Aston Villa vs Leicester Prediction 4 January 2025

🔊 Can Aston Villa return to the European competition zone? To do this, they need to win the upcoming match and hope for slip-ups from several rivals. They should be able to handle their task. At least the hosts are considered clear favorites in the confrontation with Leicester, which is one of the main candidates for relegation to the Championship. On our part, we will consider different options to make an optimal prediction for the match, which will take place at Villa Park stadium.

📊 Head-to-head

In a stretch of 12 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa has the advantage with 50% wins. They were also stronger in the first round of the current tournament (2:1). It is worth noting that in six consecutive away head-to-head matches, Leicester did not lose by more than one goal. Therefore, we cannot ignore the option - Leicester's victory with a +1.5 handicap.

🦁 Aston Villa

Aston Villa is performing worse this season compared to the previous one. At some point, they focused on the Champions League and even led the standings. As a result, the team secured a place in the playoffs, so they can now pay attention to the Premier League. Currently, they are ninth in the standings, but they are only one win away from fifth place. However, Aston Villa has been struggling with this lately. They have only managed a win against Manchester City (2:1) in a stretch of four matches. Meanwhile, Unai Emery's team failed to score points against Nottingham Forest (1:2) and Newcastle (0:3), and in the last round, they let a win slip away against Brighton (2:2). It is worth noting that John Duran continues to serve a suspension after receiving a red card in the match against "the Magpies". Additionally, Morgan Rogers will not play in the upcoming match due to an accumulation of yellow cards, and Pau Torres was injured in the last round.

🦊 Leicester

Leicester recently changed their coach. The choice fell on Ruud van Nistelrooy, under whom the team gained four points in two matches, albeit with some luck. In the next four rounds, they lost by a margin of at least two goals, scoring only against Liverpool. Moreover, "the Foxes" opened the scoring in the sixth minute but could not defend their minimal advantage (1:3). The team inadvertently contributed to ending Manchester City's winless streak (0:2). The Dutch specialist cannot count on several players. Notably, Mads Hermansen, Kasey McAteer, Wilfred Ndidi, and Wout Faes are out due to injuries sustained over the last month.

🟨 Yellow Cards

The advantage in yellow cards this season is with Leicester - 2.5 against 2.3. Meanwhile, Aston Villa has received at least two warnings in 7 of their last 8 home matches. Therefore, it is worth considering a bet on total yellow cards for the hosts over 1.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Both teams approach the match with high-scoring trends. For instance, the total goals over 2.5 has played out in five consecutive Aston Villa matches. On the other hand, in 8 out of 9 of Leicester's away games in the Premier League, at least three goals were scored. The same pattern is observed in six head-to-head matches at Villa Park. Therefore, we note as a potential bet total goals over 2.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

This season, Aston Villa has almost double the advantage in corners - 6.6 against 3.4. Meanwhile, Leicester has had at least three corners away in five consecutive head-to-head matches. Therefore, it is worth considering a bet on total corners for the guests over 2.5.

📝 Match Prediction

Aston Villa is the favorite for the upcoming match. However, they have lost two players who have been determining their game recently. Just recall the match against Manchester City where Rogers and Duran secured a victory. Nevertheless, their squad allows them to count on a win, perhaps with a score of 2:1.

Let's not forget that Aston Villa will miss two players due to suspensions in the upcoming match. This indicates some issues with game discipline. We expect the hosts to play more with the ball while the visitors will act on counterattacks. The Birmingham side will press and sometimes even disrupt opponent's advances. Therefore, as a key bet, we suggest total yellow cards for Aston Villa over 1.5.