Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Will Liverpool return to their winning ways after breaking their losing streak in the Premier League? Their next challenge is no easy task. Sunderland are heading to Anfield, fresh off a victory last round that was even more impressive than the Reds'. The Black Cats have a track record of toppling giants on the road, with Chelsea recently falling victim. Can the visitors pull off another upset? We'll assess both teams' chances in our editorial analysis.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These teams haven't faced each other in over eight years. Their last two encounters took place during the 2017/18 Premier League campaign. Back then, Liverpool triumphed at Anfield with a 2-0 victory. Meanwhile, the clash at the Stadium of Light ended in an entertaining 2-2 draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    2 Wins
    50%
    2 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    4
    Total Goals Avg
    2.25
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.5
    Total average
    0.75
    0.25
    Yellow cards
    0.5
    Last matches
    11.02.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    0.99
    2.56
    3
    11
    8
    10
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.99
    2.56
    3
    11
    8
    10
    1
    0
    03.12.25
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    1.55
    0.47
    7
    3
    10
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.55
    0.47
    7
    3
    10
    5
    1
    1
    02.01.17
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    26.11.16
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    Empty
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    Liverpool Team Overview

    The Merseysiders are showing signs of life. Liverpool's crisis has been ongoing since late September, spanning nearly 13 matches. During this stretch, the Reds have suffered nine defeats. However, there have been occasional glimpses of hope, such as back-to-back victories over Aston Villa (2-0) and Real Madrid (1-0). That said, these wins occurred before the November international break.

    Liverpool's latest resurgence came in the 13th round of the Premier League. Arne Slot's side visited London to face West Ham. There was no talk of past dominance. The visitors held possession for just 56% of the time and had slightly more shots on goal (9 to 7). Nonetheless, the quality of chances created was truly impressive. In terms of expected goals, the Reds outperformed their opponents by more than threefold (1.23 to 0.39). Additionally, a significant moment for the Reds came when Alexander Isak scored his first goal for the team. Cody Gakpo sealed the victory, setting the final score at 2-0.

    Match Results: Liverpool

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Brentford
    Brentford
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    D
    15.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    L
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Sunderland Team Overview

    Sunderland have arguably been the standout surprise of this Premier League season. A strong start has catapulted Régis Le Bris' side into the top four. However, as the November international break approached, the Black Cats hit a slight slump, drawing twice. Their winless streak extended to three games following a 1-0 defeat to Fulham right after the international fixtures, which pushed Sunderland down to seventh in the league standings.

    Yet, their run of poor form didn't last long. In the 13th round of the Premier League at the Stadium of Light, they secured a come-from-behind victory against Bournemouth (3-2). The match started disastrously for the hosts, conceding two goals within the first 15 minutes. However, before halftime, the Black Cats managed to pull one back. In the second half, Sunderland themselves netted twice, with the first goal coming right after the break. The final score was sealed in the 69th minute, and Bournemouth lacked the energy for a late comeback.

    Match Results: Sunderland

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    W
    17.05.26
    EPL
    Everton
    Everton
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    1.1
    0.87
    3
    2
    14
    9
    3
    0
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1.1
    0.87
    3
    2
    14
    9
    3
    0
    W
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    1.36
    0.8
    7
    8
    12
    11
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.36
    0.8
    7
    8
    12
    11
    0
    3
    D
    02.05.26
    EPL
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    1
    2.41
    0.89
    6
    3
    11
    11
    0
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.41
    0.89
    6
    3
    11
    11
    0
    4
    D
    24.04.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    0.9
    0.87
    1
    6
    13
    15
    1
    4
    0
    5
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0.9
    0.87
    1
    6
    13
    15
    1
    4
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Liverpool

    🎙 Alexander Isak, after scoring his debut goal for Liverpool in the 13th round of the Premier League, received praise from his teammate Alexis Mac Allister. "I'm really happy for Isak. I believe he's an amazing player, we all know that. I joked with him because he doesn't even smile when he scores. I'm very pleased because he deserves it. Isak is very quiet. Sometimes he likes to be alone. You can see I'm just trying to talk to him, as he speaks Spanish quite well too. But yes, he's a quiet guy, and we're all glad he's here," said the Argentine midfielder.

    ❌ Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike have returned to the Liverpool lineup after injuries. The German played 75 minutes against West Ham, while the Frenchman came on as a substitute. Jeremie Frimpong is close to returning-he's nearly recovered from a hamstring strain. Stefan Bajcetic, Giovanni Leone, and Conor Bradley remain sidelined.

    Sunderland

    🎙 Saturday evening at the Stadium of Light was marked not only by a hard-fought victory over Bournemouth but also by the long-awaited debut of one of Sunderland's players. Romain Mandl made his Premier League debut, having previously appeared for the Black Cats only in the Championship. At the start of this season, he was recovering from a hamstring injury. After the match, the forward shared his thoughts: "This is everything I dreamed of as a child, so I'm eagerly looking forward to the next two games and just want to see what we are capable of. I'm confident we can pick up points. I just believe in this team."

    ❌ With Romain Mandl fully recovered, Sunderland's injury list now includes just two players: Habib Diarra and Alese Ajiibola. Shoulder and groin injuries, respectively, are delaying their return until mid-December.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by referee Stuart Attwell. His average number of yellow cards over his last 10 Premier League games is 5.3. A similar figure was reached in the last five matches involving Sunderland - 5.2. In contrast, games with Liverpool see fewer cards, averaging 3.8. However, the upcoming clash promises high intensity. The teams are on the brink of the top 5, and a win could propel one of them into the European competition spots. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 3.5.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    The battle for a spot in European competitions is set to be fiercely contested, often at the expense of goal-scoring opportunities. Matches involving these teams rarely feature high goal totals. In 30 of Sunderland's last 32 games, no more than three goals were scored, as was the case in 10 of Liverpool's last 11 matches. Under these circumstances, a bet on total goals under 3.5 seems reasonable.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Liverpool's dominance has waned in recent times. The Merseysiders no longer pin opponents to their goal line, though they still perform well positionally. Yet, their high defensive line, particularly against Sunderland's counterattacking style, could impact not just scoring chances but also set pieces. Sunderland's corner count is notably low, yet they have taken at least three corners in 18 of their last 20 matches. We recommend taking advantage of favorable odds and betting on Sunderland's total corners over 2.5.

    Editor's Prediction

    For our main bet, we'll focus on the current form of the teams involved. While Sunderland's results leave little room for doubt, Liverpool's inconsistency highlights their vulnerabilities. Predicting the mindset of the "Scousers" heading into a match has become increasingly challenging, so let's turn to the stats instead. Liverpool's expected goals average falls just short of 1.5, and they haven't scored more than two goals in eight consecutive games. Sunderland's defensive setup of 5-4-1 doesn't suggest a goal fest from the hosts either, making the odds on Liverpool's goal tally quite appealing. We believe that Liverpool's total goals will be under 2.5. We'll see if the difference in class makes an impact, potentially allowing Arne Slot's side to secure a routine 2-0 victory.

    Our choice
    Liverpool Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -161*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (2 December 2025, 10:22)

    Betting Tips: Liverpool - Sunderland

    Under 3.5 goals scored
    liverpool-fc-1in 10 of last 11 Liverpool games (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in 7 of last 8 Liverpool home games.
    liverpool-fc-1in 6 of last 7 Liverpool games.
    liverpool-fc-1in last 5 Liverpool home games (Premier League).
    sunderland-afc-1in 30 of last 32 Sunderland games.
    sunderland-afc-1in last 15 Sunderland away games.
    sunderland-afc-1in last 6 Sunderland away games (Premier League).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -189
    Liverpool have scored
    liverpool-fc-1in 31 of last 33 games (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in 15 of last 16 home games (Premier League).
    Liverpool will score goal
    -1429
    Liverpool have scored under 2.5 goals
    liverpool-fc-1in 14 of last 15 games.
    liverpool-fc-1in last 11 games (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in last 8 home games.
    liverpool-fc-1in last 5 home games (Premier League).
    Liverpool Total goals Under (2.5)
    -169
    Sunderland won with a +2.5 handicap
    sunderland-afc-1in 22 of last 23 away games.
    sunderland-afc-1in last 6 away games (Premier League).
    Sunderland Handicap (+2.5)
    -294
    View more facts

    Liverpool - Sunderland Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    381981156-4965
    5.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    381791263-5360
    6.
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    381318758-5457
    7.
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    3814121242-4854
    8.
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    3814111352-4653

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 19
    -6
    -3
    12 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    12
    19
    Conceded
    15
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats