Lyon vs Montpellier Prediction 4 January 2025

🔊 What are the chances of witnessing an upset at “Parc Olympique Lyonnais”? In the 16th round of Ligue 1, the local team hosts guests from Montpellier. The hosts are among the leaders of the championship, while their opponent is at the bottom of the standings. It immediately becomes clear who has more chances to succeed. However, the status of the favorite still needs to be justified, as Montpellier occasionally shows its teeth and fights for the opportunity to earn points. Our editorial team has already discussed the teams' prospects in this match in our prediction.

📊 H2H

In head-to-head encounters, the scales tilt towards Lyon, having won six out of the last ten meetings. Interestingly, these teams haven't drawn in a long time, as the other four matches ended with Montpellier's victory. The teams demonstrate incredible scoring ability, with at least three goals scored in each of their last five games. Therefore, we advise considering the option of a Total goals over 2.5.

⚪ Lyon

Bright and aggressive attacking play brings results for Lyon. These guys score in almost every match, rarely limiting themselves to just one goal. Over the past 11 games, they have suffered only one defeat, failing to handle formidable PSG (1:3). However, Olympique Lyon remains in the top-5 and actively fights for a place in next year's Champions League. One of the most productive attacks in the championship (27 goals in 15 games) helps the club on this path.

But at the beginning of 2025, there are also some unpleasant news for Lyon. Besides defender Caleta-Car still being suspended, there are several players who won't help the club in the near future. Defender Tagliafico and forward Nuamah are resting, and midfielder Caqueret and forward Zaha won't play due to injuries.

🟠 Montpellier

Just when it seemed that Montpellier was slowly starting to climb out from the bottom and fight for points in tough matches, the team was hit by a severe crisis again. In the Coupe de France, these guys were knocked out with a score of 0:4 by Le Puy, which can indeed be equated to a disaster. Especially considering that it seems the players are not very concerned about it. This can be judged by the response of club captain Savanier, who is not ashamed of such terrible results because he earns a lot.

A potential light at the end of the tunnel for Montpellier could be an almost empty infirmary. Now only defenders Mincarrelli, Kouyaté, and Julien remain there. However, in midfield and attack, the coaching staff can now experiment and choose the most optimal combinations.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

From Lyon's matches, you always expect something bright and spectacular. Olympique doesn't play boring ball control; these guys create beauty and charge forward. Sometimes they get punished for it, but more often than not, Lyon comes out on top. In their last six matches, no less than three goals have been scored each time, with four times surpassing this mark. Therefore, our editorial team now suggests betting on Total goals over 3.

🚩 Corner Prediction

It's surprising, but Montpellier has very impressive corner kick statistics. Despite many failures, these guys try to attack as often as possible and load the flanks, which gives them a positive corner statistic (5.9 to 4.3). Lyon's stats are almost the same (5.6 to 4). With such numbers, we have every right to expect about five corners from both sides. So we recommend considering the option of Total corners over 9.5.

📝 Match Prediction

Although Montpellier has started managing to hold on for draws, as was the case in two of the last three rounds, they won't be able to count on that at “Parc Olympique Lyonnais”. Lyon is too strong and confident to allow losing points against such a simple opponent. We believe Lyon will win with a score of 3:1.

But what we can definitely expect from this game is end-to-end football. The teams won't hold the ball in midfield; this doesn't fit their style. Therefore, there should be many dangerous moments and goals scored. This trend is evident both in head-to-head meetings between Lyon and Montpellier and in their recent matches separately. Therefore, we advise betting on Total goals over 3.