PSG vs Paris Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 How will the Parisian derby conclude in the 17th round of Ligue 1? On Sunday, PSG will host Paris FC at their home ground, marking their first official encounter. The teams find themselves at opposite ends of the league table, each with different objectives this season. PSG are the clear favorites according to the bookmakers. Let's delve into the details and make a prediction for the match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 PSG and Paris have never faced each other in official matches before.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    67%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    2.33
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1
    Total average
    1.33
    6
    Corner
    1.33
    1
    Yellow cards
    1.67
    7
    Fouls
    8
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    12.01.26
    Coupe
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris
    Paris
    1.77
    0.31
    8
    0
    5
    12
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.77
    0.31
    8
    0
    5
    12
    2
    2
    04.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris
    Paris
    1.22
    0.99
    7
    1
    7
    4
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.22
    0.99
    7
    1
    7
    4
    1
    0
    16.12.22
    Club Friendly Games
    PSG
    PSG
    Paris
    Paris
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    🔵 PSG have been playing catch-up in the French league over the past month. Luis Enrique's squad began their chase after Lens following a slip-up in the 14th round when they lost to Monaco (0-1). Since then, the Parisians have been trailing the leaders by a single point and have struggled to close the gap, as their rivals continue to secure maximum points.

    🔴 After the setback against Monaco, PSG bounced back with consecutive victories: a 5-0 triumph over Rennes and a tense 3-2 win against Metz. The latter match against the "Crusaders" was particularly intense, with two conceded goals serving as a reminder. Before the New Year, Luis Enrique's men secured a spot in the French Cup's Round of 32 by defeating Fontenay away (0-4).

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    3
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
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    Paris Team Overview

    🔵 For Paris, facing PSG is a genuine challenge: firstly, the teams share the same city, and secondly, the capital side has never faced such a formidable opponent at an official level. The start of the season was promising for Stéphane Gilli's squad, but their results have recently taken a sharp downturn.

    ⚫ Paris have become known for their open attacking style against any opponent. Initially, this caught many top teams off guard, but now opponents have adapted to Stéphane Gilli's tactics and counter them with ease. In their last outing, Paris suffered a comprehensive defeat to Toulouse (0-3). The capital club's winless streak in the league has now stretched to two months.

    Match Results: Paris

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Paris
    Paris
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    L
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Paris
    Paris
    0.95
    1.36
    6
    5
    9
    8
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0.95
    1.36
    6
    5
    9
    8
    2
    2
    W
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    Latest news

    Paris Saint-Germain

    💊 New details have emerged regarding Matvey Safonov's recovery timeline after he broke his arm during the final match of the Intercontinental Cup against Brazil's Flamengo. Previously, it was reported that he would be out for 3-4 weeks, but as of January 2, new information suggests the Russian goalkeeper will spend at least a month and a half on the sidelines.

    ❌ In addition to Safonov, Quentin Njantu and Kang-In Lee will miss the upcoming match against Paris due to injuries. Furthermore, Achraf Hakimi and Ibrahima Mbaye have been called up to their national teams and are participating in the Africa Cup of Nations.

    Paris

    ❌ Five Paris players have departed for the Africa Cup of Nations: Samir Chergui, Ilan Kebbal, Jean-Philippe Krasso, Moses Simon, and Hamari Traore. Due to injuries, the capital club will be without Pierre-Yves Hamel (game injury) and Pierre Lees-Melou (shin injury).

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Benoit Bastien. On average, over the span of 100 matches, he issues 4 yellow cards per game, with 25 fouls. In 16 Ligue 1 matches, the yellow card statistics for the teams are as follows: PSG average 1.2 per game, while Paris averages 1.5. The visitors tend to receive more bookings than their opponents, so we suggest betting on Paris to win the yellow card battle.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    PSG's individual total in Ligue 1 averages 2.2 goals per match, while Paris averages 1.3. Matches involving these teams are high-scoring affairs: both hosts and visitors average 3.1 goals. Given these stats, we recommend considering a bet on the match total over 2.5 goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In sixteen Ligue 1 matches, PSG averages 6.3 corners per game, while Paris averages 4.8 in the same period. Luis Enrique's side consistently earns more corner kicks and boasts above-average stats in the league, so we suggest betting on PSG to win the corner count.

    Editor's Prediction

    Comparing the strengths and potential of these teams is both straightforward and complex at the same time-these opponents are at opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of their current football performance. Considering PSG's urgency to catch up with Lens, we believe a home victory in the upcoming match is inevitable-with a predicted scoreline of 3-1. Given Paris's recent defensive struggles, we're backing a PSG handicap of (-1.5).

    Our choice
    Paris Saint-Germain Handicap (-1.5) at odds of -213*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 January 2026, 13:40)

    Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Paris

    Paris Saint-Germain have won the 2nd half
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 11 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
    2nd Half Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Everygame
    -333
    Paris Saint-Germain have won
    paris-saint-germain-1in 7 of last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Bovada
    -769
    Paris Saint-Germain have not lost
    paris-saint-germain-1in 11 of last 12 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 10 of last 11 games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Paris have not won
    paris-fc-98-in 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain will not lose
    Everygame
    -5000
    Paris Saint-Germain have scored
    paris-saint-germain-1in 21 of last 22 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 12 home games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 10 of last 11 games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain will score goal
    -10000
    View more facts

    PSG - Paris Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    34244674-2976
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    12.
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    341091543-5539

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 12
    +8
    +9
    19 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    3
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    19
    12
    Conceded
    10
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.9
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats