Universitario Pronostico vs Alianza Lima Prediction 5 April 2026
🔊 The clash between Universitario and Alianza Lima promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams. Universitario have been strong at home, while Alianza Lima have delivered impressive performances on the road. Tournament motivation could play a crucial role, as the visitors aim to solidify their lead in the standings.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 24 August 2025 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Universitario were the home side):
- possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 0.
📊 Analytical review of past official encounters between Universitario and Alianza Lima:
- 39 matches played;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 15, draws - 10;
- goals scored (home/away) - 37 to 40;
- average total goals per match - 1.97.
Head-to-head statistics Universitario Pronostico - Alianza Lima
Universitario de Deportes Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera Division, with Comerciantes Unidos hosting Universitario. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Universitario showcase consistent form on home turf. In their last five matches, the club secured two wins, drew twice, and suffered one defeat. Their attack isn't always prolific, averaging 1.38 goals per match, but their defense is solid, conceding just 0.88 goals per game. Universitario aim to leverage their home advantage to solidify their position at the top of the table, though the clash against the league leaders promises to be challenging.
Match Results: Universitario de Deportes
Alianza Lima Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Primera Division, with Alianza Lima hosting Juan Pablo 2. The match ended with a 2-0 victory for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo 2):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 2 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
Alianza Lima are in exceptional form, currently sitting at the top of the table. The team have won four of their last five matches, showcasing a solid defense with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per game and an effective attack, averaging 1.5 goals per match. In their most recent outing, they secured a convincing victory, highlighting their consistency on the field. Despite being away from home, Alianza Lima are eager to strengthen their lead and extend their unbeaten run. The club's confidence on the road is bolstered not only by statistics but also by their determination to remain at the summit of the league.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Universitario de Deportes (Home) vs Alianza Lima (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- Number of wins: 1 (25%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 3 (75%) vs 4 (100%);
- Average total goals scored: 0.25 vs 0.5;
- Average total goals conceded: 0 vs 0.25.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 0;
- Number of draws: 6 vs 8;
- Average first half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2).
- Universitario de Deportes have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games (Primera Division).
- Alianza Lima have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
- Alianza Lima have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 15, draws - 10.
Statistics: Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- win percentage: 50% vs 75%;
- losses: 1 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Alianza Lima won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games against Universitario de Deportes (Primera Division).
- Alianza Lima won with a +1.5 handicap in last 33 games.
- Alianza Lima won with a +1.5 handicap in last 26 games (Primera Division).
- Alianza Lima won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 away games (Primera Division).
- Alianza Lima won with a +1.5 handicap in last 15 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.95, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.97;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima
- average total in the tournament: 2.25 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
- Universitario de Deportes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Alianza Lima: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.3 (away - 0.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Universitario de Deportes home games against Alianza Lima (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Universitario de Deportes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7; at home field - 7.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.9; at home field - 7.4.
Alianza Lima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.38, away - 4.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 4.
- Alianza Lima have taken under 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Universitario de Deportes (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Universitario de Deportes at home - 1 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Alianza Lima away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Universitario de Deportes at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Alianza Lima away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (12/72, 16.7%);
- Universitario de Deportes at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (2/4, 50%);
- Alianza Lima away most often play: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:2 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 16.31% (odds 6)
0:0 - 13.79% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 12.58% (odds 6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing current trends and team forms, it's reasonable to predict that the match will be restrained in terms of goals. Universitario have been showing strong performances at home, as evidenced by their winning trend. However, Alianza Lima are in excellent form and aim to solidify their leadership in the league by avoiding defeats. The trend for under 2.5 goals is supported by the statistics of their recent head-to-head encounters. This suggests a likely cautious game with a focus on defense. Therefore, the most insightful prediction is to bet on the aforementioned option.
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Betting Tips: Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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