Porto vs Alverca Prediction 2 May 2026
🔊 The upcoming match promises to be action-packed. Porto have shown consistency throughout the season, sitting at the top of the table with impressive scoring. In their last five games, the club have secured three wins and one draw. Alverca, on the other hand, are positioned mid-table with more erratic results. However, their recent form indicates improvement, making this encounter intriguing.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 22 December 2025 and ended with a 0-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Alverca as the home side):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
📊 Porto and Alverca have officially faced off only once. The match took place on 22 December 2025 at Alverca's ground and ended with a 0-3 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Porto - Alverca

Porto Team Overview
The last official match was played on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Estrela at home against Porto. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Porto vs Estrela):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 0;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Porto hold the top spot in the league, showcasing remarkable consistency throughout the season. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins, drawn once, and suffered a single defeat. Over their last 10 games, Porto have claimed victory six times with just one loss. Their offensive prowess stands out as they average over two goals per game. Defensively, they remain solid, conceding less than a goal per match. With an attacking style and high efficiency on the pitch, Porto pose a significant threat to any opponent.
Match Results: Porto

Alverca Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Alverca hosting Arouca. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Alverca vs Arouca):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Alverca currently sit ninth in the standings, showcasing inconsistent performances throughout the season. Over their last five matches, they've secured three wins but suffered two defeats, highlighting their unpredictability. The team averages 1.3 goals per game while conceding roughly the same amount. Alverca's style often focuses on ball retention and counter-attacks, making them a threat to more aggressive sides.
Match Results: Alverca
Latest news
Porto
❌ The "Dragons" will play without Luuk de Jong, Nehuén Pérez, and Samu.
Alverca
❌ Sabit Abdulai and Thomas Mendes are definitely out for the upcoming match. The participation of Chisumba and Julian Martinez is also in doubt.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Porto vs Alverca
- matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- wins: 26 vs 10;
- win percentage: 84% vs 32%;
- losses: 1 vs 13;
- draws: 4 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
- Alverca won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games (Primeira Liga).
- Alverca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Porto vs Alverca
- average total in the tournament: 2.52 vs 2.68;
- average total goals scored: 2.03 vs 1.1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.9 vs 0.42;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.13 vs 0.68;
- Porto: average total at home in the tournament - 2.07;
- Alverca: average total away in the tournament - 1.13;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.67) vs 1.3 (away - 1.2).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Porto games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.58; at home field - 5.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; at home field - 5.17.
Alverca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.35, away - 4.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; away - 7.
- Over 9.5 corners in 10 of last 11 Alverca away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Porto vs Alverca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Porto at home - 5 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Alverca away - 10 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Porto at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Alverca away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (28/279, 10%), 1:1 (28/279, 10%);
- Porto at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 3:0 (3/15, 20%);
- Alverca away most often play: 2:1 (3/15, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 14.12% (odds 5)
1:0 - 13.86% (odds 6.2)
3:0 - 10.07% (odds 5.8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering Porto's attacking style and their ability to score an average of more than two goals per match, expecting an entertaining game seems quite logical. In their last eight matches, Porto have seen the total go over 2.5 goals seven times. Alverca, despite their inconsistent results, still have the potential to pose a threat on counterattacks. However, the visitors concede around 1.3 goals per match, which could play into the hosts' hands. Given the trend of over 2.5 goals and the current form of both teams, betting on this outcome appears to be the most reasonable.