Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira Prediction
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Penafiel and Pacos Ferreira. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 11:00 4 January. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril stadium in the city of Penafiel. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 08 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Penafiel):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 0 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Penafiel and Pacos Ferreira:
- played 7 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 4, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 8 against 11;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.43, in the 2nd half - 1.29;
- average total goals in the match - 2.71.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Penafiel Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 21 December 2025 as part of the Segunda Liga tournament (home team - Penafiel, away team - SCU Torreense). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Penafiel vs SCU Torreense):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 6;
- fouls: 16 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
- 5 wins,
- 7 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Penafiel stands at a mid-tier position within the Segunda Liga standings, with a win percentage of 31% and a loss percentage of 44%.
⚽️Penafiel has scored a total of 15 goals. On the defensive end, Penafiel has allowed 16 goals over the season.
Match Results: Penafiel

Pacos Ferreira Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 28 December 2025 as part of the Segunda Liga tournament (home team - Pacos Ferreira, away - Farense). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the match stats (Pacos Ferreira vs Farense):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 8;
- fouls: 18 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
- 3 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 7 draws.
📈Currently, Pacos Ferreira stands at a mid-tier position within the Segunda Liga standings, with a win percentage of 19% and a loss percentage of 38%.
⚽Pacos Ferreira has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 23 goals over the season.
Match Results: Pacos Ferreira
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.
Statistics: Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- win percentage: 31% vs 19%;
- losses: 7 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Pacos Ferreira have not won in 8 of last 9 away games (Liga Portugal 2).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 1.57;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira
- average total in the tournament: 1.94 vs 2.44;
- average total goals scored: 0.94 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.25 vs 0.38;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.63;
- Penafiel: average total at home in the tournament - 0.8;
- Pacos Ferreira: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 0.5).
- Penafiel have conceded in last 7 games against Pacos Ferreira.
Prediction on corners
Penafiel: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.56; at home field - 5.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 5.75.
Pacos Ferreira: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.44, away - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 2.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Penafiel at home - 1 (20%);
- number of BTTS matches for Pacos Ferreira away - 2 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Penafiel at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Pacos Ferreira away - 1 (25%).
- Penafiel have scored and conceded in last 6 games against Pacos Ferreira.
- Penafiel have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Pacos Ferreira (Liga Portugal 2).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/140, 12.1%);
- Penafiel at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:0 (1/5, 20%);
- Pacos Ferreira away most often play: 0:0 , 2:0 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.79% (odds 6.4)
1:1 - 12.89% (odds 5.8)
0:0 - 12.18% (odds 7.4)
Editorial Prediction
- Penafiel have scored and conceded in last 6 games against Pacos Ferreira.
- Penafiel have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Pacos Ferreira (Liga Portugal 2).
