Fakel vs Spartak Moscow Prediction 4 May 2025
🔊 Can Spartak break back into the top three of the Russian Premier League? To achieve this, they need to defeat the underdog and hope for a slip-up from CSKA. On paper, the first task seems straightforward. However, Fakel have improved their play, even if it hasn't yet translated into results. Fakel's artificial turf at their home stadium could also work in their favor. The "Red-Whites" dropped many points away from home in the spring. Therefore, we will explore various options to make a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Fakel and Spartak:
- 7 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 5, draws - 0;
- goals scored - 8 for Fakel, 15 for Spartak;
- average total in the first half - 1.57, in the second half - 1.71;
- average total goals per match - 3.29.
Head-to-head statistics Fakel - Spartak Moscow

Fakel Voronezh Team Overview
🔵 Fakel last tasted victory in October when they managed to defeat Akhmat. They also secured a point against them in the spring phase of the championship (0-0). However, that remains the only point they've managed to earn over a stretch of nine matches. Fakel have gone nine consecutive games without finding the back of the net. Unsurprisingly, they have slipped to the bottom of the league table, and it's a position they have earned.
🔗 Since April, the team has been under the guidance of Igor Shalimov. The quality of play has seen some improvement, and they even broke their goalless streak in the last round. Vladimir Ilyin found the net in the middle of the first half against Rubin. However, discipline was an issue, as Nikita Motspan received a red card before halftime. In the second half, Fakel conceded twice and suffered another defeat (1-2).
Match Results: Fakel Voronezh

Spartak Moscow Team Overview
🔴 Spartak have yet to secure back-to-back wins in the spring phase of the RPL. This lack of consistency has seen them fall out of the title race. However, they still had a solid chance to finish in the top three. To achieve this, it was crucial not to lose against CSKA last weekend, a direct rival. Unfortunately, the "Red-Whites" fell short (1-2). They conceded just before halftime and managed to equalize with a penalty late in the match. Yet, the draw lasted only two minutes.
🔗 Spartak continue their campaign in the Russian Cup and remain in contention for the trophy. This week, they defeated Dynamo Moscow (2-1) and advanced to the final of the Path of Regions, where they will face Rostov, a team they have lost to twice in this tournament.
Match Results: Spartak Moscow
Latest news
Fakel Voronezh
📌 At the end of the first half against Rubin, an unfortunate incident occurred. Max Dziov collided with Ilya Rozhkov, resulting in a fractured leg with displacement. The midfielder remained in Kazan, where he recently underwent surgery. "Max is feeling great. When the situation allows, the club will arrange for his transfer to Moscow for further rehabilitation at a local clinic," states the press office of the Voronezh team.
⚡️ Fakel expressed dissatisfaction with the officiating. They were particularly upset about an incident in the 15th minute in Rubin's penalty area. The referee did not award a penalty, but the video assistant called him to review the play. However, the monitor was not working, so the decision stood. The broadcast even displayed the caption "VAR operating with limitations."
❌ Max Dziov is out for an extended period. Fakel have no other injured players. However, Nikita Motspan will miss the match due to suspension after being sent off against Rubin. Irakli Kvekveskiri will also be absent, having accumulated too many yellow cards.
Spartak Moscow
📣 Spartak didn't deliver their best performance against Dynamo Moscow. However, head coach Dejan Stankovic expressed satisfaction with his players' efforts: "I want to thank my guys; it wasn't easy for them to quickly recover both mentally and physically after the match with CSKA. Today, we played brilliantly, had to endure, it was very tough, but we fought through fatigue like real heroes. On the field, there was a true team, 11 lions fighting for a common goal."
📝 The club's management has decided to part ways with Mienti Abena and Ricardo Mangas this summer, acknowledging missteps in their transfers. Meanwhile, Dejan Stankovic has been offered a new contract, and negotiations are ongoing.
❌ After the derby with CSKA, Spartak lost two key players. Leading defender Srdjan Babic received a red card, and contract extension talks are underway with him. Ezequiel Barco, the main architect of their attacks, will also miss the match against Fakel due to a suspension for accumulating yellow cards.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 5, draws - 0.
Statistics: Fakel Voronezh vs Spartak Moscow
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of wins: 2 vs 15;
- win percentage: 8% vs 58%;
- number of losses: 15 vs 6;
- number of draws: 9 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 0 vs 6;
- number of losses: 8 vs 3;
- number of draws: 2 vs 1.
- Fakel Voronezh have lost in 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 2.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Fakel Voronezh vs Spartak Moscow
- average total in the tournament: 1.96 vs 2.77;
- average total goals scored: 0.46 vs 1.88;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.15 vs 0.81;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.31 vs 1.08;
- Fakel Voronezh: average total at home in the tournament - 0.33;
- Spartak Moscow: average total away in the tournament - 1.58;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.1 (home - 0) vs 1.9 (away - 2).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Spartak Moscow away games (Premier League).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.43 (4 - for home team and 5.43 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.34 (5.67 - for home team and 5.67 - for away team).
Fakel Voronezh: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.15; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.5.
Spartak Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5, away - 4.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 5.2.
- Under 10.5 corners in 10 of last 11 Spartak Moscow away games.
- Under 10.5 corners in 8 of last 9 Spartak Moscow away games (Premier League).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 6 (3 for home team and 3 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5 (2.33 for home team and 2.67 for away team).
Fakel Voronezh: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 2.25.
Spartak Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.46, away - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Fakel Voronezh vs Spartak Moscow
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Fakel Voronezh at home - 3 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Spartak Moscow away - 5 (42%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 1 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Fakel Voronezh at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Spartak Moscow away - 3 (60%).