Progreso vs Penarol Prediction 4 April 2026
📣 The clash between Progreso and Peñarol promises to be thrilling. Both teams showcase different approaches to the game, which could impact the final outcome. Progreso sit mid-table but have shown poor form in recent matches. Meanwhile, Peñarol confidently hold the second spot thanks to consistent performances. Read the prediction for their duel below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 2-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (with Peñarol as the home side):
- possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Progreso and Peñarol:
- 21 matches played;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 15, draws - 4;
- total goals - 16 vs 40;
- average goals in the 1st half - 0.95, in the 2nd half - 1.71;
- average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Progreso - Penarol
Progreso Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Primera tournament, featuring Progreso as the home side and Liverpool Montevideo as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-3 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Progreso have recently been struggling with both scoring and defense. Over their last five matches, they've secured just one victory, drawing three times. They average one goal per game while conceding 1.67. The team currently sits in fourteenth place on the league table, highlighting the need for improved performances to maintain their standing.
Match Results: Progreso
Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Peñarol as the hosts and Racing Montevideo as the guests. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Peñarol vs Racing Montevideo):
- possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Peñarol hold second place thanks to their excellent form: seven wins in their last ten matches speak volumes. With an average of 1.5 goals per game, their attacking prowess is evident. Their last five games resulted in three victories, one draw, and one loss, highlighting their consistency and effectiveness.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 15, draws - 4.
Statistics: Progreso vs Penarol Montevideo
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 1 vs 5;
- win percentage: 11% vs 63%;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 7;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
- Progreso have lost in 8 of last 9 games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.76, the guests - 1.9;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Progreso vs Penarol Montevideo
- average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 2.38;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.63;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 0.88;
- Progreso: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Penarol Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.17) vs 1.5 (away - 1.25).
- Penarol Montevideo have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Progreso (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Progreso: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.22; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 4.5.
Penarol Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 5.5.
- Penarol Montevideo have taken under 5.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games against Progreso (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Progreso vs Penarol Montevideo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 2 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (13/65, 20%);
- Progreso at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:3 , 2:2 , 3:3 (1/4, 25%);
- Penarol Montevideo away most often play: 0:1 , 0:2 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 15.02% (odds 5.05)
0:2 - 13.36% (odds 5.3)
1:2 - 9.93% (odds 7.7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trends and the current form of the teams, the most likely outcome is under 2.5 goals in the match. Although Peñarol boast a strong attack, their away games often feature a low number of goals (as indicated by the trend). This is backed by recent home game statistics for Progreso and the form of both clubs. A 1-1 draw is a possible scoreline.
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Betting Tips: Progreso - Penarol Montevideo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
