PSG vs Liverpool Prediction

    🔊 Can PSG knock out Liverpool in the Champions League Round of 16? The team from Paris has gained great momentum and seems ready to challenge Liverpool - one of the tournament favorites. In the first match, which will take place at the "Parc des Princes," bookmakers favor the hosts. However, the difference in odds is quite small, so a close contest can be expected. In such a situation, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal. It should be noted that the winner of this pair will face either Club Brugge or Aston Villa in the next round, meaning the road to the semifinals is open.

    Head-to-Head

    The opponents met in the group stage of the Champions League in the 2018/19 season. Liverpool was stronger at Anfield (3:2), managing to secure the victory only in stoppage time. However, in the second leg, PSG took revenge (2:1). As a result, both teams were able to advance to the playoffs.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    67%
    4 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    33%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    6
    Total Goals Avg
    2.33
    Both teams scored
    33%
    1.5
    Total average
    0.83
    5.17
    Corner
    6.83
    0.83
    Yellow cards
    2.17
    8
    Fouls
    12.83
    Last matches
    14.04.26
    UCL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.31
    1.11
    8
    2
    9
    10
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    2.31
    1.11
    8
    2
    9
    10
    2
    0
    08.04.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.87
    0.26
    3
    1
    8
    12
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.87
    0.26
    3
    1
    8
    12
    0
    2
    11.03.25
    UCL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.59
    2.13
    12
    6
    14
    6
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    4
    1.59
    2.13
    12
    6
    14
    6
    1
    1
    05.03.25
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Liverpool FC
    Liverpool FC
    1.86
    0.25
    14
    2
    3
    7
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.86
    0.25
    14
    2
    3
    7
    1
    1
    28.11.18
    UCL
    PSG
    PSG
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    -
    -
    -
    -
    13
    21
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    13
    21
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    PSG has not lost to anyone for more than three months. Their last defeat was against Bayern in Munich (0:1), and that match included a sending-off for the Parisians. Since then, they have only dropped points a few times in Ligue 1. In January, Luis Enrique's team drew with Reims (1:1) - their only slip-up since the beginning of 2025. For example, PSG easily overcame Brest in the Champions League knockout matches, scoring 10 unanswered goals. One of them was scored by Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who became the club's main acquisition in January. Recently, the team emphasized their excellent form by thrashing Lille (4:1). Notably, all goals were scored in the first half. It is worth mentioning that PSG is preparing for the upcoming match with a full squad.

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    3
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Liverpool FC Team Overview

    Liverpool this season looks almost unbeatable. The defeats to PSV in the Champions League and to Plymouth in the FA Cup should be set aside, as the lineup was far from the main one. The only slip in the English Premier League happened in the match against Nottingham Forest (0:1), which converted almost the only chance. Recently, the Merseysiders have lost quite a few points, but they still increased their lead over Arsenal. It seems that nothing can stop them from winning the championship in England. Moreover, in recent matches, Arne Slot's team confidently handled Manchester City (2:0) and Newcastle (2:0). Due to being knocked out of the FA Cup, Liverpool had a rest last weekend, which might positively affect the match against PSG. In the upcoming game, Bradley and Gomez will not play due to injuries, but they are not part of the main squad. Also, Amara Nallo received a red card in the match against PSV; however, he was unlikely to be planned even as a substitute.

    Match Results: Liverpool FC

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Brentford
    Brentford
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    D
    15.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    L
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The main referee for the match is Davide Massa (Italy), who has officiated eight Champions League matches this season, including one involving PSG. Under his supervision, PSG defeated Stuttgart (4:1), and the Italian showed only three yellow cards. His average for the season is even lower at 2.38.

    Liverpool has the advantage in yellow cards in the Champions League (2.1 against 1.1). Meanwhile, matches involving PSG average 3.3 warnings. Considering the referee's statistics, it's worth considering a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Liverpool shows consistency in attack, scoring in almost every match. At least in the Champions League, they have never left the field without a goal. In 11 of their last 12 matches, the Merseysiders have scored at least two goals. PSG's defense is not flawless, and the goalkeeper position seems the least reliable. Therefore, a bet on Liverpool's total goals over 1.5 looks quite profitable.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    PSG has the advantage in corners in the Champions League (6.3 against 4.9). Matches involving these teams average slightly more than nine corners. In 6 of PSG's last 7 games in the current tournament, there were fewer than 11 corner kicks. Therefore, a bet on total corners under 10.5 seems justified.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are in excellent form. They rarely lose this season, and both unbeaten streaks could very well continue, which would require a draw in Paris, a highly likely outcome. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 2:2, which was recorded in 2 of Liverpool's last 5 matches.

    Mohamed Salah is in great form, possibly playing his last season at Liverpool, and his presence on the field almost guarantees at least one goal. On the other hand, PSG is on a roll, scoring at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. Therefore, we expect a high-scoring encounter and choose total goals over 2.5 as the key bet.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -208*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 March 2025, 20:24)

    Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool FC

    Paris Saint-Germain have won the 2nd half
    paris-saint-germain-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    2nd Half Paris Saint-Germain Win
    +177
    Liverpool FC have won
    liverpool-fc-1in 7 of last 8 games (Champions League).
    Liverpool FC Win
    Bovada
    +185
    Paris Saint-Germain have won
    paris-saint-germain-1in 15 of last 16 games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 7 of last 8 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 5 games (Champions League).
    Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Bovada
    +140
    Liverpool FC have not lost
    liverpool-fc-1in 7 of last 8 games (Champions League).
    Liverpool FC will not lose
    -172
    View more facts

    PSG - Liverpool Table position

    UEFA Champions League 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    870117-521
    2.
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    861128-1319
    3.
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    861116-319
    14.
    PSV
    PSV
    842216-1214
    15.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    841314-913
    16.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    841316-1213

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 12
    +8
    -6
    13 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    13
    12
    Conceded
    19
    3.2
    Match goals average
    3.2
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats