Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Another clash between Premier League's basement dwellers as Aston Villa take on Burnley. It's surprising to see the Birmingham side in such a predicament, but the reality is they only recently secured their first league victory. This win has been a catalyst for their rehabilitation, which is currently progressing well. Unai Emery's team are now on a three-match winning streak across all competitions, unlike Burnley. The Clarets haven't tasted victory in their last five outings, and there's little sign of improvement on the horizon. Which team will manage to distance themselves from the relegation zone after their encounter at Villa Park? We'll delve into it in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Since Burnley's return to the English top flight in 2019, they've managed just one victory over Aston Villa and have snatched points from the Birmingham side on three occasions through draws. The Lions have celebrated triumphs in the other five encounters. Interestingly, in 8 out of their 9 meetings, both teams have found the back of the net.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    55%
    6 Wins
    36%
    4 Draws
    9%
    1 Win
    Total games
    11
    Total Goals Avg
    3.36
    Both teams scored
    91%
    2
    Total average
    1.36
    1.18
    Yellow cards
    1.36
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    05.10.25
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1.4
    0.46
    6
    4
    9
    15
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.4
    0.46
    6
    4
    9
    15
    3
    1
    30.12.23
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    9
    14
    4
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    9
    14
    4
    2
    27.08.23
    EPL
    Burnley FC
    Burnley FC
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    11
    2
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    11
    2
    0
    19.05.22
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1
    -
    -
    13
    6
    10
    20
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    6
    10
    20
    0
    1
    Empty
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    Aston Villa Team Overview

    Unai Emery's team has recently found their winning stride. In the first six matches of the season across all competitions, the Villans were without a victory. The turning point came with the start of European competitions. First, Aston Villa defeated Bologna in the Europa League (1-0). Then, Fulham fell in the Premier League (3-1). Most recently, they overcame Feyenoord (2-0). In none of these matches did the Lions statistically outshine their opponents. But who cares about that when results are coming in and there's hope for a full recovery from the crisis.

    Undoubtedly, the standout player for Aston Villa during this successful stretch has been team captain John McGinn. The midfielder is on a scoring streak of three games. The 30-year-old Scot wasn't sidelined even by a minor injury that forced him to leave the match against Fulham early. He started in the Europa League clash against Feyenoord. Also noteworthy is Birmingham’s newly appointed goalkeeper Marco Bizot. With Emi Martinez back, Bizot only features in cup and Europa League matches, where he has been excellent-earning man-of-the-match honors twice in European competition.

    Match Results: Aston Villa

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.32
    1.97
    9
    4
    8
    4
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1.32
    1.97
    9
    4
    8
    4
    1
    0
    W
    20.05.26
    Europa League
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    0.23
    1.91
    1
    8
    15
    15
    1
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.23
    1.91
    1
    8
    15
    15
    1
    3
    W
    15.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    D
    07.05.26
    Europa League
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    3.08
    0.45
    6
    3
    13
    12
    0
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    3.08
    0.45
    6
    3
    13
    12
    0
    2
    W
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    Burnley Team Overview

    Scott Parker's squad have gone five games without a win. They had a promising start to the season: a predictable defeat to Tottenham was followed by a Premier League victory over Sunderland (2-0) and a League Cup win against Derby County (2-1). However, Burnley's subsequent schedule was anything but enviable. In matches against Manchester United, Nottingham Forest, and Manchester City, they managed to secure points only against the Forest side with a 1-1 draw. During this period, Burnley also exited the cup, falling short against Cardiff (1-2).

    One of the few Burnley players who has successfully adapted to the Premier League is Anthony Jayden. Despite the team's results, the forward consistently finds the net. He has scored four goals in six league matches and ranks third in the top scorer race. Also noteworthy are striker Lyle Foster and midfielder Josh Cullen, both of whom have contributed with a goal and an assist in the Premier League.

    Match Results: Burnley

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    1.29
    2.3
    7
    7
    10
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.29
    2.3
    7
    7
    10
    11
    2
    2
    D
    18.05.26
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1.29
    0.31
    3
    3
    7
    16
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.29
    0.31
    3
    3
    7
    16
    1
    3
    L
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    D
    01.05.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Burnley
    Burnley
    1.99
    0.53
    5
    0
    12
    11
    4
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.99
    0.53
    5
    0
    12
    11
    4
    3
    L
    22.04.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.94
    3.17
    3
    11
    10
    12
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.94
    3.17
    3
    11
    10
    12
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Aston Villa

    🎙 Aston Villa's head coach shared his expectations ahead of the upcoming Premier League clash. "We set high standards for ourselves and aim to deliver consistent performances across all competitions. Sunday presents a challenge. A challenge against Burnley following our victory over Fulham last week. Now they are our opponents, and the fight at the lower end of the table is very tight. We need to focus on the match, adhere to all guidelines, and strive to give our best," said Unai Emery.

    ❌ Aston Villa's injury list grows as Emi Martinez and Jadon Sancho join Ross Barkley, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, and Tyrone Mings on the sidelines. The Lions' first-choice goalkeeper was set to play in the Europa League but suffered a calf injury just before the match. Sancho is out due to illness. However, both may still be in contention for Sunday's fixture.

    Burnley

    🎙 Burnley's head coach remains confident in his team and shares his expectations for the upcoming Premier League clash. "We need to assess the situation by considering the level of teams we've faced so far-these are very talented sides. I'm pleased with how we have performed in each game. We know where we stand and where we want to be. Of course, there's plenty we can improve on, and we're working on that every day. We're all in this together. It's a cohesive group with genuine team spirit and unity, where everyone gives their all every day-players, staff, and fans alike," said Scott Parker.

    ❌ Burnley's squad has minimal losses. Jordan Beyer has been sidelined since last season, having not played in official matches for 22 months. During the summer preseason, Zeki Amdouni and Connor Roberts picked up injuries. Parker hadn't planned on starting Amdouni, while Roberts is expected to return after the international break.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The main referee for the match is Andrew Kitchen. This is only his second Premier League season, having previously officiated in the Championship, where he continues to referee. So far this season, he has officiated five Championship matches with an average of 2.8 yellow cards per game. Sunday's clash shouldn't pose any significant challenges for Kitchen. In 3 out of their last 4 head-to-head encounters, the teams have not received more than three yellow cards. Our prediction: total yellow cards under 4.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    In 8 of their last 9 meetings, both sides have found the back of the net. This Premier League season, neither team boasts a solid defense. Aston Villa have conceded in 4 out of 6 matches, while Burnley have let in goals in 5 out of 6. Burnley's hopes in attack rest heavily on Jaidon Anthony, who has been in great form. Editor's pick: both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Burnley are the Premier League's poorest performers when it comes to earning corners, averaging just 2.83 per game. Scott Parker's side often struggle for possession, having managed 55% only against Derby County in the EFL Cup. There's little reason to expect an abundance of set-pieces near the opposition's goal on Sunday. Additionally, they have recorded fewer than 4.5 corners in five consecutive Premier League matches. We anticipate this trend will continue at Villa Park. Our bet: Burnley total corners under 4.5.

    Editor's Prediction

    Despite Unai Emery's respectful comments about their upcoming opponents, Burnley currently stand as the leading candidates for relegation from the Premier League. Yes, the Clarets have faced a brutal schedule, but their struggles extend beyond the league; they can't even overcome former Championship rivals in the cup under Scott Parker's management. On the flip side, Aston Villa are on a roll, with three consecutive victories across two competitions boosting Emery's squad's confidence and determination to steer clear of the relegation zone-a place their past performances suggest they don't belong in. While the midweek Europa League fixture might impact their physical condition, we believe it won't be enough for the visitors to secure a positive result. We anticipate an Aston Villa victory with a scoreline of 2-1.

    Our choice
    Aston Villa Win at odds of -167*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 October 2025, 09:38)

    Betting Tips: Aston Villa - Burnley

    Aston Villa have not lost
    aston-villa-2burnley-fc-2in 8 of last 9 games against Burnley.
    aston-villa-2burnley-fc-2in 7 of last 8 games against Burnley (Premier League).
    aston-villa-2in 24 of last 25 home games.
    aston-villa-2in 16 of last 17 home games (Premier League).
    aston-villa-2in last 6 games.
    Aston Villa will not lose
    Everygame
    -769
    Aston Villa have scored
    aston-villa-2burnley-fc-2in 8 of last 9 games against Burnley.
    aston-villa-2in 21 of last 23 home games.
    Burnley have conceded
    burnley-fc-2in 8 of last 9 games.
    Aston Villa will score goal
    Everygame
    -714
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    aston-villa-2burnley-fc-2in 8 of last 9 Aston Villa games against Burnley.
    aston-villa-2burnley-fc-2in last 5 Aston Villa games against Burnley (Premier League).
    aston-villa-2in 12 of last 14 Aston Villa home games (Premier League).
    burnley-fc-2in 12 of last 13 Burnley games.
    in last 7 Andrew Kitchen games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Aston Villa have conceded
    aston-villa-2burnley-fc-2in 8 of last 9 games against Burnley.
    Burnley will score goal
    MyBookie
    -111
    View more facts

    Aston Villa - Burnley Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    382011769-5071
    4.
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    381981156-4965
    5.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    381791263-5360
    18.
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    381091946-6539
    19.
    Burnley
    Burnley
    384102438-7522
    20.
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    383112427-6820

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 0
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 24
    Conceded - 12
    +12
    -13
    6 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    0
    1
    Draws
    3
    3
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    24
    Scored
    6
    12
    Conceded
    19
    3.6
    Match goals average
    2.5
    2.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    38'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats