Nantes vs Marseille Prediction 2 May 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Can Marseille join the race for Ligue 1 medals? On Saturday, the southern side travels to Nantes, aiming to break their streak of poor results. The hosts are also eager to secure points crucial for their survival in the top division. Expect intense battles over every inch of the pitch. Read our detailed match analysis and prediction in our article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the first round of this season, Nantes pulled off a surprising 2-0 victory against Marseille, providing the "southerners" with incredible motivation for a rematch. It's worth noting that before this defeat, Olympique had not lost to Nantes in ten matches (spanning five years).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    31%
    12 Wins
    26%
    10 Draws
    44%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    2.41
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.08
    Total average
    1.33
    1.49
    Yellow cards
    1.59
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    04.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2
    Nantes
    Nantes
    0.73
    3.03
    6
    3
    17
    20
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.73
    3.03
    6
    3
    17
    20
    0
    3
    02.03.25
    LI1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    FC Nantes
    FC Nantes
    2.62
    0.84
    3
    2
    14
    15
    1
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.62
    0.84
    3
    2
    14
    15
    1
    2
    03.11.24
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.11
    1.16
    2
    5
    13
    4
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.11
    1.16
    2
    5
    13
    4
    1
    1
    10.03.24
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nantes
    Nantes
    -
    -
    2
    8
    10
    15
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    8
    10
    15
    2
    3
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    Nantes Team Overview

    🟢 Nantes theoretically still have a chance to avoid relegation, but in practice, their prospects don't look too bright. Even the gap to the playoff zone is significant-5 points, not to mention complete safety. It's not just about the limited number of matches left; it's about Vahid Halilhodzic's team lacking cohesion both in attack and defense.

    🟡 In their last two fixtures, Nantes lost to PSG (0-3) and Rennes (1-2). We'll skip over the match against the Parisians for obvious reasons, but in the game against the "Red and Blacks," it was evident how much the "Canaries" are lacking in squad depth: the players were simply exhausted and conceded right at the end. Notably, Nantes are the league's lowest scorers, tied with Angers, with just 26 goals.

    Match Results: Nantes

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.14
    0.2
    2
    2
    3
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.14
    0.2
    2
    2
    3
    5
    0
    0
    D
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    L
    22.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
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    Olympique Marseille Team Overview

    🔵 What's happening with Marseille? It's puzzling why the team has hit a slump at this crucial stage. While there are reasons, it's surprising that at such a high level, the club lacks the stamina to finish the season strong. Even with a coaching change, there are still those responsible for physical conditioning! The situation with Mason Greenwood is telling; he suddenly stopped scoring despite being Ligue 1's top scorer at the time.

    ⚪ In their last five matches, Marseille have suffered three defeats without earning any points, and in the latest round, they drew against Nice (1-1) at home. It's worth noting that "Les Aiglons" are currently in the relegation zone and can hardly be considered top-tier opponents. In that match, Habib Beye's squad was leading but conceded an equalizer from a penalty in the 88th minute. This string of poor results has dropped Marseille to 6th place, leaving them four points adrift of the top three.

    Match Results: Olympique Marseille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nice
    Nice
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    D
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    L
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    Latest news

    Nantes

    ❌ Midfielder Francis Coquelin is still recovering from a hip injury and will not feature in the upcoming match. Defender Fabien Santons is also sidelined, having been out for three weeks due to a leg injury. Alexis Mirbach and Tilel Tati, both working their way back to full fitness after injuries, will definitely not be available to assist the team.

    Olympique Marseille

    ❌ Due to an accumulation of yellow cards, Timothy Weah, one of the team's key midfielders, will miss the upcoming match. This is a significant loss for Marseille. Similarly, defender Benjamin Pavard will also be sidelined for the same reason. Additionally, injuries of varying severity will keep Igor Paixao, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Amine Gouiri, and Nayef Aguerd out of the game.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Jérémie Pignard. Over his last 100 matches, he averages 4.35 yellow cards per game with 23 fouls. In Ligue 1, Nantes average 2 yellow cards per game, while Marseille average 2.4. Both teams frequently receive cautions this season, and Jérémie Pignard is known for handing them out liberally. Therefore, we suggest betting on over 3.5 total yellow cards at 1.65* odds.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Nantes have an average individual total of 0.8 goals per game in Ligue 1, whereas Marseille boast a much higher figure of 1.9. The overall goal-scoring in matches involving these teams is high: 2.5 for the hosts and 3.2 for the visitors. Based on this data, consider placing a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.64* odds.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In their recent Ligue 1 matches, Nantes average 3.6 corners per game, while Marseille average 5.3. Clearly, Habib Beye's side earns more corner opportunities than their opponents. Therefore, we recommend a bet on Marseille to win the corner count with a -1.5 handicap at 1.85* odds.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editorial Prediction

    Marseille are currently struggling and often dropping points, but against a team like Nantes, the "southerners" simply must secure all three points. The "Canaries" have been underwhelming this season, particularly in recent matches, so expecting miracles from them would be unrealistic. We suggest betting on a Marseille victory, with an anticipated scoreline of 3-0.

    Our choice
    Olympique Marseille Win at odds of -147*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (30 April 2026, 10:05)

    Betting Tips: Nantes - Olympique Marseille

    Nantes have drawn in the 1st half:
    fc-nantesolympique-marseille-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +151
    Nantes have not won:
    fc-nantesolympique-marseille-1in 10 of last 11 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    fc-nantesolympique-marseille-1in last 6 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    fc-nantesin 14 of last 15 games.
    fc-nantesin 13 of last 14 games (Ligue 1).
    fc-nantesin 12 of last 13 home games (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille will not lose
    Everygame
    -370
    Olympique Marseille have scored under 2.5 goals:
    fc-nantesolympique-marseille-1in last 14 away games against Nantes (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Nantes have conceded:
    fc-nantesolympique-marseille-1in 11 of last 12 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    fc-nantesolympique-marseille-1in 9 of last 10 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    fc-nantesin 13 of last 14 home games.
    fc-nantesin 12 of last 13 home games (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille have scored:
    olympique-marseille-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Olympique Marseille will score goal
    Everygame
    -833
    View more facts

    Nantes - Marseille Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    5.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    341851163-4559
    6.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    34178959-5059
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223
    18.
    Metz
    Metz
    34382332-7617

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    3 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 7
    Conceded - 12
    -5
    0
    12 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    1
    6
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    7
    Scored
    12
    12
    Conceded
    12
    1.9
    Match goals average
    2.4
    0.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    3
    Both teams scored
    5
    129'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats