Dynamo Moscow vs Lokomotiv Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Who will emerge victorious in the Moscow derby? Dynamo Moscow and Lokomotiv are direct competitors. Currently, there's a five-point gap and four clubs separating them in the standings. However, in terms of potential, the "white-blues" are certainly not lagging behind, and at the VTB Arena, they have a chance to close much of the gap. Bookmakers' predictions favor them as the frontrunners. But this is a derby, so the "red-greens" can also aim for points. In these matches, the details can play a decisive role, and we'll delve into them.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over a stretch of 41 head-to-head matches, each side has claimed 15 victories. Another 11 encounters ended in draws. Last season, the rivals traded away wins in the Russian Cup. In the RPL, both picked up three points on their home turf. While the "White-Blues" secured a convincing 3-1 victory, the "Railwaymen" clinched success with a late goal, winning 2-1.

    Head-to-head clashes typically feature high-scoring affairs. In 6 out of the last 7 matches at the "VTB Arena," both sides found the net in the first half. This suggests that in the upcoming match, the scoreline could be opened before halftime, and neither team is likely to stop at just one goal. Therefore, a bet on over 1.5 goals in the first half seems quite profitable.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    35%
    15 Wins
    28%
    12 Draws
    37%
    16 Wins
    Total games
    43
    Total Goals Avg
    3.28
    Both teams scored
    65%
    1.6
    Total average
    1.67
    2.16
    Yellow cards
    2.65
    Last matches
    01.05.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    1.37
    0.68
    6
    5
    19
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.37
    0.68
    6
    5
    19
    11
    2
    2
    04.10.25
    RPL
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    4.46
    3.04
    9
    4
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    5
    2
    2
    1
    3
    4.46
    3.04
    9
    4
    9
    15
    1
    1
    12.07.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    5
    0
    0
    1
    5
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    15.03.25
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    1.08
    1.26
    3
    3
    16
    15
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.08
    1.26
    3
    3
    16
    15
    2
    1
    15.02.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    FK Dinamo Moscow
    FK Dinamo Moscow
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    0
    1
    Empty
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    Dynamo Moscow Team Overview

    Dynamo Moscow have had an unconvincing start to the championship. However, signs of progress are evident. It began with a draw against Spartak (2-2), where the team played well in certain stretches. This was followed by confident victories over Orenburg (3-1) and Krylia Sovetov (3-2), although there are still plenty of questions regarding their defense. The key improvement has been in their attack, largely due to the squad's injury list beginning to clear up. They have climbed to seventh place, trailing the leader by just six points, which is not insurmountable.

    Heading into the final round of the Russian Cup, nothing has been decided yet. Dynamo crushed Sochi's reserves (4-0), but failed to score against Krasnodar in the last round. On the bright side, they managed to keep a clean sheet, which has been a rarity this season. However, they lost in the penalty shootout and dropped to third place in their group. In the final round, they will compete for the second playoff spot in the RPL Path.

    Match Results: Dynamo Moscow

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    0.96
    0.94
    5
    2
    24
    8
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.96
    0.94
    5
    2
    24
    8
    4
    3
    W
    11.05.26
    RPL
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    1
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    0.66
    1.61
    2
    6
    16
    18
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0.66
    1.61
    2
    6
    16
    18
    3
    1
    W
    07.05.26
    Russian Cup
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    -
    -
    6
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    6
    5
    -
    -
    6
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    L
    01.05.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    1.37
    0.68
    6
    5
    19
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.37
    0.68
    6
    5
    19
    11
    2
    2
    D
    26.04.26
    RPL
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Sochi
    Sochi
    1.41
    1.25
    5
    5
    13
    12
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.41
    1.25
    5
    5
    13
    12
    3
    2
    W
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    Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview

    The only team yet to taste defeat in the league is Lokomotiv. It's surprising, then, that they sit only in second place on the table. This is due to a string of draws-five in a row, to be precise. More often than not, the "Railwaymen" dropped points in the dying minutes. However, they've managed to break this streak. In the last round, Lokomotiv defeated Rubin, albeit benefiting from a goalkeeping error by Kazan's keeper, which Dmitry Barinov, who is currently negotiating a contract extension with the club, capitalized on.

    Lokomotiv's only loss of the season came against CSKA (1-2) in the Russian Cup. The two sides faced off again during the week. This time, both managers opted for significant squad rotations, with the "Railwaymen" almost entirely changing their lineup from the league match. Despite this, the game was evenly contested but unfortunately ended goalless. In the penalty shootout, it was once again the "Army Men" who prevailed.

    Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    RPL
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    1.36
    1.26
    3
    5
    11
    10
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.36
    1.26
    3
    5
    11
    10
    0
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    1
    1.29
    1.52
    5
    2
    14
    12
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.29
    1.52
    5
    2
    14
    12
    4
    2
    W
    01.05.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    1.37
    0.68
    6
    5
    19
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.37
    0.68
    6
    5
    19
    11
    2
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    RPL
    Krylya Sovetov
    Krylya Sovetov
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    1.21
    0.79
    3
    8
    9
    8
    3
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.21
    0.79
    3
    8
    9
    8
    3
    4
    L
    22.04.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    0.95
    0.79
    4
    3
    17
    13
    5
    7
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.95
    0.79
    4
    3
    17
    13
    5
    7
    D
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    Latest news

    Dynamo Moscow

    🎙 Dynamo Moscow's head coach Valery Karpin was satisfied with the result against Krasnodar: "The first half was very good, and the second half was decent as well. We had our chances, and so did Krasnodar. Of course, we would have liked to win, but a 0-0 draw is a reasonable result. Again, both our lineup and Krasnodar's were not the strongest. It was fine."

    ❌ While some players are recovering, others are heading to the treatment room. In the match against Krasnodar, Yaroslav Gladyshev made his return after injury. However, his positional rival Denis Makarov has missed three matches across all competitions due to an injury. Arthur Gomes, Luis Chavez, and Milan Majstorovic have been absent for a long time.

    Lokomotiv Moscow

    🎙 Lokomotiv's head coach Mikhail Galaktionov believes the draw against CSKA in the Russian Cup was a fair result: “In my opinion, it was a good, fast-paced game, very dynamic. The pace was strong. At times, the Army Men had territorial advantage, then we adjusted. There were plenty of chances for both us and our opponents. So overall, a draw is a fair outcome.”

    ❌ Sergey Pinyaev continues to struggle with issues, having been out of action for a while. In the Russian Cup, there was a forced substitution of Cristian Ramirez, who avoided a serious injury but will not play in the upcoming match.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    In the league, Lokomotiv hold an edge in yellow cards, averaging 3.2 compared to their opponents' 1.7. Their rivals typically receive fewer cautions, averaging just 1.9. Moreover, in the last five head-to-head encounters, the "Railwaymen" have consistently picked up at least one more booking than Dynamo. Therefore, it's worth considering a Lokomotiv win in yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Lokomotiv are the highest-scoring team in the league, netting 21 goals in 10 matches. However, among the top eight teams, only Spartak concede more. In 8 of their last 9 games, the "Red-Greens" have both scored and conceded. The same pattern holds true for the last six head-to-head clashes at "VTB Arena." Thus, a potential bet would be both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    This season, Dynamo Moscow have the upper hand in corners, averaging 5.4 compared to Lokomotiv's 3.7. Matches involving Dynamo see an average of 8.9 corners, while Lokomotiv's games average slightly less at 8.3. In 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings, there have been no more than eight corners. Therefore, a bet on total corners under 9.5 appears reasonable.

    Editor's Prediction

    Despite trailing Lokomotiv by five points, Dynamo Moscow are seen as clear favorites for the upcoming clash. However, the "White-Blues" have yet to win a major match this season, having lost to Krasnodar and CSKA, and drawn with Spartak. Meanwhile, Galaktionov's squad remain unbeaten in the tournament so far. Given this scenario, a potential scoreline prediction is a 2-2 draw.

    It's anticipated that Lokomotiv might suffer their first defeat in the 11th round. Dynamo Moscow have shown improvement recently, but their defense still has issues that could be exploited by the visitors' capable players. It's unlikely they will keep a clean sheet either, making the key bet - both teams to score (yes).

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -172*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 October 2025, 08:32)

    Betting Tips: Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow

    Dynamo Moscow have drawn in the 1st half
    fc-dinamo-moscowfc-lokomotiv-moscowin 7 of last 8 games against Lokomotiv Moscow.
    Lokomotiv Moscow have drawn in the 1st half
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 5 games.
    1st Half Draw
    +136
    Lokomotiv Moscow have drawn
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin 5 of last 6 games (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 3 away games (Premier League).
    Draw
    +278
    Dynamo Moscow have not lost
    fc-dinamo-moscowin 13 of last 14 home games (Premier League).
    fc-dinamo-moscowin 7 of last 8 games.
    Dynamo Moscow will not lose
    -385
    Lokomotiv Moscow have not lost
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin 18 of last 19 games.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 16 games (Premier League).
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin 8 of last 9 away games.
    fc-lokomotiv-moscowin last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Lokomotiv Moscow will not lose
    -118
    View more facts

    Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    30206460-2366
    3.
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    301411554-3953
    4.
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    30157847-3952
    6.
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    301113638-2146
    7.
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    30129951-4045
    8.
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    301110929-3043

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 10
    +4
    +1
    13 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    3
    4
    Draws
    3
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    13
    10
    Conceded
    12
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats