AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction 3 February 2026
🔊 The standout fixture of the Dutch Cup quarterfinals is the clash between AZ Alkmaar and Twente. Both teams are in solid form: AZ have suffered just two defeats in their last 10 matches, while Twente remain unbeaten since October last year. The match will take place in Alkmaar, so it will be intriguing to see if the hosts can capitalize on their home advantage or if the visitors will extend their unbeaten streak. Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on who has the better chance of advancing to the semifinals.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Twente):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams AZ Alkmaar and Twente:
- played 39 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 19, for the away team - 15, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 63 against 54;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.18, in the 2nd half - 1.82;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics AZ Alkmaar - Twente
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away team - NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.
Here's the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 8.
AZ Alkmaar are not in the most stable form with just two wins in their last five matches. However, if you look at the bigger picture, they rarely lose, having suffered only three defeats in their last 10 games. In the KNVB Cup, the team boasts an impressive attacking record, averaging three goals per game over their last five tournament fixtures. The "Cheeseheads" particularly showcased their creative prowess in January with a resounding 6-0 home victory against Ajax.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Twente Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NAC Breda, away - Twente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Twente vs NAC Breda):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 10.
Twente are on an impressive run, remaining unbeaten since October of last year-a stretch of 12 official matches! Not long ago, the "Reds" faced AZ in the league and edged out the "Farmers" with a narrow 1-0 victory. This scoreline is indicative of Twente's style this season: the team is renowned for their solid defense, although they often fall short in terms of scoring, averaging 1.3 goals over their last six games.
Match Results: Twente
Latest news
AZ Alkmaar
🎙 AZ have made several notable transfers this winter window, spending nearly €9.5 million in total. The most impactful signing so far has been former Heracles Almelo forward Jizz Hornkamp, who has netted 10 goals in the league this season and currently sits seventh in the top scorers' race.
❌ The club will be without four players. Mexx Meerdink, Denso Kasius, and Jordy Clasie are regulars in the injury list. Recently, Sven Mijnans joined the ranks of the injured, having already missed three matches.
Twente
❌ Twente have been hit by injuries just as much as AZ. Taylor Booth and Mees Hilgers have been sidelined for a while now. More recently, Robin Propper has been out due to illness. In the last round of the Eredivisie, Ramiz Zerrouki had to be substituted, and his condition is currently being assessed by the medical team.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 15, draws - 5.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.62, the guests - 1.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Twente
- average total in the tournament: 5 vs 5.67;
- average total goals scored: 4.5 vs 4;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.5 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 3 vs 3.33;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament - 6;
- Twente: average total away in the tournament - 4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.83) vs 1.8 (away - 2.33).
- Twente have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 away games against AZ Alkmaar.
Prediction on corners
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; at home field - 6.17.
Twente: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.67, away - 5.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 5.67.
- AZ Alkmaar have taken under 6.5 corners in last 6 home games against Twente.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.38 (1.69 for home team and 1.69 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.53 (1.58 for home team and 1.95 for away team).
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 1.83.
Twente: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 1.5.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in 11 of last 12 AZ Alkmaar home games.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Twente games.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Twente away games.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 5 Twente games (KNVB beker).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
- Twente have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 away games.
- Twente have scored and conceded in last 5 games (KNVB beker).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:2 (8/102, 7.8%), 1:2 (8/102, 7.8%);
- AZ Alkmaar at home most often finish matches: 6:0 (1/1, 100%);
- Twente away most often play: 1:2 , 1:4 , 3:6 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 7.54% (odds 8)
2:2 - 7.45% (odds 11)
1:1 - 7.2% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
AZ Alkmaar showcase an aggressive attacking style with a high goal tally, particularly in the KNVB Cup and especially on home turf. Meanwhile, Twente are renowned for their solid defense and proficiency on the road, evidenced by their extended unbeaten streak. However, the "Reds" often lack assertiveness in attack, reflected not only in their average scoring this season but also in their head-to-head encounters with AZ: in 10 out of 11 away matches against the "Cheese Farmers," they've scored no more than one goal. Therefore, a reasonable prediction would be Twente total under 1.5.No comments
Betting Tips: AZ Alkmaar - Twente
in 11 of last 12 home games against Twente.in 21 of last 23 home games.
in last 14 games.in last 11 away games.in 12 of last 13 home games against Twente.in 22 of last 23 home games.in last 7 games.in 15 of last 16 away games.in 14 of last 16 AZ Alkmaar home games against Twente.in last 11 Twente away games.in 8 of last 9 Twente games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
