Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Prediction 4 October 2025
The upcoming clash between Albirex Niigata and Fagiano Okayama promises to be an intense battle, despite the differences in their current form. Both teams are not experiencing their finest moments, but the drive to climb higher in the standings fuels their determination. Albirex are anchored at the bottom of the table and will be eager to escape the relegation zone, while Fagiano aim to solidify their mid-table position. Tactical approaches will be crucial: will counter-attacks prove effective, or will possession control be the decisive factor?
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 18 May 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Fagiano Okayama were the home side):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Albirex Niigata and Fagiano Okayama:
- 12 matches played;
- home victories - 1, away victories - 6, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 12 versus 19;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.58;
- average total goals per match - 2.58.
Head-to-head statistics Albirex Niigata - Fagiano
Albirex Niigata Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the J1 League, featuring Gamba Osaka as the hosts and Albirex Niigata as the visitors. The game concluded with a 4-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka):
- possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Albirex Niigata are facing significant challenges this season, languishing at the bottom of the league. Their form is far from impressive, with 8 losses and 2 draws in their last 10 matches telling the story. The team's weaknesses are evident-low scoring output, averaging just 0.6 goals per game, and a shaky defense conceding around 1.7 goals. Despite these struggles, the hosts continue to fight for every point, hoping to improve their standing and avoid relegation.
Match Results: Albirex Niigata
Fagiano Okayama Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the J-League 1 tournament (home team - Machida Zelvia, visitors - Fagiano Okayama). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-0.
Here's the match statistics (Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia):
- possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 9;
- fouls: 5 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 6.
Fagiano Okayama hold a more secure position in the league, sitting in 12th place. However, their recent performances have been far from impressive, with only 1 win and 6 losses in their last 10 matches. They average around 0.9 goals per game, which is slightly better than their upcoming opponents but still insufficient for consistent success. The visitors are known for their ability to put up a fight, thanks to their solid defense and quick transitions from defense to attack.
Match Results: Fagiano Okayama
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 12;
- Home victories - 1, Away victories - 6, Draws - 5.
Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama
- Matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- Wins: 4 vs 11;
- Win percentage: 13% vs 34%;
- Losses: 19 vs 14;
- Draws: 9 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 0 vs 3;
- Losses: 8 vs 6;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Albirex Niigata have not won in the last 10 head-to-head matches against these opponents.
- Albirex Niigata have not won at home in the last 6 head-to-head matches against these opponents.
- Albirex Niigata have not won in their last 14 matches.
- Albirex Niigata have not won in their last 13 matches (J1 League).
- Albirex Niigata have not won at home in their last 7 matches.
- Albirex Niigata have not won at home in their last 6 matches (J1 League).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The home side averages - 1, visitors - 1.58;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.58;
- Both teams scored: overall - 8 times; at the home team's ground - 3 times.
Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama
- Average total in the tournament: 2.59 vs 1.94;
- Average goals scored: 0.91 vs 0.88;
- Average first-half total: 0.53 vs 0.44;
- Average second-half total: 0.38 vs 0.44;
- Albirex Niigata: average home total in the tournament - 1;
- Fagiano Okayama: average away total in the tournament - 0.8;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 0.5) vs 0.9 (away - 1.25).
- Albirex Niigata have conceded in the last 12 head-to-head matches against these opponents.
- Albirex Niigata have conceded at home in the last 6 head-to-head matches against these opponents.
- Albirex Niigata have conceded in 13 of their last 14 matches.
- Albirex Niigata have conceded in 12 of their last 13 matches (J1 League).
Corners Prediction
Albirex Niigata: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.66; at home - 4.88;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 4.
Fagiano Okayama: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.94, away - 4.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; away - 3.25.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3 (1.5 for the home side and 1.5 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.5 (2.17 for the home side and 2.33 for the visitors).
Albirex Niigata: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 0.97; at home - 1;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.2; at home - 1.5.
Fagiano Okayama: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.13, away - 1.07;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.4; away - 1.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 12;
- Both teams scored overall - 8 times;
- At the home ground - 3 times.
Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama
- Total matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Albirex Niigata - 18, Fagiano Okayama - 11;
- BTTS for Albirex Niigata at home - 9 (56%);
- BTTS for Fagiano Okayama away - 5 (33%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Albirex Niigata - 5, Fagiano Okayama - 3;
- BTTS for Albirex Niigata at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS for Fagiano Okayama away - 1 (25%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and their head-to-head history, we can anticipate a cautious approach from both sides, with a focus on defending their goals. The trend suggests that Albirex rarely scores more than one goal against Fagiano, as evidenced by their recent encounters. Considering this season's statistics, both teams have shown low scoring rates-betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction from an analytical standpoint.
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Betting Tips: Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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