Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 May 2026

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Key points

    🔊 In the upcoming match, Lillestrom host Sarpsborg, and this clash promises to be intriguing. The hosts are in excellent form, sitting in third place on the table. They have been showcasing confident performances at home with high scoring efficiency. Meanwhile, the visitors are fighting for survival in 13th place, and their results have been less than impressive. However, they are eager to keep their hopes alive for improving their standing in the league.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 December 2025, ending in a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparison of the stats from that match (Lillestrom were the home side):

    • possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corners: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 11 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Lillestrom and Sarpsborg:

    • 27 matches played;
    • home wins - 11, away wins - 10, draws - 6;
    • goals scored - 44 for Lillestrom, 38 for Sarpsborg;
    • average goals in the first half - 1, second half - 2.04;
    • average total goals per match - 3.04.

    Head-to-head statistics Lillestrom - Sarpsborg

    43%
    12 Wins
    21%
    6 Draws
    36%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    28
    Avg. total goals
    3.07
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.71
    Average total
    1.36
    1.43
    Yellow cards
    1.96
    Last matches
    03.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.99
    0.82
    3
    3
    12
    13
    1
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.99
    0.82
    3
    3
    12
    13
    1
    3
    06.12.25
    NM Cup
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    12
    3
    3
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    12
    3
    3
    28.07.24
    Eliteserien
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    9
    1
    5
    15
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    9
    1
    5
    15
    2
    4
    05.05.24
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    -
    -
    10
    5
    11
    5
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    10
    5
    11
    5
    2
    1
    17.09.23
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    -
    -
    9
    8
    7
    7
    1
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    9
    8
    7
    7
    1
    2
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    Lillestrom Team Overview

    The last official match for the team took place on in the Eliteserien, featuring Lillestrøm as the home side and Bodø/Glimt as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.

    Here's the game statistics (Lillestrøm vs Bodø/Glimt):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 8 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    Lillestrom are currently in impressive form, having won three of their last five matches and losing only once. On home turf, they are particularly formidable, as evidenced by their statistics-averaging 1.5 goals per game while conceding just 0.67. The team's attack is consistent and effective, thanks to the excellent interplay among their forwards. Additionally, Lillestrom showcase a strong defense, rarely allowing opponents to create dangerous opportunities.

    Match Results: Lillestrom

    Last matches
    08.11.26
    Eliteserien
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Aalesunds
    Aalesunds
    2.6
    1.88
    13
    3
    10
    12
    1
    1
    3
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2.6
    1.88
    13
    3
    10
    12
    1
    1
    W
    05.11.26
    UEL
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Viktoria Plzen
    Viktoria Plzen
    0.73
    1.84
    3
    6
    7
    10
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.73
    1.84
    3
    6
    7
    10
    2
    4
    L
    01.11.26
    Eliteserien
    Start
    Start
    1
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    1.56
    2.62
    5
    5
    11
    11
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.56
    2.62
    5
    5
    11
    11
    0
    1
    W
    28.10.26
    NM Cup
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Sogndal
    Sogndal
    -
    -
    7
    9
    -
    -
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    7
    9
    -
    -
    0
    2
    W
    25.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Brann
    Brann
    1.82
    1.57
    3
    8
    12
    14
    3
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    1.82
    1.57
    3
    8
    12
    14
    3
    1
    W
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    Sarpsborg Team Overview

    The last official match for the visiting team took place on in the Eliteserien, featuring KFUM Oslo as the home side and Sarpsborg as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here's a breakdown of the game statistics (Sarpsborg vs KFUM Oslo):

    • possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 1;
    • fouls: 9 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    Sarpsborg are going through a challenging phase, with their form being less than stellar, marked by three losses and two draws in their last five outings. The team struggles offensively, averaging just 0.83 goals per game while conceding roughly the same number (1). Away from home, they seldom display confidence, further compounded by their vulnerability to opponents' counterattacks.

    Match Results: Sarpsborg

    Last matches
    08.11.26
    Eliteserien
    Ham-Kam
    Ham-Kam
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1
    3.4
    1.28
    8
    5
    12
    12
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    3.4
    1.28
    8
    5
    12
    12
    1
    3
    L
    01.11.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    3.93
    2.46
    9
    2
    13
    13
    1
    2
    2
    4
    0
    3
    2
    1
    3.93
    2.46
    9
    2
    13
    13
    1
    2
    L
    28.10.26
    NM Cup
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    -
    -
    5
    10
    14
    13
    2
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    10
    14
    13
    2
    1
    W
    25.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Aalesunds
    Aalesunds
    1
    3.24
    0.4
    20
    4
    11
    8
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    3.24
    0.4
    20
    4
    11
    8
    2
    1
    W
    18.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    1.02
    2.02
    7
    8
    15
    17
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    1.02
    2.02
    7
    8
    15
    17
    2
    3
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 27;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 8;
    • Average first-half total: 1;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.41, while the visitors net 0.59.

    First-Half Stats: Lillestrom (home) vs Sarpsborg (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 3;
    • wins: 1 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • losses: 1 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.67;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.67.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 2 vs 5;
    • losses: 3 vs 1;
    • draws: 5 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Lillestrom scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Lillestrom to score goal (odds: 1.55)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 27;
    • home team wins - 11, away team wins - 10, draws - 6.

    Statistics: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 4 vs 1;
    • win percentage: 67% vs 17%;
    • losses: 1 vs 3;
    • draws: 1 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 7 vs 3;
    • losses: 2 vs 5;
    • draws: 1 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against Lillestrom (Eliteserien).
    • Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 away games.
    • Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games (Eliteserien).
    • Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Sarpsborg Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.45)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.41;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.04;
    • both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 7.
    Trends
    • Lillestrom have scored under 2.5 goals in last 12 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    • Lillestrom have scored under 2.5 goals in last 7 home games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    • Lillestrom have scored under 2.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games against Sarpsborg.
    👉Prediction: Lillestrom Total goals Under (2,5) (odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 27;
    • both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 7 times.

    Statistics: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
    • number of BTTS matches for Lillestrom at home - 1 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 1 (33%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Lillestrom at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 3 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.53)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (7/48, 14.6%);
    • Lillestrom at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 3:1 (1/2, 50%);
    • Sarpsborg away most often play: 0:2 , 1:0 , 2:1 (1/3, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 12.26% (odds 11)
    2:1 - 10.01% (odds 8.5)
    1:1 - 9.95% (odds 9)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0) (odds: 11)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Lillestrøm are in excellent form, showcasing strong performances at their home ground. The team consistently wins and scores over 1.5 goals in most matches. Meanwhile, Sarpsborg are struggling with setbacks-three losses and two draws in their last five games highlight issues both in defense and attack. The trend of Lillestrøm winning at home makes this choice an obvious one for the upcoming match. We anticipate a home victory due to their stability and scoring prowess.

    Lillestrom to Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-156
    Published: 30/04/2026, 14:09

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    Betting Tips: Lillestrom - Sarpsborg

    Lillestrom have won:
    lillestrom-skin 11 of last 12 home games.
    Lillestrom to Win
    Everygame
    -137
    Lillestrom have not lost:
    lillestrom-sksarpsborgin 7 of last 8 home games against Sarpsborg.
    lillestrom-skin 46 of last 48 games.
    lillestrom-skin 19 of last 20 home games.
    Sarpsborg have not won:
    sarpsborgin 7 of last 8 games.
    Lillestrom will not lose
    Everygame
    -400
    Over 2.5 goals scored:
    lillestrom-skin 10 of last 11 Lillestrom home games.
    in 16 of last 17 Mohammad Usman Aslam games.
    in 12 of last 13 Mohammad Usman Aslam games (in the Eliteserien).
    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    lillestrom-sksarpsborgin 14 of last 15 Lillestrom home games against Sarpsborg.
    lillestrom-sksarpsborgin last 13 Lillestrom games against Sarpsborg.
    lillestrom-sksarpsborgin last 12 Lillestrom games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    lillestrom-skin last 12 Lillestrom games.
    lillestrom-skin last 6 Lillestrom games (Eliteserien).
    sarpsborgin 8 of last 9 Sarpsborg away games (Eliteserien).
    in 6 of last 7 Mohammad Usman Aslam games (in the Eliteserien).
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -345
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 16
    +3
    -4
    17 - Scored
    21 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    2
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    17
    16
    Conceded
    21
    3.5
    Average total per match
    3.8
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.1
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats