. This win allowed the "Viola" to edge closer to the European competition spots, reducing their gap with Roma to just one point.
Despite the team's promising form, several players remain sidelined. Andrea Colpani, Edoardo Bove, and Robin Gosens are out due to injuries.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- home team wins - 18, away team wins - 10, draws - 7.
Statistics: Milan vs Fiorentina
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of wins: 13 vs 15;
- win percentage: 43% vs 50%;
- number of losses: 9 vs 9;
- number of draws: 8 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 5;
- number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- number of draws: 2 vs 0.
- Milan has not lost in 14 of the last 15 home games.
- Milan has not lost in 9 of the last 10 Serie A home games.
- Fiorentina has not won in 8 of the last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.37, the guests - 1.06;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Milan vs Fiorentina
- average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 2.57;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.57;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.87;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.83 vs 0.7;
- Milan: average total at home in the tournament - 1.53;
- Fiorentina: average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
- Milan has conceded in each of their last 7 games.
- Fiorentina has scored in 7 of the last 8 away games.
Prediction on corners
Milan: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.93; at home field - 6.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 4.2.
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.93, away - 3.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 3.
- Milan has taken under 5.5 corners in each of their last 5 Serie A home games against Fiorentina.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.4 (2.2 for home team and 2.2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.53 (1.88 for home team and 2.65 for away team).
Milan: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.53; at home - 1.53;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 3.
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.9, away - 2.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 2.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 8 times.
Statistics: Milan vs Fiorentina
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Milan at home - 7 (47%);
- number of BTTS matches for Fiorentina away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Milan at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Fiorentina away - 3 (75%).
- Milan has scored and conceded in each of their last 7 games.
- Milan has scored and conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A games.
- Fiorentina has scored and conceded in 7 of the last 8 away games.
Editor's Prediction
Based on team statistics and recent trends, it's reasonable to expect a high level of activity from both Milan and Fiorentina, with both sides aiming for success through offensive play. Milan and Fiorentina are in the hunt for European spots, so neither will be content to share the points. The recommended prediction is total goals over 2.5. This bet has hit in six consecutive Serie A matches involving the Rossoneri.
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Betting Tips: Milan - Fiorentina
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in 9 of last 10 Giovanni Ayroldi games.in 7 of last 8 Giovanni Ayroldi games (in the Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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