Palmeiras vs Vitoria Prediction 5 February 2026

    🔊 The upcoming match in the second round of the Brazilian Championship between Palmeiras and Vitória promises to be an intriguing showdown. Both teams showcase different styles of play, adding excitement to this event. Palmeiras are known for their solid defense, especially at home, where they rarely concede. Meanwhile, Vitória have proven themselves as a competitive side on the road. Although the hosts haven't had the best start to the season, they remain determined to deliver consistent performances in front of their fans and compete for titles across all competitions.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 19 November 2025 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Palmeiras were the home side):

    • possession: 71% vs 29%;
    • corners: 6 vs 3;
    • fouls: 16 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 0.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Palmeiras and Vitória:

    • 22 matches played;
    • home victories - 12, away victories - 4, draws - 6;
    • goal tally - 37 to 24;
    • average first-half total - 1.23, second-half - 1.55;
    • average total goals per match - 2.77.

    Head-to-head statistics Palmeiras - Vitoria

    58%
    14 Wins
    25%
    6 Draws
    17%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    24
    Total Goals Avg
    2.96
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.92
    Total average
    1.04
    1.33
    Yellow cards
    2.08
    Last matches
    30.07.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    2
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    0.53
    1.57
    6
    1
    10
    15
    3
    2
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0.53
    1.57
    6
    1
    10
    15
    3
    2
    05.02.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    2.09
    0.63
    6
    4
    2
    0
    1
    4
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    2.09
    0.63
    6
    4
    2
    0
    1
    4
    19.11.25
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.09
    0.11
    6
    3
    16
    14
    2
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.09
    0.11
    6
    3
    16
    14
    2
    4
    03.08.25
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1.01
    1.71
    6
    2
    13
    21
    5
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1.01
    1.71
    6
    2
    13
    21
    5
    1
    27.07.24
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1
    -
    -
    13
    2
    14
    8
    2
    6
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    13
    2
    14
    8
    2
    6
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    Palmeiras Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Paulista A1 League, with Botafogo São Paulo hosting Palmeiras. The game concluded with a 1-0 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Palmeiras vs Botafogo São Paulo):

    • possession: 61% vs 39%;
    • corners: 7 vs 8;
    • fouls: 16 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    🟢 Palmeiras barely escaped with a draw in their opening round clash against Atletico Mineiro in Belo Horizonte, finishing 2-2. Jose Lopez got the scoring underway, but the "green and whites" conceded before halftime. In the second half, after Kelven's own goal, Abel Ferreira's side had to fight back. Vitor Roque came to the rescue. Simultaneously, Palmeiras are competing in the Paulista League, where they sit in second place after six rounds, amassing 12 points. So far this year, the club has played seven matches, securing four wins, one draw, and suffering two losses.

    Match Results: Palmeiras

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1.71
    1.61
    5
    3
    8
    21
    1
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1
    1.71
    1.61
    5
    3
    8
    21
    1
    3
    W
    19.08.26
    libertadores
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    0.64
    0.83
    7
    6
    17
    17
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.64
    0.83
    7
    6
    17
    17
    2
    1
    W
    15.08.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    2.17
    1.65
    5
    5
    16
    17
    4
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2.17
    1.65
    5
    5
    16
    17
    4
    3
    L
    12.08.26
    libertadores
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    1.72
    0.29
    7
    2
    10
    16
    0
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.72
    0.29
    7
    2
    10
    16
    0
    5
    D
    09.08.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Internacional
    Internacional
    1.49
    0.36
    5
    2
    11
    16
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.49
    0.36
    5
    2
    11
    16
    1
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Vitoria Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Baiano League (home team - Barcelona de Ilheus, away team - Vitoria). The match ended with a 0-2 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Vitoria vs Barcelona de Ilheus):

    • possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

    🔴 Vitória secured a win in their Serie A opener against newcomers Remo Belém with a 2-0 victory. The first three points of the season were delivered by goals from Renato Kayzer and Gabriel Baralhas in the second half. Building on that success, the "Lions of Barra" defeated Barcelona de Ilhéus with the same scoreline in the Baiano Championship, thanks to goals from Lavan and Luis Miguel. After six rounds, Jair Ventura's squad sits in second place in the state championship. Since the start of the season, Vitória have played seven matches: they began with three consecutive draws, followed by a win, a loss, and then two more victories.

    Match Results: Vitoria

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    L
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1
    2.36
    0.92
    8
    4
    19
    18
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.36
    0.92
    8
    4
    19
    18
    2
    3
    W
    09.08.26
    Serie A
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.23
    0.21
    8
    1
    13
    8
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.23
    0.21
    8
    1
    13
    8
    1
    1
    L
    06.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    8
    6
    13
    18
    5
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    6
    13
    18
    5
    3
    W
    04.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1
    1.48
    0.61
    5
    0
    16
    10
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.48
    0.61
    5
    0
    16
    10
    3
    1
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 22;
    • Home team first-half wins - 7; Away team first-half wins - 0; Draws - 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1.23;
    • Today's home side averages 0.73 goals, while the visitors average 0.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 3 vs 3;
    • Losses: 1 vs 1;
    • Draws: 6 vs 6;
    • Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2).
    Trends
    • Palmeiras have drawn the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches (Serie A).
    • Palmeiras have drawn the first half at home in 5 consecutive matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.36)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 22;
    • Home wins - 12, Away wins - 4, Draws - 6.

    Statistics: Palmeiras vs Vitória

    • Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
    • Wins: 0 vs 1;
    • Win percentage: 0% vs 100%;
    • Losses: 0 vs 0;
    • Draws: 1 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 6 vs 5;
    • Losses: 3 vs 2;
    • Draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Vitória have covered the +1.5 handicap in the last 5 head-to-head Serie A matches.
    • Vitória have covered the +1.5 handicap in 13 of their last 14 matches.
    • Vitória have covered the +1.5 handicap in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches.
    👉Prediction: Vitoria Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.75)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head

    • Average goals scored by home team - 1.68, away team - 1.09;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.77;
    • Both teams scoring: overall - 11 times; at home ground - 5 times.
    Trends
    • Total goals under 2.5 has occurred in Palmeiras’ last 6 home matches.
    • Total goals under 2.5 has occurred in Vitória’s last 7 out of 8 matches.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5)(odds: 1.91)

    Corner Prediction

    Palmeiras: Stats

    • Season: average total in tournament - 7; at home - 0;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.9; at home - 6.25.

    Vitória: Stats

    • Season: average total in tournament - 4, away - 0;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; away - 3.75.
    Trends
    • Vitória have taken fewer than 3.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head Serie A matches.
    • Vitória have taken fewer than 3.5 corners away in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Vitoria Total Under (3,5)(odds: 1.77)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 22;
    • Both teams scored overall - 11 times;
    • At home ground - 5 times.

    Statistics: Palmeiras vs Vitória

    • Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
    • Matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
    • BTTS for Palmeiras at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS for Vitória away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Matches with BTTS: 3 vs 1;
    • BTTS for Palmeiras at home - 1 (25%);
    • BTTS for Vitória away - 1 (25%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.6)

    Exact Score Prediction

    Trends
    • Palmeiras have drawn with a score of 0-0 at home in 3 of their last 4 Serie A matches.
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:0)(odds: 9.1)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Considering the current trends and statistics of both teams, it's reasonable to anticipate a low-scoring affair. Palmeiras' defense is notably effective at home, but let's focus on the visitors' backline. Vitória have covered the spread (+1.5) in 5 head-to-head matches against the "green-and-whites." Moreover, they have finished 13 of their last 14 games with this spread. That's why we're settling on this option.

    Vitoria Handicap (+1,5)
    Published: 03/02/2026, 01:24

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    Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Vitoria

    Palmeiras have drawn in the 1st half:
    palmeiras-sp-1in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    palmeiras-sp-1in last 5 home games (Serie A).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +158
    Vitoria have not lost:
    vitoria-ba-1in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    Vitoria will not lose
    Everygame
    +210
    Palmeiras have not lost:
    palmeiras-sp-1vitoria-ba-1in 10 of last 11 home games against Vitoria.
    palmeiras-sp-1vitoria-ba-1in 9 of last 10 home games against Vitoria (Serie A).
    palmeiras-sp-1in 16 of last 17 home games.
    palmeiras-sp-1in last 14 home games (Serie A).
    Vitoria have not won:
    vitoria-ba-1in 16 of last 18 away games (Serie A).
    Palmeiras will not lose
    Everygame
    -1250
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    palmeiras-sp-1vitoria-ba-1in 6 of last 7 Palmeiras home games against Vitoria.
    in last 9 Savio Pereira Sampaio games.
    in last 7 Savio Pereira Sampaio games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Palmeiras - Vitoria Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    24156344-2051
    2.
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    23136445-2145
    3.
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    24135634-2244
    11.
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    2386937-3730
    12.
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    24851123-3529
    13.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    23761027-2727

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 21
    Conceded - 11
    +10
    -5
    8 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    21
    Scored
    8
    11
    Conceded
    13
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.1
    2.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    1
    43'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats