Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Prediction 6 November 2025
🔊 Who will come out on top in the Moscow derby? The clash between Spartak and Lokomotiv takes place in the quarter-finals of the Russian Cup's RPL Path. The winner will advance to the next round, while the loser will drop into the lower bracket. However, this will only be determined three weeks later when the second leg is played. The first match is set to take place at the "Lukoil Arena". Bookmakers' prediction favor Spartak as the favorites. Yet, Lokomotiv have been delivering better results this season, at least in the league. Therefore, even in the first match, it's not all straightforward.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over a span of 42 head-to-head matches, Spartak hold the edge with a 45 percent win rate. They haven't lost to Lokomotiv at home in any competition since 2017, justifying their status as favorites in the upcoming clash. However, this season the "Railwaymen" managed a 4-2 victory on their home turf. Notably, the "Red-Whites" equalized in the 78th minute, only for Alexey Batrakov to step up and secure the win for his team with a hat-trick.
Even though Lokomotiv haven't beaten Spartak away in a while, they consistently find the net in these encounters. As a result, both teams have scored in 9 out of their last 10 meetings at Spartak's ground. Therefore, a potential betting option could be - both teams to score (yes).
Head-to-head statistics Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow Team Overview
Spartak left a mixed impression during the group stage of the Russian Cup. They managed to defeat Pari NN (4-0) at home, but on the road, they didn't drop any points. Thus, the sixth round was decisive for securing the top spot in the group. To catch up with Dynamo Makhachkala on points and claim first place, they needed a win in regulation time. The visitors conceded in the middle of the first half but managed to equalize and turn the tide in their favor (3-1).
Spartak have only one win in their last four league matches, which has fueled rumors about Dejan Stankovic's potential departure. Negotiations are certainly underway, but no changes are expected at least until the international break. The team has failed to beat any of the top five teams in the league. Most recently, they faced Krasnodar. It can't be said that the Moscow side were significantly worse than their opponents, but at one point, they were trailing by two goals. They made attempts to come back, with Levi Garcia scoring in the 90th minute, but there wasn't enough time for a second goal.
Match Results: Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview
Lokomotiv secured second place in their Russian Cup group, only losing out to CSKA based on head-to-head results. The team had already clinched a spot in the RPL Path playoffs. As a result, their final group match against Baltika was inconsequential. Mikhail Galaktionov opted for maximum rotation, yet his side still managed an away victory (2-1). Despite this, the hosts outperformed in several metrics but struggled with converting chances.
In the RPL, Lokomotiv enjoyed an unbeaten run for a significant period but couldn't cement their place at the top of the standings. Following the conclusion of the Russian Cup group stage, they dropped points in Saransk with a draw against Akron (1-1), which could be attributed to the pitch conditions. However, last weekend, the "train" came to a halt in Saint Petersburg, conceding two unanswered goals to Zenit. Surprisingly, the league's highest-scoring team failed to find the net. This result dropped them to fifth place in the standings, although the top of the table remains tightly contested.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest news
Spartak Moscow
🎤 Dejan Stankovic admitted that the game plan against Krasnodar did not work out: "There is also an opponent who doesn't allow you to execute certain things. We have quite a few problems, but that doesn't take away from Krasnodar's merits. They deservedly won. We prepared a specific plan, but it didn't work. If we hadn't gifted them the second goal, things might have ended differently. Vu, Denisov, Litvinov, and Dmitriev fought like lions today."
❌ Aleksander Djiku did not play in the match against Krasnodar. According to Stankovic, he was not ready due to an injury he sustained in the last round of the Russian Cup. Previously, Srdjan Babic suffered a torn cruciate ligament, sidelining him for an extended period.
Lokomotiv Moscow
🎤 Mikhail Galaktionov shared his thoughts on Lokomotiv's first defeat in the championship: “As for the feelings, we didn't dwell on what it means to have our first loss after so many rounds. There's disappointment after a defeat, but I reiterate, we all thanked the guys for their dedication. There was movement, we tried to put pressure on the road, and we had chances to come back and equalize, but it didn't happen. I hope we handle this calmly, learn certain lessons, and move forward as there are many matches ahead. A new game is a new story. We need to forget and push ahead.
❌ Lokomotiv are preparing for the match with a full squad.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Pavel Kukuyan. This season, he has officiated only one Russian Cup match, which involved Spartak. The "Red-Whites" narrowly defeated Pari NN (2-1), who were playing in Nizhny Novgorod for the first time. The referee handed out six yellow cards. Kukuyan has also officiated matches between Spartak and Rostov and Akron, leaving the Moscow team short-handed. In the RPL, he has refereed six matches with an average of 4.8 yellow cards shown.
In the Russian Cup, Lokomotiv tends to receive more yellow cards (2.5 compared to 2.3). Meanwhile, matches involving Spartak average 5.8 warnings. Considering the referee's statistics, a bet on total yellow cards over 4.5 seems well-founded.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
The upcoming match promises to be high-scoring. In at least seven consecutive away games in the Russian Cup, Lokomotiv have seen no fewer than three goals scored. The same applies to 5 out of 6 head-to-head encounters. The exception was a match where both teams only exchanged goals, but Spartak played most of the game with a man down. This season, the teams put on a goal-scoring spectacle at the "RZD Arena," netting six times. Therefore, we suggest a bet on total goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams tend to deliver few corners in the Russian Cup. However, Lokomotiv holds a slight edge in this aspect (3.2 compared to 2.7). Matches involving these opponents average fewer than eight corners. In their only head-to-head meeting this season, they managed just six corner kicks. Thus, a potential bet could be on total corners under 9.5.
Editor's Prediction
Both teams secured 13 points in the group stage, but Lokomotiv have been performing much better in the league. Despite this, Spartak are seen as the favorites for the upcoming clash. However, they haven't defeated any top-tier opponents this season, and Lokomotiv certainly fall into that category. On the flip side, Lokomotiv haven't beaten Spartak away for quite some time. Thus, a draw, perhaps a 2-2 scoreline, seems a reasonable outcome.
The rivals have already delivered a high-scoring encounter in the league this season, with a total of six goals scored then. For the upcoming match, expect at least half of that total, especially considering that in seven of Lokomotiv's away matches in the Russian Cup, there have been at least three goals scored each time. Therefore, our key bet is on total goals over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow
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