Southampton vs Brentford Prediction 4 January 2025

🔊 Can Brentford secure their first away victory this season? At first glance, this seems like the right opportunity, as Southampton is currently the main underdog in the Premier League. However, the “Saints” have changed their coach, so different options should be considered to make the prediction optimal. Note that the match will take place at St Mary's Stadium in Southampton.

📊 Head-to-Head

In a stretch of seven head-to-head matches, Brentford holds the advantage with five wins, one loss, and one draw. The opponents have already met this season. Brentford secured a confident home victory (3:1) back then. Southampton avoided a major defeat in the fifth minute of stoppage time. Notably, Bryan Mbeumo scored a brace for the “Bees.” He opened the scoring towards the end of the first half. It was during this period that Southampton conceded in six consecutive head-to-head matches. Therefore, a potential bet worth noting is - Brentford to score in the 1st half.

🌳 Southampton

Southampton is at the bottom of the league table with only six points from 19 matches. The team trails its nearest competitor by eight points. The club's management changed the coach, but it was evidently delayed. Moreover, Ivan Juric is not the most obvious choice. After decent work at Torino, he couldn't prove himself at Roma. Nonetheless, Southampton signed the Croatian specialist, under whom they played two matches but failed to earn any points. The match against West Ham was equal (0:1), but the “Saints” failed to convert any of their four scoring chances. In the match against Crystal Palace, they quickly opened the scoring but had almost no more chances. Eventually, the opponent not only equalized but also won (1:2). Note that Bazunu, Stuart, and Stephens haven't been on the field for a while. In the upcoming match, Mateus Fernandes will also be absent due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

🐝 Brentford

Brentford is one of the best teams in the Premier League when it comes to home matches. However, they recently lost to Nottingham (0:2) at the “Brentford Community” and before that to Arsenal (1:3), despite opening the scoring in the 13th minute thanks to Mbeumo. Away from home, Brentford doesn't resemble itself. They have only two points from nine away matches. By this measure, the “Bees” are ahead of only Southampton, and that too solely due to a better goal difference. Note that Brentford has quite a long list of injured players, most of whom are defenders. Last week, Ben Mee also got sidelined after securing a starting position following injuries to leading defenders.

🟨 Yellow Cards

Southampton has an advantage in yellow cards this season - 2.9 compared to 1.6. In matches involving Brentford, there are an average of 3.7 yellow cards shown. Both teams approach the match with low trends in warnings. For example, in Brentford's last 10 away matches, no more than 10 yellow cards were shown. The low nature of the upcoming match can be supported by a series of five head-to-head Premier League matches. Therefore, a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5 seems quite justified.

⚽️ Goals Prediction

Southampton scores fewer goals than anyone else in the Premier League this season - 12 goals in 19 matches. Given the new coach's style, it's unlikely there will be many goals in the remaining part of the championship. Therefore, we suggest a bet on Southampton's total goals under 1.5, especially since it has played out in eight consecutive matches involving them.

📌 Corners Prediction

Brentford has a slight advantage in corners this season - 4.6 compared to 4.5. In matches involving the opponents, there are an average of 11.5 corners per game. On the other hand, in five consecutive head-to-head matches, there were no more than 11 corner kicks. Therefore, we lean towards a bet on total corners under 11.5.

📝 Match Prediction

There is no clear favorite in the upcoming match. Southampton is the worst team in the Premier League, and Brentford was at the bottom for points earned away until the last round. In such a situation, we wouldn't be surprised if the hosts earn their first points under the new coach. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 1:1.

Meanwhile, don't expect many goals. For instance, Brentford hasn't scored more than one goal in 11 consecutive away matches. Southampton hasn't managed to score more than once in eight consecutive games either. Therefore, our key bet is total goals under 3.