Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 May 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match, Lillestrom host Sarpsborg, and this clash promises to be intriguing. The hosts are in excellent form, sitting in third place on the table. They have been showcasing confident performances at home with high scoring efficiency. Meanwhile, the visitors are fighting for survival in 13th place, and their results have been less than impressive. However, they are eager to keep their hopes alive for improving their standing in the league.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 December 2025, ending in a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparison of the stats from that match (Lillestrom were the home side):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Lillestrom and Sarpsborg:
- 27 matches played;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 10, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 44 for Lillestrom, 38 for Sarpsborg;
- average goals in the first half - 1, second half - 2.04;
- average total goals per match - 3.04.
Head-to-head statistics Lillestrom - Sarpsborg

Lillestrom Team Overview
The last official match for the team took place on in the Eliteserien, featuring Lillestrøm as the home side and Bodø/Glimt as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Lillestrøm vs Bodø/Glimt):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Lillestrom are currently in impressive form, having won three of their last five matches and losing only once. On home turf, they are particularly formidable, as evidenced by their statistics-averaging 1.5 goals per game while conceding just 0.67. The team's attack is consistent and effective, thanks to the excellent interplay among their forwards. Additionally, Lillestrom showcase a strong defense, rarely allowing opponents to create dangerous opportunities.
Match Results: Lillestrom

Sarpsborg Team Overview
The last official match for the visiting team took place on in the Eliteserien, featuring KFUM Oslo as the home side and Sarpsborg as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here's a breakdown of the game statistics (Sarpsborg vs KFUM Oslo):
- possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Sarpsborg are going through a challenging phase, with their form being less than stellar, marked by three losses and two draws in their last five outings. The team struggles offensively, averaging just 0.83 goals per game while conceding roughly the same number (1). Away from home, they seldom display confidence, further compounded by their vulnerability to opponents' counterattacks.
Match Results: Sarpsborg
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 27;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.41, while the visitors net 0.59.
First-Half Stats: Lillestrom (home) vs Sarpsborg (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 3;
- wins: 1 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- losses: 1 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.67;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4).
- Lillestrom scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 27;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 10, draws - 6.
Statistics: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- win percentage: 67% vs 17%;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against Lillestrom (Eliteserien).
- Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 away games.
- Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games (Eliteserien).
- Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.41;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.04;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 7.
- Lillestrom have scored under 2.5 goals in last 12 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
- Lillestrom have scored under 2.5 goals in last 7 home games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
- Lillestrom have scored under 2.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games against Sarpsborg.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 27;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Lillestrom at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Lillestrom at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (7/48, 14.6%);
- Lillestrom at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 3:1 (1/2, 50%);
- Sarpsborg away most often play: 0:2 , 1:0 , 2:1 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.26% (odds 11)
2:1 - 10.01% (odds 8.5)
1:1 - 9.95% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Lillestrøm are in excellent form, showcasing strong performances at their home ground. The team consistently wins and scores over 1.5 goals in most matches. Meanwhile, Sarpsborg are struggling with setbacks-three losses and two draws in their last five games highlight issues both in defense and attack. The trend of Lillestrøm winning at home makes this choice an obvious one for the upcoming match. We anticipate a home victory due to their stability and scoring prowess.