Breda vs Sparta Prediction 5 April 2026
🔊 Can Sparta climb back into the top eight of the Eredivisie after their away match against Breda? The Rotterdam side recently snapped their winless streak and are eager to build on that success. NAC, on the other hand, are struggling and haven't secured a victory in their last four league matches, yet they still hold onto the hope of staying in the Dutch top flight. Which club is more likely to achieve their goals? Let's evaluate the odds for both teams in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sparta):
- ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 14;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 9.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams NAC Breda and Sparta:
- played 28 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 5, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 54 against 30;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Breda - Sparta
NAC Breda Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PEC Zwolle, away team - NAC Breda). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
NAC Breda are facing significant challenges this season, languishing at the bottom of the Eredivisie standings since Matchday 17. There's little sign of an unexpected turnaround on the horizon, with the team securing just two victories in their last ten matches and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game. Additionally, their home record offers little comfort, with only two wins over the same stretch.
Match Results: NAC Breda
Sparta Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Sparta, away - Volendam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Sparta vs Volendam):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 15 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Sparta currently sit 9th in the Eredivisie standings, having recently slipped from the top five. The team endured a six-match winless streak not long ago, but managed to break that run with a home victory over Volendam (2-0) in the last round. However, their away form needs improvement, as they've suffered three consecutive defeats on the road. It's worth noting that these setbacks came against clubs in the top eight of the league.
Match Results: Sparta
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 5, draws - 8.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Sparta
- matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- wins: 5 vs 12;
- win percentage: 18% vs 43%;
- losses: 15 vs 11;
- draws: 8 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Sparta have drawn in last 3 away games against NAC Breda (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.93, the guests - 1.07;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Sparta
- average total in the tournament: 2.82 vs 2.93;
- average total goals scored: 1.04 vs 1.25;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.46 vs 0.46;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 0.79;
- NAC Breda: average total at home in the tournament - 1.29;
- Sparta: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.8) vs 1.5 (away - 1.5).
- NAC Breda have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Sparta
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for NAC Breda at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sparta away - 6 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for NAC Breda at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Sparta away - 4 (67%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/252, 11.1%);
- NAC Breda at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/14, 21.4%);
- Sparta away most often play: 0:1 (3/14, 21.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.68% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 8.01% (odds 9)
2:2 - 7.77% (odds 12)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on current form and statistics, it's reasonable to predict that NAC Breda will struggle offensively. The team's results remain consistently poor regardless of home or away games. This is largely due to their low scoring rate, as NAC Breda, alongside Excelsior, rank among the worst in the Eredivisie. Furthermore, NAC have scored no more than one goal in six of their last seven league matches. Given these factors, a bet on NAC Breda under 1.5 goals seems well-founded.
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Betting Tips: NAC Breda - Sparta
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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