Celta vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

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    🔈 Can the "Celts" put up a proper fight against Diego Simeone's squad? The final match of La Liga's eighth round will see Celta Vigo facing off against Atletico Madrid at Balaídos. The team from Vigo has had a disappointing start to the season and is hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone. Claudio Giráldez's side has yet to secure a victory in the domestic league. Meanwhile, "Los Colchoneros" are gradually finding their rhythm, with their last three matches showcasing their high ambitions. Given the current form of both teams, bookmakers are heavily favoring the visitors with odds significantly in their favor.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over their last 10 head-to-head encounters, the "Celts" have failed to defeat the "Mattresses," recording 2 draws and 8 losses. Celta's last victory over Atletico came more than 7 years ago, in September 2018. On that occasion, Maximiliano Gomez and Iago Aspas led them to a 2-0 win at Balaidos. It's important to consider the average scoring rate in their historical matchups: Celta averages 1.14 goals per game, while Atletico averages 2.02.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    21%
    9 Wins
    24%
    10 Draws
    55%
    23 Wins
    Total games
    42
    Total Goals Avg
    2.45
    Both teams scored
    43%
    0.9
    Total average
    1.55
    2
    Yellow cards
    2.02
    Last matches
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    05.10.25
    La Liga
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.03
    0.33
    6
    3
    7
    10
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.03
    0.33
    6
    3
    7
    10
    1
    2
    15.02.25
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    0.48
    1.54
    2
    7
    8
    18
    3
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.48
    1.54
    2
    7
    8
    18
    3
    5
    26.09.24
    La Liga
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    -
    -
    2
    3
    13
    11
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    13
    11
    2
    2
    12.05.24
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    -
    -
    4
    7
    8
    8
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    7
    8
    8
    1
    1
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    Celta de Vigo Team Overview

    🔵 The Celtics are enduring a tough spell, with no wins in their opening seven matches of the Spanish league. The upcoming clash against Atletico Madrid doesn't promise much relief either. Claudio Giraldez's side have accumulated just 5 points, leaving them languishing in 17th place on the table. It's unfortunate that the team from Vigo is no longer known for the sparkling and incisive attack that characterized Celta last season, managing only 0.86 goals per match. The head coach urgently needs to take drastic measures to halt the team's steady decline towards the bottom of the standings.

    📌 Last Thursday, Balaidos hosted a European clash. On their home turf, Celta faced off against Greek side PAOK (3-1). In this match, the Celtics closely resembled their form from last season, giving fans hope for a brighter future. A quick look at the xG figures confirms the home side's dominance: 2.7 compared to 0.75. This was arguably Oscar Mingueza's best performance of the season, playing a crucial role in their attacking efforts. Whether the Vigo club can maintain this momentum and approach the upcoming game in peak form remains to be seen.

    Match Results: Celta de Vigo

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    1.16
    0.61
    4
    3
    11
    20
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.16
    0.61
    4
    3
    11
    20
    1
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    3.77
    0.17
    5
    0
    14
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    3.77
    0.17
    5
    0
    14
    11
    2
    2
    D
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    Levante UD
    Levante UD
    1.66
    1.34
    4
    4
    7
    10
    0
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1.66
    1.34
    4
    4
    7
    10
    0
    2
    L
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    Elche CF
    Elche CF
    0.67
    1.66
    4
    2
    14
    15
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0.67
    1.66
    4
    2
    14
    15
    2
    1
    W
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    Atletico Madrid Team Overview

    🔴 The "Colchoneros" have gradually found their rhythm after a rocky start to the season, going unbeaten in their last four matches across all competitions. Moreover, the capital club has found the back of the net 13 times in their last three games. Currently, Diego Simeone's side sits fifth in the league standings with 12 points. However, away games remain a significant challenge for Atlético, as they have yet to secure a win in three La Liga attempts. Whether the "Indians" can turn things around at Balaídos is something we’ll soon find out.

    ⚪ Atlético's opponent in the second round of the Champions League was Eintracht Frankfurt, who were thrashed 5-1 at the Wanda Metropolitano. Despite Diego Simeone’s reputation for pragmatism and dogmatism, Atlético have significantly improved their attacking play in recent years. In their recent European clash, the xG statistics highlighted the Spanish side's remarkable offensive pressure: 4.44 compared to 0.59 in favor of Atlético. Simeone's tactical approach is built around a 4-4-2 formation, which constantly adapts to the game situation and often becomes asymmetrical.

    Match Results: Atletico Madrid

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Girona
    Girona
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    W
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    L
    05.05.26
    UCL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Celta de Vigo

    📰 Iago Aspas was thoroughly impressed following the recent European victory over PAOK (3-1): "We are absolutely delighted to enjoy European football here at Balaídos again after eight years, with our fans. I'm happy to have scored and helped the team win. I think it was a perfect evening for everyone. As for results and feelings - we had good vibes, except for the last two matches where I believe we fell short. At Balaídos, we deserved more in many games, like in the second round against Mallorca, but that's football. Sometimes you play well and don't win, and other times you play poorly but still come out on top."

    ❌ In the Celtas' injury list are Sergio Carreira (ankle injury), Mihailo Ristic (back injury), and Javier Rueda (muscle injury). Also, don't expect any help from Joseph Aidoo and Franco Cervi, who have been left out of the squad.

    Atletico Madrid

    📰 A pivotal moment for Atletico was their victory over Real Madrid (5-2) in the last La Liga round. This significant triumph was commented on by Atletico's president Enrique Cerezo: "It was an undeniable victory. Anyone who sees controversial situations should study them, review them, and keep their opinions to themselves. People see things where there's nothing to see. We were confident that the players would give their all, and they did, leading us to victory. Initially, everything went very well, then there were moments when we had doubts, but in the end, there was only one team on the pitch - Atletico." Special mention goes to Julian Alvarez, who has racked up 8 points for goal contributions in his last 3 matches - 6 goals and 2 assists.

    ❌ Still in Atletico's injury list are Thiago Almada (muscle injury), Johnny Cardoso (ankle injury), and Jose Maria Gimenez (thigh injury).

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    Matches involving Atletico Madrid this season have been intense, averaging 6.2 bookings per game. Notably, at least 5 yellow cards have been shown in 8 of their last 10 head-to-head encounters. Our editorial team anticipates a heated contest in the upcoming match, with a significant number of fouls. We are leaning towards over 4 total yellow cards.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Head-to-head clashes between the "Celts" and "Los Colchoneros" are traditionally cautious and played at a relatively slow pace. In 4 of their last 5 meetings, no more than 2 goals were scored. This season, matches involving Celta average 2.1 goals, which does not suggest a high-scoring game this coming Sunday. Our choice is under 3 total goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Both clubs have been earning a considerable number of corners this season: Celta with 6.1 and Atletico with 6.9 per game. The active wings of both teams contribute to these statistics. Furthermore, at least 11 corners have been recorded in 5 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings. Taking all this into account, the most reasonable bet is over 8.5 total corners.

    Editorial Prediction

    The upcoming clash promises to be filled with aerial duels and physical battles, potentially pushing the football itself into the background at times. This has been the hallmark of most head-to-head encounters between Celta and Atletico. Current statistical trends suggest we are in for a tight game with few scoring opportunities. Our editorial team predicts a final score of 0-1, with the key bet being under 3 goals total. 

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (3) at odds of -208*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 October 2025, 13:34)

    Betting Tips: Celta de Vigo - Atletico Madrid

    Celta de Vigo have lost the 2nd half
    celta-de-vigoatletico-madrid-1in 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    2nd Half Atletico Madrid Win
    Everygame
    +110
    Celta de Vigo have drawn
    celta-de-vigoin 5 of last 6 games (La Liga).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +270
    Celta de Vigo have lost
    celta-de-vigoatletico-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    celta-de-vigoatletico-madrid-1in last 5 home games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid Win
    Everygame
    -125
    Celta de Vigo have not won
    celta-de-vigoatletico-madrid-1in last 13 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    celta-de-vigoatletico-madrid-1in 10 of last 11 home games against Atletico Madrid.
    celta-de-vigoatletico-madrid-1in 9 of last 10 home games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    celta-de-vigoin 8 of last 9 games.
    celta-de-vigoin last 7 games (La Liga).
    celta-de-vigoin last 5 home games (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid have not lost
    atletico-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    atletico-madrid-1in last 6 games (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -476
    View more facts

    Celta - Atletico Madrid Table position

    LaLiga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    382261072-4672
    4.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    382161162-4469
    5.
    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    381515859-4860
    6.
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    3814121253-4854
    7.
    Getafe
    Getafe
    381561732-3851

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 17
    -7
    -2
    14 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draw
    1
    6
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    14
    17
    Conceded
    16
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    66'
    View all stats