Guemes vs Almagro Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 Atlético Güemes come into this match in a very difficult position: they have not won in ten games, and a run of five consecutive defeats underlines their poor form. Almagro still have a theoretical chance of reaching the play-offs and are under pressure to win if they want to keep their top-8 hopes alive. That contrast in motivation and current form points to a careful scenario with little risk-taking from the visitors, who may look to play a disciplined game against an opponent who struggle to score.
Almagro vs Atletico Guemes: Where Will the Goals Come From?
Almagro beat Atlético Güemes 2-0 in a Primera B Nacional match on 31 May 2026. After a goalless first half, the hosts scored twice; with possession roughly even, they had the better of the shots on target - 5 to 2 - and won 12 corners to one.
In eight official meetings, Almagro have a slight edge: three wins to Atlético Güemes's two, with three draws. All eight of Almagro's goals in those matches came in the second half, and seven of the eight games were level at half-time.
Head-to-head statistics Guemes - Almagro
Season collapse
Atlético Güemes's most recent Primera Nacional match, on 11 October 2026, ended in a 0-2 away defeat to Patronato Paraná. The score was level at half-time, but the visitors failed to register a single shot on target throughout the game and lost the corner count 3-13.
Atlético Güemes are going through a difficult spell: no wins in their last ten league rounds, with all five of their most recent matches ending in defeat. Their scoring rate is extremely low - just 0.3 goals per game over the last ten rounds and 0.7 for the season. Their attack has completely dried up over that period, with the team failing to score in five consecutive matches. The defence is far from reliable either, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game over the last ten rounds and 1.7 for the season. One important factor is that Atlético Güemes have no real incentive in terms of the standings at this late stage of the season, which dampens motivation even for home matches.
Match Results: Club Atletico Guemes
Almagro: a disciplined tactical approach as a potential game plan
At home against Chacarita Juniors, Almagro's most recent Primera Nacional match 10 October 2026 ended in a 2-1 win, though it was 1-1 at half-time. Both sides had five shots each, with four on target apiece.
Almagro sit in mid-table but still have a chance of reaching the play-offs, sitting six points off the target zone with three matches remaining, which makes every game count. Their recent form has been moderately inconsistent - three wins, four defeats and three draws over the last ten rounds - though two of those wins came in their most recent matches, giving them back-to-back victories. Their attacking output is higher than their opponents', with one goal per game in recent rounds and a season average close to that figure at 0.91. Defensively, Almagro have been conceding slightly more than one goal per match (1.3 in recent rounds), which suggests they could adopt a cautious approach against a side with minimal attacking threat.
Match Results: Club Almagro
Match Result Prediction
Atlético Güemes are in deep crisis: they have lost six matches in a row, and their winless run now stretches to 17 games. They have also conceded in seven consecutive matches and have been losing the second half in five matches in a row. Almagro, by contrast, look more consistent and are picking up more points overall. We're backing Almagro to win at 1.38*.
Total Goals Prediction
Atlético Güemes have failed to score in five consecutive matches, which points to an extremely weak attack. Over their last 10 matches, the team have averaged just 0.3 goals per game, and at home that figure is even lower - 0.25 goals per game. Given this run, the bet on Atlético Güemes Team Total - Under 0.5 looks justified at odds of 1.66*.
The Safe Bet
Atlético Güemes have gone 17 matches without a win, while Almagro have been picking up points consistently. Given the hosts' lengthy winless run and the general gap in quality between the two sides, Almagro not to lose looks as safe as it gets. The odds are 1.13*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 0-1 (18.57%), 0-0 (12.83%) and 0-2 (10.40%). A narrow Almagro win is given the highest probability, though a 0-0 draw and a more comfortable away victory are also considered likely outcomes. All three options reflect a tendency towards a low-scoring match with the away side in the ascendancy.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Atlético Güemes's current poor run has been accompanied by a prolonged goal drought - five matches without scoring, underpinned by weak attacking output throughout the season and a complete absence of anything to play for as the campaign draws to a close. Almagro arrive motivated - their push for the play-offs means they need to avoid unnecessary risks, particularly given their advantage over the hosts across all the key attacking and defensive metrics. In these circumstances, backing the home side to go without a goal again looks like a logical continuation of both Atlético Güemes's own statistical run and their overall picture in this Primera B Nacional season.
The bet - Atlético Güemes not to score.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Club Atletico Guemes - Club Almagro
in last 5 games against Club Almagro (Primera B Nacional).in 7 of last 8 games (Primera B Nacional)..svg)
in last 6 games.in last 5 games (Primera B Nacional).
in last 5 games.in last 17 games.in last 16 games (Primera B Nacional).in last 6 home games (Primera B Nacional).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
