Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction 2 August 2026
🔊 Both sides come into this with plenty to play for, but their recent form tells very different stories. Independiente del Valle are sitting comfortably at the top of the table, winning consistently and keeping the chasing pack at a distance. Deportivo Cuenca are fighting for a spot in the international zone - the gap is small, but the last few weeks haven't gone well for them. The contrast between the leader's clean run and the visitor's dip in form makes for a noticeable difference in where these two sides stand going into the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Cuenca):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 9;
- fouls: 12 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 9.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente del Valle and Cuenca:
- played 51 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 27, for the away team - 18, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 81 against 58;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.2, in the 2nd half - 1.53;
- average total goals in the match - 2.73.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Ecuador tournament (home team - Independiente del Valle, away team - Manta). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Independiente del Valle vs Manta):
- ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
Independiente del Valle are having an outstanding run and sit top of the table. The winning streak speaks for itself - every recent match has ended in a win, with no slip-ups across a ten-game stretch. Their attack is among the most potent in the division: 3.1 goals per game over the last ten, while the defence has been giving up just 0.6 per match. The motivation is clear - stay top while the chasing pack closes in, which means there's no room to ease off anywhere on the pitch. Clinical in front of goal, solid at the back. Every home match is another chance to extend the lead.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle
Cuenca Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Cuenca, away - Emelec). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Cuenca vs Emelec):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Deportivo Cuenca has been going through a rough patch, and the results show it. One win from the last five - three losses and a draw - and the ten-match stretch tells the same story: just two wins, six defeats. Scoring has dried up too, averaging just 0.5 goals per game over that run. The defence isn't holding up either, conceding 1.4 per match across the last ten. The motivation is still there, though - Cuenca are fighting for a top-six spot, so every point matters if they want to stay in that conversation.
Match Results: Cuenca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 51;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 13; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.2;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 0.53.
First-Half Stats: Independiente del Valle (home) vs Cuenca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 7 (63.64%) vs 1 (9.09%);
- losses: 1 (9.09%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- draws: 3 (27.27%) vs 6 (54.55%);
- Average goals scored: 1.55 vs 0.91;
- Average goals conceded: 0.36 vs 0.64.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 8 vs 1;
- losses: 0 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 0) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.7).
- Independiente del Valle have won the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games.
- Independiente del Valle have won the 1st half in last 7 games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.59, the guests - 1.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.73;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs Cuenca
- average total in the tournament: 3.5 vs 2.18;
- average total goals scored: 2.5 vs 0.95;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.14 vs 0.36;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.36 vs 0.59;
- Independiente del Valle: average total at home in the tournament - 2.45;
- Cuenca: average total away in the tournament - 0.73;
- last 10 matches (average total): 3.1 (home - 3) vs 0.5 (away - 0.2).
- Independiente del Valle have not conceded in 5 of last 6 games against Cuenca (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Independiente del Valle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.14; at home field - 7.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.8.
Cuenca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.59, away - 3.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 4.4.
- Independiente del Valle have taken under 6.5 corners in last 9 games.
- Independiente del Valle have taken under 6.5 corners in last 7 games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 51;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs Cuenca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cuenca away - 2 (18%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Cuenca away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (31/176, 17.6%);
- Independiente del Valle at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Cuenca away most often play: 0:1 (4/11, 36.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 13.8% (odds 6)
1:0 - 13.28% (odds 6.5)
3:0 - 9.75% (odds 8)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Everything points toward Independiente del Valle here - ten wins in a row at home, a sharp attack and a defence that's been hard to break down. The -1.5 handicap makes sense: they've been winning by two or more on a regular basis, and the dominance shows up in the numbers, not just the table. Deportivo Cuenca have lost six of their last ten, and there's nothing in their recent form to suggest that changes. The pick is Independiente del Valle -1.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Independiente del Valle - Cuenca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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