USA vs Guatemala Prediction
📢 Can Guatemala pull off another miracle and reach the final of the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup? The semifinal clash is set to take place in St. Louis at "Energizer Park," where the Guatemalans will face the USA on enemy turf but with high spirits. The Americans are clear favorites, playing at home with a stronger squad and substantial experience. However, Guatemala has already exceeded all expectations by reaching the semifinals for the first time since 1996. Now, they have nothing to lose.
Head-to-Head
📊 The national teams of the USA and Guatemala haven't clashed on the field for several years. Their last head-to-head encounters date back to 2016 during the World Cup qualification group stage. In those matches, they each secured commanding home victories: Guatemala stunned with a 2-0 win, but the USA responded just days later with a decisive 4-0 triumph.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
USA Team Overview
⚪ Ahead of the Gold Cup, the United States national team played two friendlies, both of which ended disastrously: a 1-2 loss to Turkey and a 0-4 thrashing by Switzerland. This marked the first time since 2007 that the team suffered four consecutive defeats, sparking a wave of criticism. However, in the Gold Cup, the U.S. team significantly transformed. During the group stage, the Americans secured a perfect 9 points, winning all their matches (albeit against opponents much weaker than Turkey and Switzerland). The quarterfinal clash against Costa Rica proved to be a real test for the U.S. Despite being favorites, they faced tough resistance. Regular time ended in a 2-2 draw, and the semifinal spot was decided in a penalty shootout.
Match Results: USA
Guatemala Team Overview
🔵 Guatemala's national team are pulling off a true miracle at the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup. They have successfully navigated the group stage, securing the necessary points, with a standout victory over Guadeloupe, 3-2, which paved their way to the playoffs. The quarterfinal clash against Canada turned into another sensation: Canada were reduced to ten men in the first half due to a red card, and Guatemala capitalized on this advantage. They equalized, pushed the game to a penalty shootout, and emerged victorious with a 6-5 win. This marks Guatemala's first semifinal appearance in the Gold Cup since 1996-a historic achievement already.
Match Results: Guatemala
Latest news
USA
📣 After a tense victory over Costa Rica, US national team head coach Mauricio Pochettino emphasized that the team won primarily due to their character: "The mindset for the game is non-negotiable; it must always be present. Talent will show itself later." According to him, over the past month, the team has developed a spirit of determination and commitment: "We've created an atmosphere where there's no room for excuses. Everyone must give their all and be able to overcome challenges," noted the Argentine.
🚫 The US squad faces no personnel issues-every listed player is fit and ready to participate in the CONCACAF Gold Cup semifinals.
Guatemala
📣 Guatemala's head coach, Luis Fernando Tena, emphasized that his players' dedication was the key to their quarterfinal victory: "The decisive factor was our team's character. We might not have been the favorites, but we knew we could deliver a great performance. Once again, we played well and proved that we have quality, brave players with big hearts, ready to take on any opponent." He added that their low FIFA ranking doesn't hinder the team's growth: "We're not the favorites-that's a fact-but we're improving with each match. As long as we believe in ourselves, we'll keep progressing. These matches only help us, and we aim to continue surprising people." Tena also praised the team's confidence during the penalty shootout: "It was gratifying to see the determination with which the players took their shots. We're in the semifinals now, but we can't rest on our laurels-Guatemala has reasons to look to the future with optimism."
🚫 Guatemala faces a bit of a lineup challenge as their main goalkeeper, Nicholas Hagen, will miss out due to a thigh injury sustained earlier. He is expected to be replaced once again by Kenderson Navarro, who played against Canada and was deemed to have performed admirably according to local media.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Guatemala's journey to the Gold Cup semi-finals is no fluke-they exhibit exemplary defensive discipline. They've conceded just four goals in four matches during the tournament, with two of those coming from penalties. Even a strong Canada side struggled to pose a significant threat to Guatemala's defense. Meanwhile, the USA are highly inconsistent: they can either play high-quality football or rely solely on individual brilliance to salvage games. Therefore, we predict USA's total goals to be under 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In the current Gold Cup campaign, the USA consistently earn a high number of corners. In three out of their four matches, they've taken at least six corners, and against Costa Rica and Trinidad and Tobago, they managed nine each. Given their status as favorites in the upcoming semi-final clash, the Americans are likely to take the initiative and apply pressure on their opponent's defense. We predict USA's total corners to be over 5.5.
Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers seem quite confident that the USA will smoothly advance to the final, but we strongly disagree with that notion. The Guatemalan team has been showcasing remarkable performances in this tournament, pulling off a couple of upsets, emerging from a challenging group, and eliminating Canada in the quarterfinals. They achieve this not through star power but through discipline, commitment, and determination. Another important factor is that Guatemala have covered a +1.5 goal spread in seven of their last eight matches, indicating that they are no longer pushovers. On the other hand, the USA are grappling with their own issues-lack of consistency, laborious play, and they only edged past Costa Rica on penalties. Therefore, our bet is on Guatemala to win with a +1.5 goal handicap, and we wouldn't be surprised if regulation time ends in a 1-1 draw.
.svg)
Betting Tips: USA - Guatemala
in 20 of last 22 home games.in last 15 games (CONCACAF Gold Cup).in last 6 home games (CONCACAF Gold Cup).
in 24 of last 26 games.in 20 of last 22 home games.in last 15 games (CONCACAF Gold Cup).in 15 of last 17 games.in 8 of last 9 games (CONCACAF Gold Cup).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
