Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Prediction

    🔊 In Medellin, Atletico Nacional will host Millonarios in the Copa Sudamericana qualifiers. The clash promises to be intense as both teams aim to assert their status as Colombia's top clubs and secure a spot in the tournament's group stage. Atletico enter the match with a more consistent form in recent weeks and confidence on their home turf, while Millonarios are striving to find their rhythm after a series of inconsistent performances. The head-to-head history shows the hosts have been slightly more dominant in recent derbies, but a draw or an unexpected victory for the visitors can't be ruled out. The match is set to be filled with action and a fierce battle for control from the first whistle.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 September 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative look at the statistics from that match (with Atlético Nacional as the home side):

    • possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
    • fouls: 14 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 5.

    📊 Analytical overview of past official encounters between Atlético Nacional and Millonarios:

    • A total of 53 matches played;
    • Home wins: 18, Away wins: 15, Draws: 20;
    • Goals scored (home/away): 58 to 51;
    • Average total goals per match: 2.06.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    18 Wins
    36%
    20 Draws
    31%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    55
    Total Goals Avg
    2.11
    Both teams scored
    49%
    1.07
    Total average
    1.04
    2.6
    Yellow cards
    2.22
    Last matches
    18.03.26
    Liga Aguila
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    2
    -
    -
    6
    3
    15
    7
    2
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    15
    7
    2
    4
    05.03.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.81
    1.67
    11
    0
    10
    16
    3
    4
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1.81
    1.67
    11
    0
    10
    16
    3
    4
    28.09.25
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.7
    0.79
    7
    4
    14
    14
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.7
    0.79
    7
    4
    14
    14
    3
    2
    17.06.25
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.07
    0.97
    9
    3
    11
    12
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.07
    0.97
    9
    3
    11
    12
    4
    2
    06.06.25
    Liga Aguila
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1.13
    0.4
    4
    2
    16
    16
    3
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.13
    0.4
    4
    2
    16
    16
    3
    4
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    Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A tournament (home team - Deportes Tolima, visitors - Atlético Nacional). The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima):

    • possession: 37% vs 63%;
    • corners: 4 vs 7;
    • fouls: 9 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    🟢 Atletico are heading into the match in good form, though questions linger about their defense. They show confidence at home, controlling possession and pressing opponents aggressively. Their home ground, the "Atanasio Girardot" stadium, traditionally aids them in imposing their style of play. The attacking line looks convincing, with forwards consistently creating chances and scoring, which boosts their confidence ahead of this crucial qualification match. The head-to-head history with Millonarios reveals a fierce rivalry, but Atletico know how to leverage the home advantage to turn the tide of the derby in their favor.

    Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Last matches
    08.06.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    1
    -
    -
    13
    5
    6
    9
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    5
    6
    9
    3
    4
    W
    03.06.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    13
    3
    5
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    13
    3
    5
    L
    23.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    W
    16.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    W
    12.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Internacional de Bogota
    Internacional de Bogota
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    3
    0
    1
    7
    1
    2
    1
    5
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    3
    0
    1
    W
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    Millonarios Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Primera A tournament, with Millonarios hosting Deportes Pereira. The match concluded with a 5-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Millonarios vs Deportes Pereira):

    • possession: 55% vs 45%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
    • fouls: 6 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 12 vs 3.

    🔵 Millonarios approach their away match in a challenging form. The team occasionally displays organized play both in attack and defense, but consistency in results remains elusive. On the road, Millonarios often concede the initiative to their opponents and are forced to rely on counterattacks, making this clash with the hosts particularly tough. Nonetheless, their experienced players and ability to secure points in crucial fixtures give the team a chance for a positive outcome, provided they can minimize defensive errors.

    Match Results: Millonarios

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Cup
    Atletico FC Cali
    Atletico FC Cali
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    -
    -
    3
    11
    10
    9
    2
    2
    1
    8
    0
    5
    1
    3
    -
    -
    3
    11
    10
    9
    2
    2
    W
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    O´Higgins
    O´Higgins
    1.88
    0.59
    7
    4
    9
    13
    3
    5
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1.88
    0.59
    7
    4
    9
    13
    3
    5
    L
    23.05.26
    Cup
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    D
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    D
    15.05.26
    Cup
    Boyaca Patriotas
    Boyaca Patriotas
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    -
    -
    1
    7
    13
    10
    3
    3
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    1
    7
    13
    10
    3
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 53;
    • Home wins - 18, Away wins - 15, Draws - 20.
    Trends
    • Millonarios have covered the +1.5 spread on the road in 15 of the last 16 head-to-head encounters.
    • Millonarios have covered the +1.5 spread in 16 consecutive matches.
    • Millonarios have covered the +1.5 spread on the road in 8 consecutive matches.
    👉Prediction: Millonarios Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.34)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches (average total):

    • Home team - 1.09, Away team - 0.96;
    • Overall head-to-head - 2.06;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - 26 times; at home field - 12 times.
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches at the home team's field.
    • Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2.5) (odds: 1.53)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Over 7.5 corners has occurred in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches at the home team's field.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (7.5) (odds: 1.35)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 53;
    • Both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
    • At home field - 12 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.57)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the teams' form, their standings in the Colombian Primera, and their head-to-head history, the match appears to tilt in favor of Atletico. The hosts are known for controlling the game at home and dictating the pace, while Millonarios tend to play cautiously on the road, often relying on counter-attacks. Previous encounters indicate a slight edge for Atletico, especially on their home turf. However, our prediction is: total under 2.5 goals, which has occurred in the last 5 meetings between these clubs.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -185*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 March 2026, 01:24)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Nacional Medellin - Millonarios

    Millonarios have drawn in the 1st half
    millonarios-fcin 6 of last 7 away games.
    1st Half Draw
    MyBookie
    +225
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have won
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 12 of last 14 home games.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin Win
    MyBookie
    +195
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have not won
    atletico-nacional-medellinmillonarios-fcin 13 of last 14 home games against Millonarios.
    Millonarios will not lose
    Everygame
    +129
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have not lost
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 22 of last 23 home games.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin will not lose
    MyBookie
    -182
    View more facts

    Atletico Nacional - Millonarios Table position

    Group stage Group C
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    63306-112
    2.
    O´Higgins
    O´Higgins
    63128-610
    3.
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    62227-78
    4.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    61055-123

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 4
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 10
    +9
    +12
    24 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    5
    0
    Draws
    4
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    24
    10
    Conceded
    12
    2.9
    Match goals average
    3.6
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.4
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    4
    Both teams scored
    7
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    38'
    View all stats