Santa Fe vs Once Caldas Prediction 3 August 2026
🔊 Santa Fe deliberately sacrificed their opening Colombian Clausura match to focus on advancing in the Copa Sudamericana playoff. Once Caldas have also had to split their attention between the league and the Copa Colombia, though the level of opposition there was noticeably lower. Both sides are in decent form, so expect a tight match where neither team takes unnecessary risks.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 26 January 2026 at the start of the Apertura and ended 1-1. Here's the comparative stats from that game (home side - Once Caldas):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
🔊 These two sides have met 44 times in official matches. We won't go through all of that - the last three seasons are what matter here. Nine games in that stretch. Santa Fe won six, Once Caldas just one, and two ended level. On average, the hosts scored 1.1 goals per game in that run, the visitors 0.6.
Head-to-head statistics Santa Fe - Once Caldas
Independiente Santa Fe Team Overview
Santa Fe's last official match was played on in the second leg of the Copa Sudamericana playoff round, beating Caracas 3-0 away from home for the second time. Match stats (Santa Fe vs Caracas):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 0 vs 8;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Santa Fe are being pulled in two directions. The Copa Sudamericana has gone well - two wins over Venezuelan side Caracas - but domestically the Clausura got off to a rough start with a 1-2 defeat to Rionegro Águilas. Santa Fe went long stretches without the ball, lost the shot-on-target count, and came off worse in most creative metrics - dangerous attacks, clear chances, attempts on goal. The whole game plan came down to hoofing it long and scrapping for second balls. Now there are ten days focused on the league, so the priority is picking up as many points as possible without burning out the key players.
Match Results: Independiente Santa Fe
Once Caldas Team Overview
Once Caldas' last official match was played in the first-stage final of the Copa Colombia against Envigado (3:0). Here are the stats from that game (Once Caldas vs Envigado):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Once Caldas are also juggling two competitions, but Envigado gave them nothing - 3-0 twice. And in the Primera opener against Cucuta Deportivo (5-1), there were no real problems either. They don't even look like they're playing at full throttle, yet things keep going their way. Take the Cucuta match - a club in the middle of a reorganization. Once Caldas deliberately sat back, managed just eight shots on target, and still scored five. Sure, Santa Fe are a tougher test than anything they've faced so far this campaign, but the way Once Caldas play gives you confidence they'll go at it.
Match Results: Once Caldas
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.11, the guests - 0.86;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.98;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Independiente Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
- average total in the tournament: 2.58 vs 2.91;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.73;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.58 vs 0.82;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.92 vs 0.91;
- Independiente Santa Fe: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Once Caldas: average total away in the tournament - 1.3;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 1.9 (away - 1.75).
- Once Caldas have scored in 24 of last 26 games.
- Once Caldas have scored in 22 of last 24 games (Liga Aguila).
- Once Caldas have scored in 11 of last 12 away games.
- Once Caldas have scored in 10 of last 11 away games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on corners
Independiente Santa Fe: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.58; at home field - 5.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 4.6.
Once Caldas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.55, away - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; away - 6.5.
- Once Caldas have taken over 3.5 corners in last 6 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (34/214, 15.9%);
- Independiente Santa Fe at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/11, 27.3%);
- Once Caldas away most often play: 1:1 (4/10, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.54% (odds 6)
1:0 - 10.13% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 9.22% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
This is Once Caldas' first real test of the summer. And there's a feeling they'll be ready for it. Santa Fe need to turn things around, sure, but they won't throw everyone forward recklessly. If the visitors do what they've been doing - sit back, absorb, and wait for their chance - then the double chance (X2) on Once Caldas not losing looks very playable. That outcome has come in 12 of their last 13 away matches. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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