Ural vs Shinnik Prediction 4 May 2026

    📢 The clash between Ural and Shinnik promises to be intense. Ural sit in third place in the standings, consistently delivering strong performances, particularly on home turf. However, Shinnik bring their own strength to the table-an impressive nine-match unbeaten streak that underscores their confidence and stability. Both teams showcase contrasting styles: Ural adopt a more attacking approach, while Shinnik focus on defensive solidity.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 July 2025 and ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that match (with Shinnik as the home side):

    • possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corners: 7 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 1.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Ural Yekaterinburg and Shinnik Yaroslavl:

    • played 17 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 5, draws - 5;
    • number of goals - 17 against 15;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.88, in the 2nd half - 1;
    • average total goals in the match - 1.88.

    Head-to-head statistics Ural - Shinnik

    37%
    7 Wins
    32%
    6 Draws
    32%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    19
    Total Goals Avg
    1.84
    Both teams scored
    42%
    0.95
    Total average
    0.89
    Last matches
    14.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    04.05.26
    FNL
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    -
    -
    9
    1
    14
    9
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    9
    1
    14
    9
    0
    0
    19.07.25
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    -
    -
    7
    5
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    0
    0
    1
    2
    10.11.24
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    3
    20.07.24
    FNL
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Ural Yekaterinburg Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Football National League tournament (home team - Chelyabinsk, away team - Ural Yekaterinburg). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Ural Yekaterinburg vs Chelyabinsk):

    • ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 10;
    • fouls: 13 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 5.

    Ural currently sit third in the table, boasting a formidable attacking prowess. They have secured four victories in their last five matches, indicating the team is in excellent form. Over the past ten games, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored per match while conceding just 1 goal per game. This reflects a balanced approach both offensively and defensively. Their home fixtures have been particularly successful, bolstered by strong support from their fans.

    Match Results: Ural Yekaterinburg

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    FNL
    Spartak Kostroma
    Spartak Kostroma
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    1
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    3
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    FNL
    Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
    Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    1
    -
    -
    1
    2
    12
    19
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    2
    12
    19
    2
    3
    W
    14.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    D
    10.09.26
    Russian Cup
    Luki Energiya
    Luki Energiya
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    -
    -
    7
    8
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    06.09.26
    FNL
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Kamaz
    Kamaz
    -
    -
    7
    6
    12
    11
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    6
    12
    11
    1
    1
    W
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    Shinnik Yaroslavl Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Football National League tournament (home team - Shinnik Yaroslavl, away - SKA-Khabarovsk). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here are the match stats (Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA-Khabarovsk):

    • ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • fouls: 13 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 2.

    Shinnik have proven themselves as a tenacious team with a solid defense, remaining unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions. Although their scoring average stands at just 0.97 goals per match, their defense ranks among the best in the league, conceding only 0.81 goals per game on average. Currently sitting in eighth place, they consistently show resilience against higher-ranked opponents.

    Match Results: Shinnik Yaroslavl

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    4
    D
    18.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Kamaz
    Kamaz
    -
    -
    10
    1
    15
    13
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    15
    13
    3
    3
    L
    14.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    D
    10.09.26
    Russian Cup
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Torpedo Moscow
    Torpedo Moscow
    -
    -
    1
    2
    10
    14
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    10
    14
    2
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Rotor Volgograd
    Rotor Volgograd
    -
    -
    6
    2
    13
    17
    4
    6
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    2
    13
    17
    4
    6
    D
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    Latest news

    Ural Yekaterinburg

    Ural head into the match with significant absences: Aleksandr Selikhov is sidelined due to suspension (red card), and Yuri Zheleznov will miss out because of an accumulation of yellow cards. Additionally, Timur Ayupov (muscle injury) and Dmitry Prishchepa (knee surgery) are not included in the squad.

    Shinnik Yaroslavl

    Shinnik enter the match with a full-strength squad.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • home team wins - 7, away team wins - 5, draws - 5.

    Statistics: Ural Yekaterinburg vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

    • matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
    • wins: 17 vs 10;
    • win percentage: 55% vs 32%;
    • losses: 7 vs 8;
    • draws: 7 vs 13.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 4;
    • losses: 3 vs 1;
    • draws: 2 vs 5.
    Trends
    • Shinnik Yaroslavl won with a +1.5 handicap in last 13 games (Football National League).
    • Shinnik Yaroslavl won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games (Football National League).
    👉Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.28)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.88;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.88;
    • both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Ural Yekaterinburg vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

    • average total in the tournament: 2.45 vs 1.77;
    • average total goals scored: 1.55 vs 0.97;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.81 vs 0.52;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.74 vs 0.45;
    • Ural Yekaterinburg: average total at home in the tournament -  1.87;
    • Shinnik Yaroslavl: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2.2) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Ural Yekaterinburg games (Football National League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on corners

    Ural Yekaterinburg: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.58; at home field - 5.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 4.6.

    Shinnik Yaroslavl: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.84, away - 5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.8.
    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Ural Yekaterinburg home games (Football National League).
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 6 Shinnik Yaroslavl games (Football National League).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5) (odds: 1.68)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: Ural Yekaterinburg vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 11;
    • number of BTTS matches for Ural Yekaterinburg at home - 6 (40%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Shinnik Yaroslavl away - 7 (47%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Ural Yekaterinburg at home - 1 (20%);
    • BTTS matches for Shinnik Yaroslavl away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.71)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (45/280, 16.1%);
    • Ural Yekaterinburg at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (4/15, 26.7%);
    • Shinnik Yaroslavl away most often play: 0:0 (5/15, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 14.52% (odds 5)
    1:1 - 12.43% (odds 5.6)
    2:0 - 10.61% (odds 6.6)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0) (odds: 5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Ural enter the match as favorites, which makes sense given their position in the standings. However, Shinnik have shown resilience lately, avoiding defeats and likely aiming to put up a fight. Matches involving Ural often see goals, with at least two scored in 8 of their last 9 encounters. Considering this trend and the current form of both teams, betting on over 2 goals seems like a well-founded choice.

    Total goals Over (2)
    Odds-159
    Published: 01/05/2026, 23:49

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    Betting Tips: Ural Yekaterinburg - Shinnik Yaroslavl

    Shinnik Yaroslavl have not lost:
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin last 9 games (Football National League).
    Shinnik Yaroslavl will not lose
    -110
    Ural Yekaterinburg have not lost:
    fc-ural-yekaterinburgin 7 of last 8 home games (Football National League).
    Shinnik Yaroslavl have not won:
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 11 of last 12 away games (Football National League).
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 8 of last 9 away games.
    Ural Yekaterinburg will not lose
    -476
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 11 of last 12 Shinnik Yaroslavl games (Football National League).
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 7 of last 8 Shinnik Yaroslavl away games (Football National League).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -500
    Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored under 1.5 goals:
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 11 of last 12 away games (Football National League).
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 8 of last 9 away games.
    Shinnik Yaroslavl Total goals Under (1,5)
    -455
    View more facts

    Ural - Shinnik Table position

    Football National League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    34208644-2268
    3.
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    34187951-3161
    4.
    Rotor Volgograd
    Rotor Volgograd
    341511847-2656
    7.
    Spartak Kostroma
    Spartak Kostroma
    341213946-4149
    8.
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    341115834-2848
    9.
    Torpedo Moscow
    Torpedo Moscow
    3412101237-3946

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 7
    +11
    +2
    12 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    5
    1
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    12
    7
    Conceded
    10
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.2
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats