Bochum vs Stuttgart Prediction 3 December 2025
🔊 The DFB-Pokal Round of 16 is set for an intriguing clash as Bochum host the reigning champions, Stuttgart, who rightly enter the match as favorites. However, the cup is rarely about "strength on paper"; it's more about character. The hosts will undoubtedly seize their chance at the vibrant Vonovia Ruhrstadion. Stuttgart, on the other hand, travel to the Ruhr aiming for a business-like result; they're in excellent form, play with maturity, and are accustomed to controlling matches like these. Can Bochum shake up the status quo and pull off an upset? We'll answer that in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 05 April 2025 and ended with a 0-4 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Bochum were the home side):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 17 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 6.
📊 Analytical review of previous official encounters between Bochum and Stuttgart:
- 16 matches played;
- home victories - 2, away victories - 9, draws - 5;
- total goals (home/away) - 11 against 30;
- average total goals per match - 2.56.
Head-to-head statistics Bochum - Stuttgart
Bochum Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 14th round of the 2. Bundesliga, featuring Greuther Fürth as the home side against Bochum. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-3.
The game statistics are as follows (Bochum vs Greuther Fürth):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
🏆 In the previous round, Bochum faced a stern test: Uwe Rösler's side managed to knock out Augsburg, defeating the Bundesliga club away thanks to Gerrit Holtmann's precise strike before halftime (1-0). Following their cup success, the "Unbreakables" embarked on a four-match stretch in the 2. Bundesliga, securing three wins and suffering one defeat.
🔵 Last weekend was particularly memorable for them: Bochum thrashed Greuther Fürth away (3-0), netting all three goals between the 8th and 17th minutes. This surge allowed the team to pull away from the relegation zone and climb to 12th place in the standings.
Match Results: Bochum
Stuttgart Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on during the 12th round of the Bundesliga, with Hamburg hosting Stuttgart. The match ended 2-1.
Here's the game statistics (Stuttgart vs Hamburg):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
🏆 The current holders of the DFB-Pokal confidently advanced through the previous round: Sebastian Hoeneß's side secured a comfortable victory on the road against Mainz, with goals from Luca Hackethal and Atakan Karazor sealing the 2-0 win.
⚪ Following that, Stuttgart played two high-scoring matches in the Europa League - triumphing at home against Feyenoord (2-0) and then leaving no chance for Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands (4-0). In the Bundesliga, they engaged in three intense encounters: a come-from-behind victory over Augsburg (3-2), a dramatic draw in Dortmund where they salvaged a point late on (3-3), and a painful defeat in Hamburg - with the hosts netting the decisive goal in stoppage time (1-2). Thus, the "Swabians" enter the Cup with strong form, albeit with a slight tinge of frustration from their last league outing.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Latest news
Bochum
🎙 Uwe Rösler after the victory over Greuther Fürth: "Today's start was a huge boost for us. Our set-pieces have been strong before, and it's something we've focused on since I arrived. We had exceptional size and strength on the pitch, which allowed us to quickly take a 3-0 lead and catch Fürth off guard. I wasn't pleased with the following 20 minutes. We need to learn to push ourselves further, to chase the fourth and fifth goals. We mustn't let the game stagnate. However, we played well in the second half, becoming dangerous with counter-attacking opportunities. Securing three points was crucial for us."
❌ Defender Kevin Vogt and midfielder Matus Bero will miss the match due to injuries.
Stuttgart
🎙 Head coach Sebastian Hoeneß after the match against Hamburg: "The game ended in a particularly painful way. We had our first chance through Badredine Bouanani, but we couldn't capitalize on it. After that, we lacked intensity and energy. In the second half, the situation improved, but we still missed that decisive push. What frustrates me more than the conceded goal is that we failed to make full use of the period when we had an extra player [Hamburg were down to ten men from the 81st minute]. We need to learn from this, and I'm confident my team will do just that."
❌ The "Schwaben" are still dealing with significant squad issues. In the last match, they were already without Ermedin Demirovic, Yustin Dailly, Yannick Keitel, Silas, Tiago Tomas, and Dan-Axel Zagadou-and they will be absent again in the upcoming game. Additionally, Chris Führich might join the list of injured players, further limiting Hoeneß's rotation options.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- Home wins - 2, Away wins - 9, Draws - 5.
- Bochum cover the +1.5 spread at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- Bochum cover the +1.5 spread in 15 consecutive matches.
- Bochum cover the +1.5 spread at home in 6 straight matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 0.69, away team - 1.88;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.56;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 7 times; at the home ground - 2 times.
Statistics: Bochum vs Stuttgart
- Average tournament total: 2.5 vs 5;
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.5 vs 1;
- Average second-half total: 1.5 vs 2;
- Bochum: average home total in the tournament - 0;
- Stuttgart: average away total in the tournament - 3;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.5) vs 2.1 (away - 2).
- Bochum have found the net in 8 consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
Bochum: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 7.5; at home - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.3; at home - 6.5.
Stuttgart: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.2; away - 5.57.
- Bochum have had fewer than 4.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.38 (1.69 for the home team and 1.69 for the away team);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.51 (1.63 for the home team and 1.88 for the away team).
Bochum: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3; at home - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.3; at home - 3.
Stuttgart: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4, away - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.1; away - 2.86.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- Both teams have scored overall - 7 times;
- At the home ground - 2 times.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Bochum approach this clash buoyed by a series of positive results and a standout victory over Greuther Fürth, but the difference in squad depth and quality of play is still palpable. Rösler's team play with courage yet remain inconsistent, and against an opponent of this caliber, that could be a decisive factor.
The "Swabians," despite a lengthy injury list, display mature, organized football, with recent European matches only boosting their confidence. Yes, the defeat to Hamburg slightly dampened their momentum, but in terms of quality, Hoeneß's side remain a cut above. The head-to-head history also often favors Stuttgart. Considering the overall balance of power, form, and squad situation, Bochum's chances of an upset seem minimal, though we don't foresee a rout either. Our prediction: Bochum to win with a handicap (+1.5), as this outcome has occurred in 15 consecutive matches for the club and in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings with Stuttgart.
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Betting Tips: Bochum - Stuttgart
in 11 of last 12 games against Stuttgart.in last 6 games (DFB Pokal).
in 7 of last 8 Bochum home games against Stuttgart.in 15 of last 17 Stuttgart games.in 9 of last 10 Stuttgart away games.in last 6 Bochum games.
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in 11 of last 12 games against Stuttgart.Comparison of Teams Stats
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