Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction 3 August 2026
📢 Both sides have started the season without a loss, picking up six points from two games. Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente have already shown they mean business, which makes this one of the more interesting matches of the round. The winner stays among the leaders and keeps their perfect Clausura start intact.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 31 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Velez Sarsfield and Independiente:
- played 39 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 13, draws - 15;
- number of goals - 37 against 36;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.79, in the 2nd half - 1.08;
- average total goals in the match - 1.87.
Head-to-head statistics Velez Sarsfield - Independiente
Velez Sarsfield Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Talleres de Cordoba, away team - Velez Sarsfield). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.
Here's the game statistics (Velez Sarsfield vs Talleres de Cordoba):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 6 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Vélez Sarsfield have made a perfect start to the Clausura - two wins from two, six points on the board. Recent form backs that up: three wins, one draw and one defeat across the last five matches. Defensively they've been solid too - conceding an average of 0.9 goals per game over the last ten.
Match Results: Velez Sarsfield
Independiente Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Independiente, away - Newell´s Old Boys). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Independiente vs Newell´s Old Boys):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Independiente have also won both of their Clausura openers and arrive at matchday three with a perfect record. Four wins from their last five - their current form is among the best in the league. Over ten matches, they've averaged 1.7 goals per game, consistently creating enough to win. Away from home they've been just as reliable: at least two goals scored in eight of their previous away matches, and Independiente themselves have found the net in almost all of them.
Match Results: Independiente
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.95, the guests - 0.92;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.87;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente
- average total in the tournament: 1.89 vs 2.68;
- average total goals scored: 1.16 vs 1.47;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.63;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.84;
- Velez Sarsfield: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Independiente: average total away in the tournament - 1.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.57) vs 1.7 (away - 1.33).
- Velez Sarsfield have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Independiente.
- Velez Sarsfield have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Independiente (Primera Division).
- Velez Sarsfield have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Velez Sarsfield: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.37; at home field - 5.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 5.71.
Independiente: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.47, away - 4.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 3.33.
- Over 8.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Velez Sarsfield games against Independiente (Primera Division).
- Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Velez Sarsfield home games against Independiente.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (43/287, 15%);
- Velez Sarsfield at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/10, 30%);
- Independiente away most often play: 1:1 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 15.17% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 11.81% (odds 6.05)
1:0 - 11.38% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Velez Sarsfield are slight favourites here, mainly due to home advantage. But Independiente are in good form too and will be pushing for at least a point, so both sides should be looking to attack. At least two goals were scored in 6 of Independiente's last 7 matches. Given how both teams have started, total goals over 1.5 looks like the right call. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Velez Sarsfield - Independiente
in 7 of last 8 games against Independiente (Primera Division).
in 9 of last 10 games against Independiente (Primera Division).in last 6 home games against Independiente (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 games.in 12 of last 14 away games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).in 10 of last 11 games against Independiente.in 6 of last 7 games against Independiente (Primera Division).in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
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