Athletic vs Mallorca Prediction 4 October 2025
🔈 Can Ernesto Valverde's side break their disappointing streak and get back on the path to stability? One of the intriguing fixtures of La Liga's Matchday 8 is the clash between Athletic Club and Mallorca at San Mamés. The Lions have been far from impressive in recent matches, failing to secure a victory in their last seven outings across all competitions. Meanwhile, the Islanders clinched their first win of the season in the previous round, allowing them to lift themselves off the bottom of the standings. Despite the Basques' dreadful form, bookmakers give them fivefold odds in their favor.
Head-to-Head
📊 It’s telling that over the last eight head-to-head clashes at San Mamés, the visitors have been unable to secure a win. Mallorca's last triumph in Bilbao dates back more than 15 years, during the 2009/10 La Liga season (3-1). Last season, neither club managed to claim superiority: a 0-0 draw at Iberostar and a 1-1 stalemate at San Mamés. Here's a look at the average outcomes over the last 10 encounters: Athletic Club have claimed 3 victories, there have been 6 draws, and Mallorca have managed just 1 win.
Head-to-head statistics Athletic - Mallorca
Athletic Bilbao Team Overview
🔴 Athletic are currently under significant pressure, having gone winless in their last seven matches across all competitions (six losses and one draw). This poor run of form has dropped the Basque side to 10th place in the La Liga standings. Notably, the club from Bilbao has the least effective attacking line among the top 10 teams in the league, averaging just one goal per game. Their home performances have been equally disappointing, with four consecutive matches without a win and only one goal scored during this stretch. The coaching staff, led by Ernesto Valverde, urgently need to implement a "Plan B," or questions about their leadership may start to arise.
⚪ Midweek, the Basques traveled to Dortmund to face local side Borussia at Signal Iduna Park, suffering a 1-4 defeat. It's hard to say that the "Bees" looked convincing enough to warrant such a dominant victory. Much of the loss can be attributed to Ernesto Valverde's side defeating themselves through numerous individual errors and poor finishing, which dashed their prospects in this matchup. Borussia operated with a mid-block and didn't insist on possession, effectively neutralizing Athletic's strengths. For Iñaki Williams and Unai Gómez, it was arguably their worst performance of the season. We'll soon find out how effectively the team has addressed these mistakes.
Match Results: Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca Team Overview
🔴 The "Islanders" are off to a lackluster start this season, and Jagoba Arrasate's future at the helm is equally uncertain. Mallorca have managed to accumulate just 5 points from their first 7 matches, placing them 19th in the league standings. Their away performances have been particularly disappointing, with zero points from three road games-a record matched only by Osasuna. A questionable transfer campaign is one reason why the "Vermilions" are struggling to find cohesion and establish stability.
⚫ In their last La Liga outing, the Islanders faced Alaves at the "Iberostar". Takuma Asano's goal secured Mallorca's first win of the season with a 1-0 victory. Notably, even against the "Glorious" from Vitoria-Gasteiz, the club deployed a deep defensive line, effectively stifling the game. Their rare ventures into the opponent's half were backed by defensive cover to avoid leaving gaps and prevent counter-attacks. While their straightforward 4-4-2 setup might not surprise anyone, it certainly poses challenges for any adversary.
Match Results: Mallorca
Latest news
Athletic Bilbao
🎤 Athletic's head coach Ernesto Valverde reflected on his team's setback at "La Cerámica" (0-1) in the last round of La Liga: "In the first half, we were the better side, created clear chances, and could have scored, but we didn't. Away games always require an adjustment in style, especially against a formidable team like Villarreal. It's tough to dominate from start to finish. This is another difficult result, similar to other recent matches, because we failed to capitalize on our opportunities. We're in a rough patch right now, and we need to overcome it, we need to have confidence in ourselves. Let's see if we can regain our optimal form." Interestingly, the press has even leaked a list of potential candidates for the Athletic head coach position should Ernesto Valverde be dismissed. The list includes Andoni Iraola, Iñigo Pérez, Unai Emery, and Eder Sarabia.
❌ Among Athletic's injured players are Unai Eguiluz (knee injury), Beñat Prados (knee injury), Mikel Vesga (muscle injury), Alejandro Berenguer (finger injury), and Oihan Sancet (leg injury).
Mallorca
🎤 The much-anticipated victory in the last round was commented on by Mallorca's head coach, Jagoba Arrasate: “It lifted a huge weight off my shoulders; I'm still sweating. It was a very important, evenly matched game, and we had to work hard in the first half. We scored a good goal and defended it like a treasure, thanks to tremendous collective effort and the support of our fans. We knew we needed to step up, but this step was necessary. Today, we showed that we are a tough team for any opponent, and that should be the main priority. I think we can play more with the ball, and the team can demand more, but, well, that confidence will come with results. That's why I said that at least now we've regained such important qualities as keeping a clean sheet, solid defense, team spirit, and connection with the fans.”
❌ In Mallorca's injury list are Takuma Asano (muscle injury), Marash Kumbulla (hamstring injury), and Omar Mascarell (hamstring injury). Due to his suspension, Dani Rodriguez will miss the next match. Additionally, Jan Virgil won't be able to help his team as he's been called up to Spain's youth national team.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
It's worth noting that Athletic are one of the most disciplined teams in La Liga, averaging just 1.3 yellow cards per game. In comparison, the "islanders" average 2 per match. In head-to-head encounters, the "Cinnabar Reds" also tend to commit more fouls, averaging 3.1 compared to 1.9. Considering the away status of this match and the likelihood that the visitors will need to defend for most of the game, we suggest the following bet: Mallorca to win on yellow cards with a (0) handicap.
⚽ Goal Prediction
In 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these teams, there have been no more than 2 goals scored. A similar trend is seen in 6 of Athletic's last 7 games. It's also important to note the low attacking output from both teams this season: Athletic average 1 goal per game, while Mallorca manage just 0.9. Taking all this into account, we recommend the following bet: under 2.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Let's take a look at the corners won and conceded by each team this season. Athletic show a positive trend in this statistic, with 6.9 corners won compared to 4.1 conceded. Mallorca, on the other hand, do not have an edge over their opponents in corners, with a ratio of 4.1 to 6. In head-to-head meetings, the pattern is similar: 6.4 to 4.6 in favor of the "Basques." Based on these points, our editorial choice is Athletic to win on corners with a (-2.5) handicap.
Editorial Prediction
Our editorial team would steer clear of predicting the outcome-Athletic are not in top form, and the physical toll from their midweek fixture is likely to impact their upcoming clash. Meanwhile, Mallorca consistently challenge their opponents with their ability to slow the game down and form a deep defensive line. In our view, the chances of seeing a high-scoring match are slim to none. We anticipate a final score of 0-0. The key pick is under 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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