Lorient vs Metz Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Can Lorient extend their unbeaten run in the French Championship? On Sunday, the Merlus will host Ligue 1's underdogs, Metz. Despite their opponent's status, it won't be an easy task for Lorient, as the Crusaders have nothing to lose, and a cornered beast is doubly dangerous. A detailed analysis of this matchup and a prediction for its outcome can be found below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Last season in Ligue 1, these opponents played out two low-scoring head-to-head encounters, both ending in draws with scores of 0-0 and 1-1. This history makes betting on a draw and the under quite appealing.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    48%
    12 Wins
    28%
    7 Draws
    24%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    25
    Total Goals Avg
    2.84
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.72
    Total average
    1.12
    1
    Yellow cards
    1.08
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Lorient
    Lorient
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    04.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Metz
    Metz
    1.21
    0.48
    4
    4
    9
    8
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.21
    0.48
    4
    4
    9
    8
    1
    2
    11.01.25
    Ligue 2
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Metz
    Metz
    0.42
    0.23
    3
    3
    17
    9
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.42
    0.23
    3
    3
    17
    9
    5
    1
    21.09.24
    Ligue 2
    Metz
    Metz
    Lorient
    Lorient
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    2
    04.02.24
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Lorient
    Lorient
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    11
    3
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    11
    3
    1
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    Lorient Team Overview

    🟠 Lorient have enjoyed a highly productive couple of months, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches. Under the guidance of Olivier Pantaloni, the team has climbed to 12th place in the standings, thanks to two wins and three draws. While it may be premature to discuss further advancement, the prospects for "Les Merlus" look promising, especially if they secure a victory against Metz.

    ⚫ Lorient fans were further buoyed by a recent triumph in the Coupe de France's Round of 64, where Olivier Pantaloni's squad thrashed Le Gosier 7-0. Although the opponent wasn't top-tier, a win is a win. In their 16th round fixture, Lorient held Strasbourg to a goalless draw on the road. This is a commendable result for "Les Merlus," considering that "Les Racingmen" are among the league's front-runners.

    Match Results: Lorient

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Havre
    Havre
    1.43
    0.85
    5
    1
    11
    11
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.43
    0.85
    5
    1
    11
    11
    2
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Lorient
    Lorient
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3.09
    0.97
    12
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    3.09
    0.97
    12
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    D
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    2.25
    1.59
    9
    7
    9
    16
    1
    2
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    2.25
    1.59
    9
    7
    9
    16
    1
    2
    L
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    W
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    Metz Team Overview

    🔴 For Metz, this season is unfolding as if it might be their last in the top flight. They are languishing at the bottom of the league table and losing nearly every match. A brief spark of activity and "signs of life" were shown by Stéphane Le Mignan's side towards the end of October and early November, but their story ended with just three wins.

    ⚪ Metz are currently on a four-match losing streak in the French championship. Their latest outing was a 2-3 defeat to PSG, which doesn't quite fit the overall narrative but still counts as another loss. The only bright spot in the past month was a 3-0 victory over Bisheim in the French Cup's Round of 64.

    Match Results: Metz

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Lorient
    Lorient
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    L
    29.04.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Seraing
    Seraing
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    D
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Metz
    Metz
    2.16
    1.49
    6
    4
    12
    12
    3
    1
    4
    4
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2.16
    1.49
    6
    4
    12
    12
    3
    1
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Lorient

    ❌ Lorient face significant absences ahead of their upcoming match against Metz. This is primarily due to several players departing for their national teams to participate in the Africa Cup of Nations: Arthur Ebong, Arsène Kouassi, Montassar Talbi, Tosin Aiyegun, and Darlin Yongwa. Additionally, Panos Katseris, Abdoulaye Diagne-Faye, and Souleymane Isaac Touré will be sidelined due to injuries of varying severity.

    Metz

    💊 Thairis dos Santos, a player in the Metz system, suffered injuries due to a fire that broke out in Crans-Montana, Switzerland, during New Year's celebrations. The 19-year-old footballer, who sustained severe burns, has been airlifted to Germany for treatment. The tragedy at the ski resort occurred on New Year's Eve, with reports indicating around 40 fatalities and 115 injuries, while several people remain missing.

    ❌ Metz will be without Habib Diallo, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, and Cheikh Sabaly, who have left to join their national teams for the Africa Cup of Nations. Additionally, Terry Yegbe (ankle injury), Pape Sarr (concussion), and Joseph Mangondo (knee injury) are sidelined due to injuries.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Guillaume Paradis. Over the span of 45 matches he has refereed, he averages 3.73 yellow cards per game, with 28 fouls. In 16 Ligue 1 matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Lorient average 2.1 per game, while Metz average 1.7. Both teams have been receiving a fair amount of bookings this season, so we suggest a bet on total yellow cards over 3.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Lorient's individual total in Ligue 1 averages 1.2 goals per match, while Metz average 1.1. However, the goal-scoring rate in matches featuring these teams is above the league average: the hosts average 2.9, and the visitors 3.4. Considering this data, we recommend a bet on total match goals over 2.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In sixteen Ligue 1 games, Lorient have averaged 3.2 corners per match, while Metz have averaged 4.1 in the same period. Both teams rarely earn corner kicks and their stats are below the league average, so we suggest betting on total corners under 9.5.

    Editor's Prediction

    In their current form, Metz will find it extremely challenging to resist the momentum of Lorient. Moreover, the "black and orange" will have the advantage of playing in front of their home crowd, which always provides an extra boost. We believe that the upcoming match is a strong case for backing Lorient to win, as they have secured victory in three of their last four matches and haven't lost in the league for a while now. The expected scoreline is a 2-1 win for the hosts.

    Our choice
    Lorient Win at odds of -130*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 January 2026, 09:32)

    Betting Tips: Lorient - Metz

    Lorient have won
    fc-lorientfc-metzin 6 of last 7 home games against Metz (Ligue 1).
    Metz have lost
    fc-metzin 7 of last 8 away games (Ligue 1).
    Lorient Win
    Bovada
    -122
    Metz have lost the 2nd half
    fc-metzin 7 of last 8 away games (Ligue 1).
    2nd Half Lorient Win
    Everygame
    +115
    Lorient have not lost
    fc-lorientfc-metzin 7 of last 8 home games against Metz (Ligue 1).
    fc-lorientin 12 of last 13 home games.
    fc-lorientin last 6 games.
    Metz have not won
    fc-metzin 7 of last 8 away games (Ligue 1).
    Lorient will not lose
    Everygame
    -476
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    fc-lorientin 14 of last 16 Lorient games.
    fc-lorientin 13 of last 15 Lorient games (Ligue 1).
    fc-lorientin 12 of last 13 Lorient home games.
    fc-lorientin 7 of last 8 Lorient home games (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin last 18 Metz away games.
    fc-metzin 10 of last 11 Metz games.
    fc-metzin 9 of last 10 Metz games (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin last 8 Metz away games (Ligue 1).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Lorient - Metz Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    341581158-4753
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223
    18.
    Metz
    Metz
    34382332-7617

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 0
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 13
    +1
    -13
    10 - Scored
    23 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    0
    3
    Draws
    4
    4
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    10
    13
    Conceded
    23
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3.3
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats