Chicago Fire vs Сincinnati Prediction 3 May 2026
🔊 The upcoming match promises to be intriguing. Chicago are showing consistent form, which helps them maintain their third position in the standings. Cincinnati, on the other hand, have more modest results, but their attacking prowess remains a threat to any opponent. Both clubs have their strengths, yet on home turf, Chicago will be eager to capitalize on their advantage.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 18 April 2026 and ended in a 3-3 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Cincinnati were the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Chicago Fire and Cincinnati:
- 18 matches played;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 8, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 27 for Chicago, 26 for Cincinnati;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.28, in the second half - 1.67;
- average total goals per match - 2.94.
Head-to-head statistics Chicago Fire - Сincinnati
Chicago Fire Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the U.S. Open Cup, featuring Chicago Fire as the hosts and St. Louis City as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Chicago Fire are in solid form, currently holding the third spot in the standings. Over their last five matches, the team has secured three wins and drawn once. Thanks to a reliable defense, Chicago concedes less than a goal per game-a key aspect of their success. Despite their positive results, the attacking line occasionally struggles with finishing chances. However, playing at home typically yields positive outcomes, making them a formidable opponent for Cincinnati.
Match Results: Chicago Fire
Cincinnati Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the MLS, where Cincinnati hosted New York Red Bulls. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Cincinnati find themselves in a challenging position, sitting ninth in the standings. Over their last five matches, the club have managed just one win, alongside three draws and a loss. Despite their defensive struggles, conceding more than two goals per game, their attacking prowess remains strong. Cincinnati frequently generate numerous chances thanks to their aggressive style and rapid counter-attacks. However, their defensive instability could pose a significant hurdle against Chicago Fire, particularly given the tough away fixtures they face.
Match Results: Cincinnati
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 8, draws - 5.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- win percentage: 56% vs 30%;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Cincinnati won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games against Chicago Fire (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.44;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.94;
- both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati
- average total in the tournament: 2.78 vs 4.2;
- average total goals scored: 1.89 vs 1.9;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.78 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.11 vs 1.2;
- Chicago Fire: average total at home in the tournament - 2.2;
- Cincinnati: average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2) vs 2.1 (away - 1.8).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Chicago Fire home games against Cincinnati (MLS).
Prediction on corners
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.78; at home field - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; at home field - 4.67.
Cincinnati: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.7, away - 5.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.4.
- Over 9.5 corners in 10 of last 11 Chicago Fire games against Cincinnati (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 1 (20%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cincinnati away - 4 (80%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Cincinnati away - 5 (100%).
- Cincinnati have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
- Cincinnati have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
- Cincinnati have scored and conceded in last 5 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (15/144, 10.4%);
- Chicago Fire at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/5, 40%);
- Cincinnati away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 , 4:2 , 4:4 , 6:1 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 8.63% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 8.29% (odds 8)
3:1 - 7.18% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering current trends and statistics, Chicago Fire hold the advantage on home turf, particularly due to their solid defense. The team consistently delivers at home, where a total under 3.5 goals often plays a pivotal role. Meanwhile, Cincinnati continue to struggle defensively and rarely show consistency on the road. Although their attacking potential remains high, their weak defense might hinder their success against a well-organized opponent. In this context, betting on total under 3.5 appears to be the most reasonable choice.
No comments
Betting Tips: Chicago Fire - Cincinnati
in last 5 home games against Cincinnati (MLS).
in 7 of last 8 games (MLS).in last 6 away games (MLS).in 9 of last 10 games against Cincinnati (MLS).in 8 of last 9 home games against Cincinnati.in 16 of last 17 home games.in 15 of last 16 home games (MLS).in 8 of last 9 games (MLS).in 8 of last 9 games (MLS).in 10 of last 11 games against Cincinnati (MLS).in last 9 games.in last 7 games (MLS).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
