Malta vs Andorra Prediction 4 October 2026
🔊 Malta host Andorra in the third round of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League group stage. In the first meeting between the sides, Malta won away 2-1. The two teams now meet in Ta' Qali, where the hosts will look to build on that result. After two rounds, Malta have four points and lead Group D1. Andorra have one point and sit bottom. A win would strengthen Malta's position at the top, while Andorra could close the gap on their opponents.
🔁 We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before kick-off so you don't miss any important changes.
Malta vs Andorra: Where to Find the Edge
📊 In September 2024, Malta won in Andorra 1-0 thanks to a goal from Ryan Camenzuli. The return fixture in November ended goalless. In the first round of the 2026/27 Nations League, Malta again won away, this time 2-1.
Head-to-head statistics Malta - Andorra
Malta are chasing a win against Andorra
In the previous Nations League campaign, Malta competed in League D, Group D2. They finished second with seven points, winning twice, drawing once and losing once. Moldova took first place. In March 2026, Malta faced Luxembourg in the play-offs for promotion to League C but lost 0-5 on aggregate and remained in the lower division.
Emilio De Leo's side began the new campaign with a 2-1 away win over Andorra. Malta then beat Liechtenstein 2-0 in a friendly before drawing with Gibraltar in matchday two of the Nations League. Joseph Mbong put the hosts ahead on 53 minutes, but James Scanlon equalised eight minutes later. Malta created several chances against Gibraltar yet could not build on their goal. Late on, the hosts came close to winning, but a header from a corner struck the post. Ahead of the match against Andorra, Malta need to improve their finishing. The opponents will likely try to stay compact again, so Malta will need to find space more quickly and get into dangerous shooting positions.
Match Results: Malta
Andorra: limited attacking options, focus on defense
In the previous Nations League cycle, Andorra competed in League D, Group D2, and finished third. In the current edition, Koldo Álvarez's side are again in the bottom division, where their opponents are Malta and Gibraltar. Andorra began the tournament with a 1-2 defeat to Malta, then drew 0-0 with Gibraltar. In a friendly against Lithuania, they also lost, conceding three goals without reply.
Against Gibraltar, Andorra were cautious and managed to keep a clean sheet. Their attacking output was limited, though - they did not create many chances and focused primarily on defending. The match against Malta showed that Andorra are capable of taking an opportunity and going ahead. However, they could not hold the lead: their opponents took control and scored twice. Ahead of the rematch with Malta, Álvarez's side need to stay organised defensively while also getting forward more often and not restricting themselves purely to containing the opposition.
Match Results: Andorra
Latest news
Malta
❌ Alejandro García - injury, James Carragher - not in the current squad.
Andorra
❗️ No confirmed injuries or suspensions
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Malta: Bonello - Muscat, Pepe, Shaw, Birman - Guillaumier, Teuma, Satariano - Mbong, Zammit, Cardona
📋 Predicted starting XI for Andorra: Álvarez - San Nicolás, Borra, Rubio, Guillén - Vales, Babot, Ferreira - Martínez, Fernández, Alaez
⚽ Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Under 2.5 has landed in five consecutive home matches for Malta, and in 7 of Andorra's last 8 UEFA Nations League fixtures. Malta are capable of holding more of the ball and controlling the game, though their draw with Gibraltar showed that their dominance does not always translate into goals. Andorra will likely focus on staying compact and limiting space in front of their goal. If the visitors prevent the opposition from scoring early, the match could be played at a low tempo and finish with no more than two goals. Bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.51*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In Malta's and Andorra's last three matches respectively, the combined corner total reached 10 only once. In the other fixtures it stayed below 9.5. A further argument is the first meeting between the two sides in the current Nations League campaign, where just five corners were taken in total - 3-2 in Andorra's favour. Malta will likely enjoy more possession, but Andorra are capable of sitting compact and limiting the hosts' attacks down the flanks. In that scenario, the match may not produce a high number of corners. Our prediction: Total Corners - Under 9.5 at 1.65*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
In the first meeting between Malta and Andorra, the referee showed seven yellow cards: five to Andorra's players and two to Malta's. Both teams received bookings, and Andorra picked up several cards in the second half for physical challenges and breaking up attacks. The return fixture could again see plenty of aerial and physical duels. Andorra need to chase the game given the standings, while Malta will be looking to protect their advantage in the group. In that scenario, the line of 3.5 cards looks achievable. The bet: Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at odds of 1.40*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Malta go into the second leg with a good chance of beating Andorra again. In the first match, the Maltese confidently exploited the spaces in their opponents' defence, and now they will have the chance to take the initiative on home soil. The team are capable of controlling the ball, building attacks down the flanks and creating pressure through positional play. Andorra will most likely set up a compact defence and look to close down the space in front of their penalty area. The visitors will have to do a lot of work without the ball and look for opportunities on the counter. If Malta maintain their attacking tempo and improve the quality of their finishing, the hosts are capable of coming out on top again. Predicted score: 1-0. Editorial prediction: Malta to win.
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Betting Tips: Malta - Andorra
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