Derby vs Wrexham Prediction 4 January 2026
🔊 The upcoming Championship clash promises an intriguing showdown between Derby County and Wrexham. Both teams are in decent form and sit next to each other in the middle of the table. Who will emerge victorious? Bookmakers are puzzled by this question, as there is no clear favorite in this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Wrexham):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊Officially, the teams Derby and Wrexham have played only one match. The meeting took place on 27 September 2025 at the home ground of Wrexham and ended with a score of 1:1.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Wrexham

Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away team - Middlesbrough). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Middlesbrough):
- ball possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Derby County exhibit inconsistent form, yet there's another side to consider. They've suffered just one defeat in their last six fixtures. The team has found the net in each of these matches, managing to keep two clean sheets along the way. The Rams are particularly strong at home, having lost only 2 out of their last 10 games at Pride Park.
Match Results: Derby

Wrexham Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Blackburn Rovers, away - Wrexham). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here are the match stats (Wrexham vs Blackburn Rovers):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
The Dragons maintain their impressive attacking form, scoring in 8 of their last 9 league matches. The team is in good shape, riding a three-game winning streak. However, playing away has consistently been challenging for Wrexham, as evidenced by just one win in their last nine away fixtures.
Match Results: Wrexham
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Derby vs Wrexham
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 9 vs 9;
- win percentage: 36% vs 36%;
- losses: 8 vs 6;
- draws: 8 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Wrexham have not won in 8 of last 9 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Derby vs Wrexham
- average total in the tournament: 2.68 vs 2.68;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.44;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.64;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 0.8;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.23;
- Wrexham: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.2) vs 1.6 (away - 0.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Derby games (Championship).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 9 Wrexham games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.84; at home field - 5.62;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 7.2.
Wrexham: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.48, away - 3.42;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.2.
- Derby have taken over 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 home games (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Wrexham
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 9 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Wrexham away - 6 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Wrexham away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (49/298, 16.4%);
- Derby at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (5/13, 38.5%);
- Wrexham away most often play: 1:1 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.02% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.34% (odds 7)
0:0 - 9.28% (odds 8)