Lecce vs Genoa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 January 2025

🔊 Can Genoa finish another game with points? In the span of the last 8 matches, the "griffon" has suffered only 1 defeat, losing by just one goal to a strong Napoli (1-2). However, it is important not to underestimate Lecce, who have been showing quite vibrant football lately. Moreover, the upcoming match will take place at "Via del Mare". In this situation, we will try to analyze all the details to provide you with an accurate prediction for one of the most unpredictable games of the 19th round of Serie A.

📊 Head-to-head

In head-to-head confrontations, Genoa holds a slight advantage. In a span of 20 matches, Lecce achieved the desired result in 5 cases, whereas the "griffon" recorded 10 victories. Last season, the teams exchanged home victories. First, the "Salentians," thanks to a numerical advantage from the middle of the first half, won with a minimal difference (1-0), and then Genoa upset their opponent with a score of 2-1.

🟡 Lecce

Despite an overall successful December, Lecce cannot count the results of the last two rounds as positive. After a home defeat by Lazio (1-2), the team found themselves powerless in a head-to-head match against Como (0-2). Over 90 minutes, the "Salentians" managed only 1 shot on goal and did not create a single scoring chance at the opponent's net. Notably, Lecce became only the second club in this Serie A season that failed to score against Como's goalkeeper. Due to these two defeats, Marco Giampaolo's side once again found themselves dangerously close to the relegation zone - the gap from the eighteenth place is only 2 points. In the upcoming confrontation, 6 players will be unable to participate, including key defender Kialondo Gaspar.

🔵 Genoa

Genoa, on the other hand, continues to climb up the league table. In the last 8 matches, the team has earned 13 points and is positioned thirteenth in Serie A. Moreover, the "griffon" ended 2024 on a high note. In the previous round, Genoa defeated a tough opponent like Empoli away (2-1), who had long been known for their reliable defense. Special praise goes to Nicola Leali. The 31-year-old Italian successfully replaced the injured Pierluigi Gollini and continues to be the main goalkeeper even after his recovery, making 7 saves and stopping a penalty against the "blues." Regarding the upcoming confrontation, Patrick Vieira will not be able to count on 4 players, including Ruslan Malinovskyi and Junior Messias.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

In the upcoming confrontation, do not expect an abundance of goals. Firstly, Lecce and Genoa are not known for their attacking play and rank last in Serie A in terms of goals scored (11 and 16 respectively). Secondly, in matches involving Patrick Vieira's side, more than 2 goals are rarely scored. This trend is observed in at least 6 out of the last 9 games. Therefore, our betting option is total under 2.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Another similarity between Lecce and Genoa is that both teams rarely earn set pieces near their opponent's goal. For example, Patrick Vieira's team averages 3.9 corners per game. The "Salentians" rank second to last in this statistical category (3.6). Only Venezia has lower numbers (3.4). In such a situation, you can bet on total corners under 9.5.

📝 Editorial Prediction

According to bookmakers, both teams have roughly equal chances of winning in the upcoming confrontation. However, we completely disagree with them. Firstly, Genoa is in excellent form. Patrick Vieira has managed to instill a style of play in his players that allows the team to score points in almost every match. The team from Genoa lacked a bit of luck to draw their recent game against Napoli (1-2). Secondly, Lecce shows weaker results at home compared to the "griffon" away. The "Salentians" managed to earn 12 points in 9 matches, whereas the French coach's team earned 13 points in 8 games. Despite believing in a victory for the visitors, we advise considering a more reliable bet - Genoa will not lose. We believe the match will end with a score of 0-1.