Libertad Loja vs Orense Prediction 1 August 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Libertad and Orense meet at a point where both need results. They're sitting in the bottom half of the table, separated by very little. Neither side has managed a real breakthrough in recent weeks - Libertad pick up points more regularly, but their scoring numbers stay low. Orense struggle away from home, especially going forward. Given the level of both teams, a high-scoring match seems unlikely.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the two sides took place on 12 April 2026 and ended 2-1. Here's the key stats from that game (Ourense were the home side):

    • possession: 69% vs 31%;
    • corners: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 12 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 2.

    📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Libertad and Orense:

    • 9 matches played;
    • home wins: 3, away wins: 4, draws: 2;
    • goals: 11 vs 11;
    • average first-half total: 0.78, second-half: 1.67;
    • average total goals per match: 2.44.

    Head-to-head statistics Libertad Loja - Orense

    33%
    3 Wins
    22%
    2 Draws
    44%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    2.44
    Both teams scored
    44%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.22
    1.56
    Yellow cards
    1.11
    Last matches
    12.04.26
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    10
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    10
    2
    2
    21.12.25
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    1
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    4.65
    0.7
    10
    4
    10
    14
    3
    2
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    4.65
    0.7
    10
    4
    10
    14
    3
    2
    05.10.25
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Orense
    Orense
    2.83
    1.17
    4
    7
    17
    13
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.83
    1.17
    4
    7
    17
    13
    2
    0
    13.07.25
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    1.89
    0.99
    9
    1
    11
    7
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.89
    0.99
    9
    1
    11
    7
    0
    1
    15.03.25
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Orense
    Orense
    2.46
    0.54
    10
    6
    8
    5
    1
    0
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1
    2.46
    0.54
    10
    6
    8
    5
    1
    0
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    Libertad Loja Team Overview

    Their last official match was played on in Serie A - Mushuk Runa hosted Libertad. The final score was 0:2.

    Match stats (Libertad vs Mushuk Runa):

    • possession: 39% vs 61%;
    • corners: 3 vs 13;
    • fouls: 11 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 7.

    Libertad aren't putting up big numbers right now. Three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five - decent points return, but the underlying numbers are modest: just 1 goal per game on average over the last ten matches, and 0.95 across the season. Defensively they're more solid - only 1 goal conceded per game over that same ten-match stretch, though the seasonal figure is slightly higher. Five straight matches with under 2.5 goals tells you something about how they operate, even at home: Libertad don't open up, they stay compact and keep the risk low.

    Match Results: Libertad Loja

    Last matches
    27.07.26
    Serie A
    Mushuc Runa
    Mushuc Runa
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    13
    3
    8
    11
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    13
    3
    8
    11
    1
    1
    W
    21.07.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Delfin
    Delfin
    -
    -
    4
    5
    13
    16
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    13
    16
    2
    2
    W
    19.07.26
    Serie A
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    5
    4
    20
    17
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    20
    17
    2
    3
    L
    15.07.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Tecnico Universitario
    Tecnico Universitario
    -
    -
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    1
    W
    12.07.26
    Serie A
    LDU Quito
    LDU Quito
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    7
    4
    13
    13
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    13
    13
    3
    2
    D
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    Orense Team Overview

    The visitors' last official match took place in the Serie A (home side - Orense, away side - Independiente del Valle). The match ended 2-3.

    Match stats (Orense vs Independiente del Valle):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corners: 11 vs 4;
    • fouls: 13 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 6.

    Ourense can't find any consistency away from home, and the attack keeps letting them down. One win in the last five matches. Five straight away games without scoring twice - that tells you plenty about their attacking output on the road. Over the last ten games, they've won just twice, averaging 0.9 goals per match while conceding 1.7. The form isn't doing their ambitions any favours.

    Match Results: Orense

    Last matches
    26.07.26
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    -
    -
    11
    4
    13
    11
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    11
    4
    13
    11
    4
    3
    L
    23.07.26
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    10
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    10
    1
    0
    W
    20.07.26
    Serie A
    Mushuc Runa
    Mushuc Runa
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    5
    4
    16
    11
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    16
    11
    2
    4
    L
    17.07.26
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    1
    Emelec
    Emelec
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    19
    13
    4
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    19
    13
    4
    0
    L
    11.07.26
    Serie A
    Manta
    Manta
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    4
    4
    21
    18
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    21
    18
    2
    2
    D
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    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.22, the guests - 1.22;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.44;
    • both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Orense

    • average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.68;
    • average total goals scored: 0.95 vs 1.23;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.27 vs 0.59;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 0.64;
    • Libertad Loja: average total at home in the tournament -  1.1;
    • Orense: average total away in the tournament - 1.1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.75) vs 0.9 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Libertad Loja have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Libertad Loja Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 9;
    • both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Orense

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 15;
    • number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 4 (40%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Orense away - 6 (60%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 1 (25%);
    • BTTS matches for Orense away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.83)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (31/176, 17.6%);
    • Libertad Loja at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/10, 30%);
    • Orense away most often play: 2:1 (2/10, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.12% (odds 6)
    0:1 - 11.74% (odds 7.5)
    1:0 - 10.25% (odds 8.5)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    This one looks set to be a cautious affair - both clubs have shown low scoring numbers across the season, and recent trends point to under games particularly for Libertad. Orense, meanwhile, struggle consistently in attack away from home and rarely manage even a single goal on the road, which cuts down the chances of an open match with chances at both ends. The table situation calls for a careful approach, and aggressive risk isn't justified by the current state of either attack - the hosts don't have the tools to push the tempo either. The bet is total goals under 2.5.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2,5) at odds of -132*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 July 2026, 05:23)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Libertad Loja - Orense

    Orense have not won:
    orense-scin 8 of last 9 games.
    orense-scin 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    Libertad Loja will not lose
    Everygame
    -208
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    libertad-lojain last 5 Libertad Loja games (Serie A).
    in last 7 Bryan Loayza games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    -122
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    orense-scin 12 of last 13 Orense games.
    orense-scin 11 of last 12 Orense games (Serie A).
    orense-scin last 6 Orense away games.
    orense-scin last 5 Orense away games (Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Orense have conceded:
    orense-scin 8 of last 9 games.
    Libertad Loja will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Libertad Loja - Orense Table position

    LigaPro Primera A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Guayaquil City
    Guayaquil City
    2277819-2328
    10.
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    2276921-2627
    11.
    Tecnico Universitario
    Tecnico Universitario
    22821220-2426
    12.
    Orense
    Orense
    22751027-3226
    13.
    Mushuc Runa
    Mushuc Runa
    2267927-3325

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 10
    0
    -8
    9 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draw
    1
    5
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    9
    10
    Conceded
    17
    2
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats