Libertad Loja vs Orense Prediction 1 August 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Libertad and Orense meet at a point where both need results. They're sitting in the bottom half of the table, separated by very little. Neither side has managed a real breakthrough in recent weeks - Libertad pick up points more regularly, but their scoring numbers stay low. Orense struggle away from home, especially going forward. Given the level of both teams, a high-scoring match seems unlikely.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the two sides took place on 12 April 2026 and ended 2-1. Here's the key stats from that game (Ourense were the home side):

    • possession: 69% vs 31%;
    • corners: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 12 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 2.

    📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Libertad and Orense:

    • 9 matches played;
    • home wins: 3, away wins: 4, draws: 2;
    • goals: 11 vs 11;
    • average first-half total: 0.78, second-half: 1.67;
    • average total goals per match: 2.44.

    Head-to-head statistics Libertad Loja - Orense

    40%
    4 Wins
    20%
    2 Draws
    40%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Total Goals Avg
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    40%
    1.4
    Total average
    1.1
    1.4
    Yellow cards
    1
    Last matches
    01.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    12.04.26
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    10
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    10
    2
    2
    21.12.25
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    1
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    4.65
    0.7
    10
    4
    10
    14
    3
    2
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    4.65
    0.7
    10
    4
    10
    14
    3
    2
    05.10.25
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Orense
    Orense
    2.83
    1.17
    4
    7
    17
    13
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.83
    1.17
    4
    7
    17
    13
    2
    0
    13.07.25
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    1.89
    0.99
    9
    1
    11
    7
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.89
    0.99
    9
    1
    11
    7
    0
    1
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    Libertad Loja Team Overview

    Their last official match was played on in Serie A - Mushuk Runa hosted Libertad. The final score was 0:2.

    Match stats (Libertad vs Mushuk Runa):

    • possession: 39% vs 61%;
    • corners: 3 vs 13;
    • fouls: 11 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 7.

    Libertad aren't putting up big numbers right now. Three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five - decent points return, but the underlying numbers are modest: just 1 goal per game on average over the last ten matches, and 0.95 across the season. Defensively they're more solid - only 1 goal conceded per game over that same ten-match stretch, though the seasonal figure is slightly higher. Five straight matches with under 2.5 goals tells you something about how they operate, even at home: Libertad don't open up, they stay compact and keep the risk low.

    Match Results: Libertad Loja

    Last matches
    25.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Macara
    Macara
    -
    -
    6
    4
    13
    11
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    13
    11
    3
    2
    W
    15.08.26
    Serie A
    Guayaquil City
    Guayaquil City
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    1
    3
    8
    14
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    8
    14
    1
    2
    D
    10.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    2
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    6
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    6
    2
    3
    W
    01.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    W
    27.07.26
    Serie A
    Mushuc Runa
    Mushuc Runa
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    13
    3
    8
    11
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    13
    3
    8
    11
    1
    1
    W
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    Orense Team Overview

    The visitors' last official match took place in the Serie A (home side - Orense, away side - Independiente del Valle). The match ended 2-3.

    Match stats (Orense vs Independiente del Valle):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corners: 11 vs 4;
    • fouls: 13 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 6.

    Ourense can't find any consistency away from home, and the attack keeps letting them down. One win in the last five matches. Five straight away games without scoring twice - that tells you plenty about their attacking output on the road. Over the last ten games, they've won just twice, averaging 0.9 goals per match while conceding 1.7. The form isn't doing their ambitions any favours.

    Match Results: Orense

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    9
    1
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    9
    1
    3
    L
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    Cuenca
    Cuenca
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    8
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    8
    1
    1
    W
    09.08.26
    Serie A
    Delfin
    Delfin
    1
    Orense
    Orense
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    17
    13
    4
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    17
    13
    4
    0
    D
    01.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    L
    26.07.26
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    -
    -
    11
    4
    13
    11
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    11
    4
    13
    11
    4
    3
    L
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    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.22, the guests - 1.22;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.44;
    • both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Orense

    • average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.68;
    • average total goals scored: 0.95 vs 1.23;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.27 vs 0.59;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 0.64;
    • Libertad Loja: average total at home in the tournament -  1.1;
    • Orense: average total away in the tournament - 1.1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.75) vs 0.9 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Libertad Loja have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Libertad Loja Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 9;
    • both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Orense

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 15;
    • number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 4 (40%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Orense away - 6 (60%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 1 (25%);
    • BTTS matches for Orense away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.83)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (31/176, 17.6%);
    • Libertad Loja at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/10, 30%);
    • Orense away most often play: 2:1 (2/10, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.12% (odds 6)
    0:1 - 11.74% (odds 7.5)
    1:0 - 10.25% (odds 8.5)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    This one looks set to be a cautious affair - both clubs have shown low scoring numbers across the season, and recent trends point to under games particularly for Libertad. Orense, meanwhile, struggle consistently in attack away from home and rarely manage even a single goal on the road, which cuts down the chances of an open match with chances at both ends. The table situation calls for a careful approach, and aggressive risk isn't justified by the current state of either attack - the hosts don't have the tools to push the tempo either. The bet is total goals under 2.5.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-132
    Published: 29/07/2026, 05:23
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker, tennis and football specialist
    103
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    185 predictions
    Statistics for July 2026

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    Betting Tips: Libertad Loja - Orense

    Orense have not won:
    orense-scin 8 of last 9 games.
    orense-scin 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    Libertad Loja will not lose
    Everygame
    -204
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    libertad-lojain last 5 Libertad Loja games (Serie A).
    in last 7 Bryan Loayza games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    -141
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    orense-scin 12 of last 13 Orense games.
    orense-scin 11 of last 12 Orense games (Serie A).
    orense-scin last 6 Orense away games.
    orense-scin last 5 Orense away games (Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Orense have conceded:
    orense-scin 8 of last 9 games.
    Libertad Loja will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Libertad Loja - Orense Table position

    LigaPro Primera A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    26109728-2039
    7.
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    26107929-2937
    8.
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    2698928-2835
    11.
    Cuenca
    Cuenca
    26951222-3232
    12.
    Orense
    Orense
    26861230-3930
    13.
    Emelec
    Emelec
    26881021-3129

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 7
    +6
    -8
    9 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    2
    2
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    9
    7
    Conceded
    17
    2
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    3
    Both teams scored
    5
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats