AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction 4 April 2026
🔊 Will AZ's dominance over Fortuna continue in Alkmaar? The club from Sittard hasn't won away against AZ in over 25 years. The Alkmaar side showcases an impressive attacking style, especially at home, where they often engage in goal fests, both scoring and conceding. The same can be said for Fortuna when playing away. Should we expect another thrilling match this time, or will the visitors, in their pursuit of European competition, play a more defensive game? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on this and other questions about the upcoming clash.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Fortuna Sittard):
- ball possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 9.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard:
- played 25 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 16, for the away team - 6, draws - 3;
- number of goals (home/away) - 50 against 27;
- average total goals in the match - 3.08.
Head-to-head statistics AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Groningen, away team - AZ Alkmaar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
AZ Alkmaar are currently in 6th place in the league and still have a shot at securing a spot in the Europa League, with a six-point gap from the top four. They show strong form at home, averaging two goals per match on their own turf and remaining unbeaten since late January. However, their defense can be shaky, as evidenced by conceding more than one goal per game.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Fortuna Sittard, away - Twente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Fortuna Sittard vs Twente):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 6 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Fortuna sit 11th in the Eredivisie, aiming to break free from mid-table obscurity and edge closer to the European competition spots, which are currently six points away. The Sittard side consistently find the back of the net in nearly every match, including on the road, as evidenced by their ongoing six-game away scoring streak. However, defensive issues remain their primary concern, with the team conceding an average of more than two goals per game.
Match Results: Fortuna Sittard
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 6, draws - 3.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard
- matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- wins: 12 vs 10;
- win percentage: 43% vs 36%;
- losses: 10 vs 13;
- draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
- Fortuna Sittard won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 games.
- Fortuna Sittard won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1.08;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.08;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard
- average total in the tournament: 3.29 vs 3.39;
- average total goals scored: 1.68 vs 1.54;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.86 vs 0.82;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.82 vs 0.71;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament - 2.23;
- Fortuna Sittard: average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 3) vs 1.6 (away - 1.8).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 AZ Alkmaar games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 AZ Alkmaar home games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 13 Fortuna Sittard games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 12 Fortuna Sittard games (Eredivisie).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Fortuna Sittard away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.57; at home field - 5.62;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 5.6.
Fortuna Sittard: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.39, away - 3.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 3.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 22;
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 11 (85%);
- number of BTTS matches for Fortuna Sittard away - 11 (79%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 10;
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Fortuna Sittard away - 5 (100%).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 home games (Eredivisie).
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 13 games.
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 12 games (Eredivisie).
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 6 away games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/252, 11.1%);
- AZ Alkmaar at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:2 , 4:1 (2/13, 15.4%);
- Fortuna Sittard away most often play: 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:1 (2/14, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.11% (odds 8.3)
2:0 - 8.55% (odds 8.2)
3:1 - 7.74% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
AZ Alkmaar, despite their inconsistent results, continue to display a strong attacking presence, especially on home turf. However, their defense often leaves gaps for opponents, conceding on average more than a goal per game. Fortuna are well-positioned to exploit the hosts' lapses, having scored in six consecutive away matches. Considering that 13 of AZ's last 15 home games have ended with both teams finding the net, a bet on both teams to score (yes) appears to be a well-founded prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
