St Pauli vs Monchengladbach Prediction 3 October 2026
🔊 St. Pauli and Borussia Mönchengladbach meet on 3 October in a friendly at the Millerntor. The main talking point surrounding the match is less about its status and more about Alexander Blessin: the new Borussia head coach returns to the stadium of the club he managed for two seasons. Under him, St. Pauli managed to retain their Bundesliga status after winning promotion to the top flight, before being relegated to the second division at the end of the 2025/26 season. Now Blessin is preparing Mönchengladbach for a new chapter, and his first week in charge will end with a match against a very familiar side.
Borussia have been noticeably more successful
📊 Borussia Mönchengladbach have the upper hand in the last six official meetings: four wins to one for St. Pauli, with one draw. The aggregate score across those six games is 14-4 in Mönchengladbach's favour. The most recent meeting came in March 2026 and ended 2-0 to Borussia.
🔗 The head-to-head record at the Millerntor is equally telling. In November 2025, Borussia won there 4-0, while in April 2025 the sides drew 1-1. Later that year, in December, the two teams met in the DFB-Pokal, where St. Pauli won 2-1 in Mönchengladbach. On that basis, the head-to-head history gives little reason to expect a closed game, though the overall advantage still lies with the visitors.
Head-to-head statistics St Pauli - Monchengladbach
St. Pauli have adopted a more cautious approach
St. Pauli are playing in the 2. Bundesliga this season following relegation from the top flight, and they have not looked particularly organised so far. After six matchdays they have seven points: draws with Greuther Fürth and Holstein were followed by a defeat to Kaiserslautern, a draw with Arminia, a win over Wolfsburg and a draw with Energie Cottbus.
Those results give a reasonable picture of the team. St. Pauli are not especially prolific, but they are capable of limiting opponents in positional play. In the win over Wolfsburg they kept a clean sheet at home, and in Cottbus they conceded just once. Across their first seven competitive matches of the season, Marcel Rapp's side have scored nine goals and conceded ten.
The Blessin factor is worth noting separately. Under him, St. Pauli built their game around intensity, defensive discipline off the ball and quick transitions into counter-attacks. In the 2024/25 season the club conceded just 41 goals in 34 Bundesliga matchdays - the second-best record in the division after Bayern. Now St. Pauli will face their former manager under Marcel Rapp, so Blessin knows the club's habits well, but cannot count on the same system or the same squad.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Blessin begins the rebuild
Borussia Mönchengladbach have had a disastrous start to the Bundesliga season, losing to Leipzig 0-3, Elversberg 3-4, Freiburg 0-5 and Mainz 3-4. They conceded 16 goals in those four matches, and after the defeat to Mainz the club appointed Alexander Blessin as their new head coach. Blessin's first priority will be to sort out a defence that has been the main source of problems so far.
That makes the match against St. Pauli a particularly interesting one. Blessin spent two years in Hamburg, and in his first training week after being appointed he spoke openly about the need to introduce new playing principles. Borussia have already played one friendly under their new manager before this fixture, beating Sportfreunde Siegen 3-0 on 24 September. A result against lower-division opposition says little about the team's readiness for the Bundesliga, but for Blessin the game was an opportunity to start implementing his ideas straight away. The test against St. Pauli will be considerably more demanding, particularly given that the coach is well acquainted with the hosts' style of play.
That said, it is too early to talk about a complete transformation of Borussia after just a few training sessions. The team are still in the middle of a rebuild, and the international break has complicated preparations further due to the absence of players on international duty. In these circumstances, the match against St. Pauli is more likely to be another step in Blessin's adaptation process than a full demonstration of his footballing model.
Match Results: Borussia M'gladbach
Latest news
St. Pauli
❌ Left winger Mathias Pereira Lage has been out for some time with a cruciate ligament injury. Branimir Hrgota missed the previous two 2. Bundesliga matchdays. New signings Gísli Thórdarson and Roni Jansson have yet to make an appearance for the club due to injuries.
Borussia M'gladbach
❌ The visitors have more notable injury concerns. Nicolas Kühn, Enzo Leopold and Jens Castrop are all unavailable, and a number of players are away on international duty. This limits Blessin's options when it comes to picking his squad, though the friendly nature of the match means he can call on players from the immediate reserve.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The friendly nature of the match should noticeably reduce the number of hard challenges. For St. Pauli and Borussia, getting game time and testing certain combinations matters more than chasing a result at all costs. This applies particularly to the visitors: Blessin is only just beginning his work and will almost certainly be paying attention to discipline and the execution of tactical instructions. Prediction: Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5.
⚽ Goals Prediction
The head-to-head record points more towards a high-scoring outcome: the two sides have scored 18 goals across their last six official meetings, an average of exactly three per game. However, St Pauli's current form looks more cautious, while Borussia have already conceded 16 goals in four matchdays.
Under Blessin, the visitors will no doubt try to be more organised defensively, but it is impossible to completely restructure a defence in just a few days. St Pauli know their opponents' manager well and will surely look to exploit the spaces that Borussia's high line can leave open. Given the nature of this friendly, I expect at least three goals. Prediction: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.48*.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
St. Pauli at home are capable of building pressure through the flanks, particularly when they win the ball back and transition into attack. Under Blessin, Borussia should look to work the ball more and gradually rebuild their habit of controlling territory, so the visitors should also have plenty of approaches to the penalty area. The friendly format could lead to a high number of attacking substitutions in the second half and added intensity on the flanks. On that basis, nine or more corners looks a reasonable expectation. Prediction: Total Corners - Over 8.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Alexander Blessin returns to the Millerntor a few months after leaving St. Pauli, but this time as Borussia's manager. He knows his former club and their style of play inside out, though he is only just beginning to reshape Mönchengladbach after a very poor start to the season.
St. Pauli currently look more organised and already have a clear structure to their game, whereas Borussia still need to adapt to their new manager's demands. At the same time, the visitors have greater squad depth, and Blessin has the chance to test his ideas against a side he knows very well. In a match like this, I wouldn't back an outright win for either team. My main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 2-2.
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Betting Tips: St. Pauli - Borussia M'gladbach
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