Libertad Loja vs Aucas Prediction 2 May 2026
🔊 The match promises to be intense, given the current form of the teams. Libertad find themselves in a tough spot, sitting in 15th place in the standings and delivering poor performances in recent games. On the other hand, Aucas are confidently holding onto the third position, showcasing good form with recent victories. The playing styles of the opponents differ: Libertad focus on maintaining their defense, while Aucas are a more attacking side.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 23 August 2025 and ended with a 3-2 scoreline. Let's take a look at the comparative stats from that encounter (Libertad were the home side):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 3 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Libertad and Aucas:
- 7 matches played;
- home victories - 3, away victories - 2, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 9 for Libertad, 10 for Aucas;
- average first-half total - 1, second-half - 1.71;
- average total goals per match - 2.71.
Head-to-head statistics Libertad Loja - Aucas

Libertad Loja Team Overview
The last official match was played on in Serie A with Makara hosting Libertad. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Libertad vs Makara):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Libertad are going through a tough spell, having failed to win in their last five games, with four losses and a draw. Over the past ten matches, they have managed just one victory while suffering six defeats. On average, they score only 0.6 goals per game, making their attack one of the weakest in the league. Meanwhile, they concede around 1.6 goals per match, highlighting their defensive struggles as well. Their situation is further compounded by their position in the standings, as they sit in 15th place.
Match Results: Libertad Loja

SD Aucas Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in Serie A (home team - Aucas, visitors - Delfin). The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Aucas vs Delfin):
- possession percentage: 74% vs 26%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Aucas are displaying confident performances in recent matches, currently sitting third in the league standings. The team is in good form, boasting four wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their average scoring rate stands at 1.1 goals per match, indicating a stable attack. Meanwhile, they concede just 0.7 goals per game, highlighting a solid defense. Despite their successful run, Aucas tend to see a dip in scoring on the road, netting fewer than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven away games.
Match Results: SD Aucas
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 7;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.43.
First-Half Stats: Libertad Loja (home) vs SD Aucas (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 2 (40%) vs 1 (20%);
- draws: 3 (60%) vs 4 (80%);
- Average goals scored: 0.8 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.6 vs 0.6.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 0 vs 1;
- losses: 6 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 8;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.8) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.3).
- SD Aucas have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
- SD Aucas have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Serie A).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 2.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs SD Aucas
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- win percentage: 18% vs 45%;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 5;
- losses: 6 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 home games (Serie A).
- Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 16 games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.43;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs SD Aucas
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 1.82;
- average total goals scored: 0.73 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.18 vs 0.45;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.55 vs 0.64;
- Libertad Loja: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- SD Aucas: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- SD Aucas have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Libertad Loja: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.45; at home field - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 3.5.
SD Aucas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.91, away - 5.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 5.4.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Libertad Loja games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs SD Aucas
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 2 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for SD Aucas away - 2 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for SD Aucas away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/88, 18.2%);
- Libertad Loja at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:0 , 2:1 , 2:2 (1/5, 20%);
- SD Aucas away most often play: 0:1 (2/5, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 15.65% (odds 7)
0:0 - 12.78% (odds 8)
1:1 - 12.48% (odds 6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current trends and team form, a low-scoring match seems likely. Libertad are struggling offensively, averaging less than one goal per game. While Aucas show strong form at home, their scoring drops on the road, with fewer than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven away matches. This aligns with the trend of under 2.5 goals for Aucas. Given these factors, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be a reasonable choice.