Italy U17 vs Spain U17 Prediction

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    📣 Italy and Spain are set to clash in the second semi-final of the UEFA Under-19 Euro 2026 in Estonia-a showdown between two sides whose defensive frailties were exposed in the group stage. Both teams conceded three goals in their final group matches, but their attacking firepower remains intact, promising an entertaining encounter. So, who will come out on top and book their place in the final? Check out our prediction for this highly anticipated fixture below.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    2 Wins
    17%
    1 Draw
    50%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    6
    Total Goals Avg
    3.33
    Both teams scored
    83%
    1.5
    Total average
    1.83
    1.17
    Yellow cards
    0.67
    Last matches
    04.06.26
    U17 European Championship
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    -
    -
    4
    8
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    4
    2
    -
    -
    4
    8
    4
    1
    3
    1
    22.01.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    20.01.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    18.05.23
    U17 European Championship
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10.05.19
    U17 European Ch.ship
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
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    Italy U17 Team Overview

    Italy secured top spot in Group B with confidence, recording wins over France (1-0) and Montenegro (3-0), followed by a 3-3 draw against Denmark. The squad have shown impressive attacking variety-they are comfortable both dominating possession and threatening with rapid breaks down the flanks. However, the draw with Denmark exposed defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in transitions after losing the ball, an area Daniele Franceschini will need to address ahead of the semi-final. Against Spain, Italy will have to balance attacking ambition with defensive discipline to avoid repeating previous mistakes.

    Match Results: Italy U17

    Last matches
    04.06.26
    U17 European Championship
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    -
    -
    4
    8
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    4
    2
    -
    -
    4
    8
    4
    1
    3
    1
    W
    01.06.26
    U17 European Championship
    Denmark U17
    Denmark U17
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    -
    -
    3
    4
    6
    1
    1
    2
    3
    3
    1
    3
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    6
    1
    1
    2
    D
    29.05.26
    U17 European Championship
    Montenegro U17
    Montenegro U17
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    -
    -
    8
    2
    0
    3
    4
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    0
    3
    4
    1
    W
    26.05.26
    U17 European Championship
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    France U17
    France U17
    -
    -
    5
    4
    0
    7
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    0
    7
    2
    1
    W
    31.03.26
    U17 European Championship QF
    Romania U17
    Romania U17
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Spain U17 Team Overview

    Spain have advanced from Group A thanks to convincing wins and a consistent tactical approach: a commanding 4-1 victory over Estonia and a narrow 1-0 win against Belgium showcased their attacking prowess. The main threat for La Roja is left winger Aron Gadu, who is in outstanding form and has the ability to decide games with moments of individual brilliance. Throughout the tournament, Spain’s coaching staff have demonstrated tactical flexibility-this side can both control possession and hit on the counter, adapting to their opponents as needed. Even after a defeat to Croatia in a match that had no bearing on qualification, Spain maintained their attacking philosophy despite rotating the squad. Heading into the semi-finals, they have both the motivation and squad depth to find answers against Italy’s resolute defence.

    Match Results: Spain U17

    Last matches
    04.06.26
    U17 European Championship
    Italy U17
    Italy U17
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    -
    -
    4
    8
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    4
    2
    -
    -
    4
    8
    4
    1
    3
    1
    L
    31.05.26
    U17 European Championship
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    Croatia U17
    Croatia U17
    -
    -
    4
    2
    9
    16
    1
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    4
    2
    9
    16
    1
    3
    L
    28.05.26
    U17 European Championship
    Belgium U17
    Belgium U17
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    -
    -
    1
    5
    15
    8
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    15
    8
    1
    1
    W
    25.05.26
    U17 European Championship
    Estonia U17
    Estonia U17
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    -
    -
    1
    11
    11
    9
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    11
    11
    9
    1
    2
    W
    23.04.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Spain U17
    Spain U17
    Ukraine U17
    Ukraine U17
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    We’re backing Spain to win. A 2-1 scoreline in their favour looks plausible, though it’s likely to be a tense and hard-fought contest. Spain are playing with clear attacking intent, and their collective firepower-boosted by the outstanding form of Aron Gadu-greatly increases their chances of both creating and converting scoring opportunities. Italy certainly have the ability to impose a physical battle and threaten on the counter, but defensive frailties and issues in midfield remain concerns. We believe La Furia Roja’s tactical flexibility and squad depth give them a clear edge in this head-to-head.

    Our choice
    Spain U17 Win at odds of -111*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 June 2026, 06:05)

    Betting Tips: Italy U17 - Spain U17

    Spain U17 have not lost
    spain-2in 9 of last 10 games.
    Spain U17 will not lose
    -385
    Italy U17 have not lost
    italy-1in last 17 games (U17 European Championship).
    italy-1in 14 of last 15 games.
    Italy U17 will not lose
    -145
    Italy U17 have scored
    italy-1in 35 of last 37 games.
    italy-1in last 17 games (U17 European Championship).
    Spain U17 have conceded
    spain-2in 9 of last 10 games (U17 European Championship).
    Italy U17 will score goal
    -200
    Over 2.5 goals scored
    italy-1in 8 of last 9 Italy U17 games (U17 European Championship).
    spain-2in 6 of last 7 Spain U17 games (U17 European Championship).
    Total goals Over (2.5)
    -106
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    8 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 9
    +9
    +20
    25 - Scored
    5 - Conceded
    8
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draw
    1
    1
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    25
    9
    Conceded
    5
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.5
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    3
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    36'
    View all stats