Libertad Loja vs Aucas Prediction 2 May 2026

    🔊 The match promises to be intense, given the current form of the teams. Libertad find themselves in a tough spot, sitting in 15th place in the standings and delivering poor performances in recent games. On the other hand, Aucas are confidently holding onto the third position, showcasing good form with recent victories. The playing styles of the opponents differ: Libertad focus on maintaining their defense, while Aucas are a more attacking side.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams took place on 23 August 2025 and ended with a 3-2 scoreline. Let's take a look at the comparative stats from that encounter (Libertad were the home side):

    • possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
    • corners: 3 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Libertad and Aucas:

    • 7 matches played;
    • home victories - 3, away victories - 2, draws - 2;
    • goals scored - 9 for Libertad, 10 for Aucas;
    • average first-half total - 1, second-half - 1.71;
    • average total goals per match - 2.71.

    Head-to-head statistics Libertad Loja - Aucas

    50%
    4 Wins
    25%
    2 Draws
    25%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    8
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    63%
    1.5
    Total average
    1.5
    1.88
    Yellow cards
    1.25
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    -
    -
    4
    5
    12
    14
    2
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    12
    14
    2
    2
    23.08.25
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    1
    1.19
    1.02
    3
    10
    -
    -
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.19
    1.02
    3
    10
    -
    -
    2
    3
    06.05.25
    Serie A
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    1
    2.2
    1.52
    3
    6
    9
    6
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.2
    1.52
    3
    6
    9
    6
    0
    1
    26.10.24
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    04.09.24
    Copa Ecuador
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
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    There are no events
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    Libertad Loja Team Overview

    The last official match was played on in Serie A with Makara hosting Libertad. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory.

    Here are the game statistics (Libertad vs Makara):

    • possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 9.

    Libertad are going through a tough spell, having failed to win in their last five games, with four losses and a draw. Over the past ten matches, they have managed just one victory while suffering six defeats. On average, they score only 0.6 goals per game, making their attack one of the weakest in the league. Meanwhile, they concede around 1.6 goals per match, highlighting their defensive struggles as well. Their situation is further compounded by their position in the standings, as they sit in 15th place.

    Match Results: Libertad Loja

    Last matches
    25.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Macara
    Macara
    -
    -
    6
    4
    13
    11
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    13
    11
    3
    2
    W
    15.08.26
    Serie A
    Guayaquil City
    Guayaquil City
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    1
    3
    8
    14
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    8
    14
    1
    2
    D
    10.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    2
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    6
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    6
    2
    3
    W
    01.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    W
    27.07.26
    Serie A
    Mushuc Runa
    Mushuc Runa
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    13
    3
    8
    11
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    13
    3
    8
    11
    1
    1
    W
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    SD Aucas Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on in Serie A (home team - Aucas, visitors - Delfin). The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Aucas vs Delfin):

    • possession percentage: 74% vs 26%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
    • fouls: 10 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    Aucas are displaying confident performances in recent matches, currently sitting third in the league standings. The team is in good form, boasting four wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their average scoring rate stands at 1.1 goals per match, indicating a stable attack. Meanwhile, they concede just 0.7 goals per game, highlighting a solid defense. Despite their successful run, Aucas tend to see a dip in scoring on the road, netting fewer than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven away games.

    Match Results: SD Aucas

    Last matches
    26.08.26
    Copa Ecuador
    LDU Quito
    LDU Quito
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    -
    -
    1
    4
    12
    9
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    12
    9
    1
    0
    L
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Delfin
    Delfin
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    -
    -
    7
    0
    19
    19
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    0
    19
    19
    3
    2
    W
    17.08.26
    Serie A
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    LDU Quito
    LDU Quito
    -
    -
    7
    3
    13
    18
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    13
    18
    4
    6
    L
    12.08.26
    Copa Ecuador
    Club La Union
    Club La Union
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    -
    -
    1
    7
    12
    10
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    3
    4
    -
    -
    1
    7
    12
    10
    2
    2
    W
    08.08.26
    Serie A
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    5
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    5
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 7;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
    • Average first-half total: 1;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.43.

    First-Half Stats: Libertad Loja (home) vs SD Aucas (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
    • wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 2 (40%) vs 1 (20%);
    • draws: 3 (60%) vs 4 (80%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.8 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.6 vs 0.6.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 0 vs 1;
    • losses: 6 vs 1;
    • draws: 4 vs 8;
    • Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.8) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • SD Aucas have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
    • SD Aucas have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.05)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 2.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs SD Aucas

    • matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • wins: 2 vs 5;
    • win percentage: 18% vs 45%;
    • losses: 5 vs 2;
    • draws: 4 vs 4.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 1 vs 5;
    • losses: 6 vs 2;
    • draws: 3 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 home games (Serie A).
    • Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 16 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Libertad Loja Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.2)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.43;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
    • both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 3.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs SD Aucas

    • average total in the tournament: 2 vs 1.82;
    • average total goals scored: 0.73 vs 1.09;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.18 vs 0.45;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.55 vs 0.64;
    • Libertad Loja: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • SD Aucas: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • SD Aucas have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: SD Aucas Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.53)

    Prediction on corners

    Libertad Loja: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.45; at home field - 4.6;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 3.5.

    SD Aucas: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.91, away - 5.4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 5.4.
    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Libertad Loja games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5) (odds: 1.83)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs SD Aucas

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 2 (40%);
    • number of BTTS matches for SD Aucas away - 2 (40%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
    • BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for SD Aucas away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.8)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/88, 18.2%);
    • Libertad Loja at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:0 , 2:1 , 2:2 (1/5, 20%);
    • SD Aucas away most often play: 0:1 (2/5, 40%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 15.65% (odds 7)
    0:0 - 12.78% (odds 8)
    1:1 - 12.48% (odds 6)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1) (odds: 7)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current trends and team form, a low-scoring match seems likely. Libertad are struggling offensively, averaging less than one goal per game. While Aucas show strong form at home, their scoring drops on the road, with fewer than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven away matches. This aligns with the trend of under 2.5 goals for Aucas. Given these factors, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be a reasonable choice.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-149
    Published: 29/04/2026, 07:30

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    Betting Tips: Libertad Loja - SD Aucas

    SD Aucas have drawn in the 1st half:
    sd-aucasin 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
    sd-aucasin last 5 games (Serie A).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +115
    Libertad Loja have not won:
    libertad-lojain last 8 games (Serie A).
    SD Aucas have not lost:
    sd-aucasin last 6 games (Serie A).
    SD Aucas will not lose
    -556
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    libertad-lojain 11 of last 12 Libertad Loja games.
    libertad-lojain 10 of last 11 Libertad Loja games (Serie A).
    libertad-lojain 6 of last 7 Libertad Loja home games (Serie A).
    in last 6 Lenin Quinonez games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -400
    SD Aucas have scored under 2.5 goals:
    sd-aucasin last 25 away games.
    sd-aucasin last 24 away games (Serie A).
    sd-aucasin 15 of last 16 games (Serie A).
    SD Aucas Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Libertad Loja - Aucas Table position

    LigaPro Primera A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    26221364-2667
    2.
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    26135830-2644
    3.
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    26127745-2343
    6.
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    26109728-2039
    7.
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    26107929-2937
    8.
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    2698928-2835

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 7
    +6
    -2
    10 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    0
    2
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    10
    7
    Conceded
    12
    2
    Match goals average
    2.2
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    3
    Both teams scored
    3
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats