Penarol vs Defensor Prediction 4 May 2026
📢 In the upcoming Primera Division round, Peñarol host Defensor Sporting. Both teams sit mid-table, and their current form is far from impressive. Peñarol are winless in six consecutive matches, highlighting issues with confidence and game organization. Meanwhile, Defensor Sporting consistently pick up points thanks to disciplined defense, but they struggle to score when playing away.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Peñarol were the home side):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 8 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Peñarol and Defensor Sporting:
- 45 matches played;
- home victories - 24, away victories - 11, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 69 against 46;
- average first-half total - 1.02, second-half total - 1.53;
- average total goals per match - 2.56.
Head-to-head statistics Penarol - Defensor
Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Copa Libertadores, featuring Corinthians as the home side against Peñarol. The game concluded with a 2-0 victory for Corinthians.
Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Peñarol vs Corinthians):
- possession percentage: 22% vs 78%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Peñarol have been inconsistent in their last five matches, suffering three defeats and securing just one draw. Despite this, they hold third place in the standings, thanks to a stronger start to the season. On home turf, Peñarol display an aggressive style of play, aiming to dominate through ball possession. However, their defense remains a weak point, as they have conceded in each of their last nine home games.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Defensor Sporting Team Overview
The visiting team recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament (home team - Defensor Sporting, visitors - Progreso). The encounter ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Defensor Sporting vs Progreso):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 7 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 6;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Defensor Sporting currently sit sixth in the league and are renowned for their solid defense, conceding just 0.58 goals per game. The team tends to focus on defensive play, as evidenced by their low scoring rate of 0.7 goals per match on average this season. On the road, they are particularly cautious and have often failed to find the net, going scoreless in five of their last six away matches.
Match Results: Defensor Sporting
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 45;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.02;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.51, while the visitors net 0.51.
First-Half Stats: Penarol Montevideo (home) vs Defensor Sporting (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 1 (16.67%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 5 (83.33%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 4 (66.67%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 0.67;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 6 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.9) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.3).
- Penarol Montevideo have lost the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
- Penarol Montevideo have lost the 1st half in 5 of last 6 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- home team wins - 24, away team wins - 11, draws - 10.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 50% vs 33%;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
- Defensor Sporting won with a +1.5 handicap in last 23 games (Primera Division).
- Defensor Sporting won with a +1.5 handicap in last 19 games.
- Defensor Sporting won with a +1.5 handicap in last 13 away games.
- Defensor Sporting won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.53, the guests - 1.02;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 1.33;
- average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.58 vs 0.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.42;
- Penarol Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Defensor Sporting: average total away in the tournament - 0.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 0.7 (away - 0.2).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Penarol Montevideo home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 11 Penarol Montevideo home games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Penarol Montevideo games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Penarol Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.17; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 4.6.
Defensor Sporting: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.92, away - 3.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 4.2.
- Penarol Montevideo have taken under 5.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 5 (83%);
- number of BTTS matches for Defensor Sporting away - 2 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Defensor Sporting away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (16/97, 16.5%);
- Penarol Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:1 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Defensor Sporting away most often play: 1:0 (3/6, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.63% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 12.15% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 11.38% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering recent trends, Defensor Sporting struggle to find the net on the road - with just one goal in their last six away games - which strengthens the odds of betting on an individual total under 0.5 for the visitors. While Peñarol's defense isn't particularly reliable even at home, the attacking potential of the visitors remains limited. A 1-0 scoreline is possible.No comments
Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Defensor Sporting
in 6 of last 7 home games.in 5 of last 6 home games (Primera Division).
in last 6 games.in 16 of last 18 home games (Primera Division).in 11 of last 12 away games (Primera Division).in last 8 away games.in 20 of last 21 home games.in 17 of last 18 home games (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 away games.in 8 of last 9 away games (Primera Division).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
