Croatia vs Italy Prediction 2 July 2026
๐ In the second round of Group B, Croatia and Italy are set to face off in one of the pivotal early fixtures of the European Championship. Italy have already taken a major step towards the semifinals with a convincing win in their opening match, while Croatia find themselves under pressure after falling to Ukraine. Another slip-up could significantly undermine Croatiaโs hopes of reaching the playoffs.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official encounter between these sides took place on and finished 3-2. Hereโs a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Croatia U19 were the home team):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 5 to 3;
- yellow cards: 4 to 2.
๐ The teams last faced off in a friendly that ended in a goalless draw. Despite the lack of goals, it was a tense affair - the referee handed out six yellow cards, with Croatian players picking up four of them.
Head-to-head statistics Croatia - Italy
Croatia U19 Team Overview
The teamโs most recent official fixture took place on in the UEFA European Under-19 Championship, with Croatia U19 hosting Ukraine U19. The match ended in a 1-3 victory for Ukraine.
Hereโs a breakdown of the key statistics (Croatia U19 vs Ukraine U19):
- Possession: 60% vs 40%;
- Corners: 3 vs 3;
- Fouls: 7 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 6.
The tournament got off to a disappointing start for Croatia. They took the lead against Ukraine through an Ivan Bariลกiฤ penalty, but then conceded three unanswered goals to fall 1-3. Now, the team need a positive result to keep their hopes of advancing from the group alive.
Despite the setback, Croatiaโs attacking threat remains significant. They have found the net in five of their last six matches, and head into the clash with Italy without any major injury concerns. The full-strength squad is ready to feature in one of the most crucial fixtures of the group stage.
Match Results: Croatia U19
Italy U19 Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the UEFA European Under-19 Championship, facing Italy U19 away from home. The contest ended in a 2-0 defeat for Serbia U19.
Hereโs a breakdown of the key match statistics (Italy U19 vs Serbia U19):
- Possession: 43% vs 57%;
- Corners: 6 vs 5;
- Fouls: 20 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Italy kicked off their European Championship campaign in convincing fashion, defeating Serbia 2-0. Mattia Liberali and Jamal Idrissu found the net, while the team once again impressed with their organized play and solid defensive work. The Azzurri have now extended their unbeaten run in official matches to seven games.
All key players are available. Liberali remains the sideโs creative engine, and Idrissu is once again ready to spearhead the attack. A win here would all but secure Italy a spot in the semi-finals.
Match Results: Italy U19
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head meetings:
- Matches played - 3;
- First-half wins for the home side - 0; for the away side - 1; draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 0.67;
- This seasonโs hosts average 0.33 goals in the first half, while the visitors also average 0.33.
First-half stats: Croatia U19 (home) vs Italy U19 (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 2;
- Wins: 4 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 2.25 vs 0.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.25 vs 0.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 8;
- Losses: 2 vs 0;
- Draws: 3 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.2 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0).
- Italy U19 have led at half-time in seven consecutive matches.
Match Outcome Forecast
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 3;
- Home side wins - 1, Away wins - 2, Draws - 0.
- Italy U19 are unbeaten in their last 16 matches.
- Italy U19 have not lost in their last 12 away fixtures.
Total Goals Forecast
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home team - 1, Away team - 1.67;
- Overall in H2H - 2.33 goals per game;
- Both teams scored: all-time - once; at the home ground - never.
Average total goals stats: Croatia U19 vs Italy U19
- In the tournament: 3.86 vs 2.71;
- Goals scored: 3 vs 2.57;
- First half: 1.43 vs 1.29;
- Second half: 1.57 vs 1.29;
- Croatia U19 at home in this tournament - 4.25;
- Italy U19 away in this tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 2.2 (home - 2.71) vs 2.4 (away - 1.33).
- Croatia U19 have scored under 1.5 goals in each of their last six matches.
Both Teams to Score Forecast
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 3;
- Both teams scored all-time - once;
- At the home ground - never.
Correct Score Forecast
Most common results (current season):
- Most frequent scoreline in the tournament: 0-1 (13/122, 10.7%);
- Croatia U19 at home most often finish with: 4-1 (2/4, 50%);
- Italy U19 away most frequently record: 0-1, 1-1 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm suggests the top three likely outcomes:
1-1 - 11.85% (coefficient 6.5)
1-0 - 7.66% (coefficient 9.5)
2-1 - 7.64% (coefficient 11)
Editorsโ Prediction
Italy may be the favourites on paper, but this clash promises to be anything but straightforward for them. The Azzurri are unbeaten in their last seven matches, and even when theyโve dropped points, theyโve consistently managed to find the net. Croatia, after falling to Ukraine, no longer have the luxury of playing it safe - theyโll need to push forward from the start.
The hosts have scored in five of their last six outings, while Italy boast one of the most reliable attacking lines in the tournament. Given the group dynamics and both teamsโ attacking quality, our pick is Both Teams to Score (Yes).
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Betting Tips: Croatia U19 - Italy U19
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