Emelec vs Aucas Prediction 2 August 2026
🔊 Emelec and Aucas meet with very different things at stake. Emelec are sitting in the lower half of the table, while Aucas are comfortably up among the leaders. The home side have been inconsistent lately, and the visitors have plenty to play for - they're still fighting to hold their place at the top. That contrast could shape how this one plays out, given how both teams have been scoring.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - SD Aucas):
- ball possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 4;
- fouls: 5 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 10 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Emelec and SD Aucas:
- played 32 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 7, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 47 against 30;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.19, in the 2nd half - 1.22;
- average total goals in the match - 2.41.
Head-to-head statistics Emelec - Aucas

Emelec Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Cuenca, away team - Emelec). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Emelec vs Cuenca):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 12;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Emelec are having a season below expectations, sitting near the bottom of the table. One win, two draws and two defeats in their last five - nothing to build on. Zoom out to ten matches and it's more of the same: three wins, four draws, three losses. They're averaging under a goal a game (0.86) and conceding more than they score (1.18). Problems at both ends. Their league position takes some of the pressure off, but that's not much comfort when the football is still this far from where it needs to be.
Match Results: Emelec

SD Aucas Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - SD Aucas, away - Macara). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:4.
Here are the match stats (SD Aucas vs Macara):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
Aucas are having a solid season near the top of the table, sitting among the medal contenders. The motivation is there - they're pushing to stay in that group. In their last five matches, though, the results have been uneven: two wins, three defeats. Scoring numbers are modest across the season - 1.09 goals per game at one end, 1.14 conceded at the other. Over ten matches they've won half, but the defence hasn't always held up, which keeps the goal tallies fairly balanced.
Match Results: SD Aucas
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.47, the guests - 0.94;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.41;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Emelec vs SD Aucas
- average total in the tournament: 2.05 vs 2.23;
- average total goals scored: 0.86 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.41 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.45 vs 0.55;
- Emelec: average total at home in the tournament - 1.09;
- SD Aucas: average total away in the tournament - 0.91;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Emelec home games against SD Aucas.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Emelec home games against SD Aucas (Serie A).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 Emelec games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Emelec home games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Emelec: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.77; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 5.5.
SD Aucas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.32, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 4.33.
- SD Aucas have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Emelec.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Emelec vs SD Aucas
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Emelec at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for SD Aucas away - 4 (36%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Emelec at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for SD Aucas away - 1 (17%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (31/176, 17.6%);
- Emelec at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/11, 27.3%);
- SD Aucas away most often play: 0:1 (4/11, 36.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.42% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 13.01% (odds 7)
1:1 - 12.89% (odds 6)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The overall season trends and current form both point toward a tight, low-scoring match. Emelec are struggling in attack - averaging under a goal per game, and one win from their last five says plenty about where they are right now. Aucas are pragmatic: not much going forward, conceding just over a goal a game. Neither side is built for open football, and the numbers back that up. All the key indicators point the same way. Prediction - total goals under 2.5.