Mallorca vs Girona Prediction 4 January 2026
🔊 Can the "Red and Whites" escape the relegation zone by the end of La Liga's Matchday 18? One of Sunday's standout fixtures in La Liga is the clash between Mallorca and Girona at the "Iberostar". This matchup draws particular interest as both clubs are locked in a battle for survival. This season, Jagoba Arrasate's squad appears slightly more favorable not only in terms of their league position but also in the quality of their play. Bookmakers also factor in the home advantage, leading them to give a slight edge to the "Islanders".
Head-to-Head
📊 Last season, the teams exchanged home victories: Mallorca triumphed at the "Iberostar" (2-1), while Girona found success at "Montilivi" (1-0). Throughout their head-to-head history, there have been 11 encounters in Mallorca. Interestingly, the "Red and Whites" have only managed one away victory - during the 2014/15 Segunda campaign (1-0). In La Liga, Girona have yet to claim a win. Let's note the average goals scored by each side over the last 10 meetings: Mallorca - 1.3, Girona - 1.3.
Head-to-head statistics Mallorca - Girona
Mallorca Team Overview
🔴 This season, Mallorca are showing somewhat poorer results, as they find themselves in a fierce battle for survival. Notably, the "Islanders" are just three points clear of the relegation zone. It's important to highlight Mallorca's performances at home, where they've suffered only one defeat in the current La Liga campaign (a 0-3 loss to Barcelona). Additionally, after 17 matches played, the "Cinnabar Reds" average 1.12 goals scored per game while conceding 1.41.
⚫ The final match of 2025 ended in a draw for the "Cinnabar Reds" against Valencia (1-1). This away fixture particularly highlighted Mallorca's weaknesses. Despite securing a point, Jagoba Arrasate's squad appeared impotent in attacking phases. It was also disappointing that the "Islanders" spent most of the match without the ball. Consider the expected goals ratio: 1.29 to 0.19 in favor of Valencia. While the "Bats" created four scoring chances, the "Red and Whites" failed to create any. The current leader of Mallorca is Vedat Muriqi, who stands as the league's third top scorer with nine goals in 16 matches.
Match Results: Mallorca
Girona Team Overview
⚪ In recent seasons, Girona have experienced a remarkable rise and a painful fall. The departure of key players and a coaching crisis under Míchel have led to the club's disappointing performances. Currently, the "Blanquivermells" are fighting hard to maintain their top-flight status. Sitting in 18th place on the league table with just 15 points from 17 matches is far from satisfying for the fans. Notably, Girona have the worst defense in the league, conceding an average of 1.94 goals per game.
🔴 Just before the brief Christmas break, the "Blanquivermells" fell to Atletico Madrid at Montilivi, losing 0-3. Despite Míchel's tactically sound decision to mirror the opponent's formation, they couldn't secure a favorable outcome. In fact, Girona performed convincingly in transitional phases and often deserved more. A glance at the xG statistics shows 1.06 to 0.9 in favor of Míchel's side. Paulo Gazzaniga's subpar performance and a lack of balance in the defensive line contributed to the high number of goals conceded. Viktor Tsygankov stands out as the club's top scorer this season, with 3 goals and 2 assists in 11 appearances.
Match Results: Girona
Latest news
Mallorca
🎤 Mallorca head coach Jagoba Arrasate assessed his team's performance after their 1-1 draw at the Mestalla: "It feels like a hard-fought moment that we had to work for. We started very well, but Valencia were better towards the end of the first half and the start of the second. We changed our system, which stopped them and allowed us to finish stronger. Combined with the win over Elche, I believe this point is valuable. These games are crucial. It was a great goal that helped us earn a very valuable point. I think we have room for improvement, and we need to demand more from ourselves. The team is competitive, and we're picking up points."
❌ Mallorca's coaching staff can rely on their strongest lineup for the upcoming match.
Girona
📰 This season, the goalkeeper situation at Girona is a hot topic. Paulo Gazzaniga no longer displays the reliability that characterized him in recent seasons. Meanwhile, Dominik Livaković not only failed to win the competition but also struggled to connect with the fans. The Croatian keeper is now on the verge of leaving the club during the January transfer window. The main transfer news centers around the high likelihood of securing a loan deal with Marc-André ter Stegen. The German goalkeeper has long burned bridges at Barcelona and is unlikely to get another chance to become the first-choice keeper for the reigning Spanish champions.
❌ In Girona's injury list are Ricard Artero (ankle injury), Juan Carlos (knee injury), Portu (knee injury), and Donny van de Beek (Achilles injury). Additionally, Azzedine Ounahi will be unavailable due to international duty.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Both clubs are struggling defensively. Mallorca have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three matches, while Girona have gone six without one. Let's look at the average number of goals conceded by each team in the current La Liga campaign: the "Islanders" at 1.4 and the "Red-and-Whites" at 1.9. Additionally, in 5 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters, both teams have found the back of the net. Our editorial choice is both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
Let's focus on the average number of corners earned by Mallorca and Girona this season: 3.9 compared to 3.3 in favor of the "Islanders." It's also crucial to consider ongoing statistical trends. In 5 of Mallorca's last 7 matches, there have been no more than 10 corner kicks. A similar trend is seen in Girona's last 7 games. A sensible betting option would be total corners under 9.5.
Editor's Prediction
When selecting a key bet, it's crucial to consider the head-to-head history between the teams. Girona have never secured an away victory against the "islanders" in La Liga history. Furthermore, Michel's squad have only managed one away win in the current season. Meanwhile, the "vermilion" side have shown strong performances at the "Iberostar," suffering defeat only to a formidable Barcelona in the opening round of La Liga. We predict a final score of 2-1, with the key bet being Mallorca to win with a -0.25 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Mallorca - Girona
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in 16 of last 17 Girona away games (La Liga).in 11 of last 12 Girona games.in 9 of last 10 Girona games (La Liga).
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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