Termez vs Pakhtakor Prediction

    🔔How will young players cope with the pressure of this match? There may be squad rotations from the coaching staff, so the game between Surkhon Termez and Pakhtakor may differ from the usual. The meeting will take place at the Markaziy Stadium Qarshi stadium in the city of Karshi as part of the PFL tournament. The match is scheduled for 14:15 3 May.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 29 September 2025 and ended with a score of 1:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Pakhtakor):

    • ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Surkhon Termez and Pakhtakor:

    • played 13 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 9, draws - 2;
    • number of goals - 9 against 32;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.15, in the 2nd half - 2;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.15.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    20%
    3 Wins
    20%
    3 Draws
    60%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    15
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    47%
    0.8
    Total average
    2.2
    0.6
    Yellow cards
    0.6
    Last matches
    18.05.26
    UZB Cup
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    -
    -
    5
    12
    13
    11
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    12
    13
    11
    3
    2
    03.05.26
    PFL
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    -
    -
    0
    11
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    11
    -
    -
    2
    2
    29.09.25
    PFL
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    -
    -
    1
    2
    03.05.25
    PFL
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    1
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    22.08.24
    PFL
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Surkhon Termez Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on 28 April 2026 as part of the PFL tournament (home team - Sogdiyona, away team - Surkhon Termez). The match concluded with a scoreline of 5:2.

    Here are the game statistics (Surkhon Termez vs Sogdiyona):

    • ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 10.
    🏆Throughout the PFL season, the team Surkhon Termez has engaged in 10 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 3 wins,
    • 5 losses,
    • 2 draws.

    📈Currently, Surkhon Termez stands at a mid-tier position within the PFL standings, with a win percentage of 30% and a loss percentage of 50%.

    ⚽️Surkhon Termez has scored a total of 10 goals. On the defensive end, Surkhon Termez has allowed 17 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Surkhon Termez

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    UZB Cup
    Yaypan FK
    Yaypan FK
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    1
    W
    18.05.26
    UZB Cup
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    -
    -
    5
    12
    13
    11
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    12
    13
    11
    3
    2
    W
    13.05.26
    UZB Cup
    Kattaqo'rg'on
    Kattaqo'rg'on
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    L
    03.05.26
    PFL
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    -
    -
    0
    11
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    11
    -
    -
    2
    2
    D
    28.04.26
    PFL
    Sogdiyona
    Sogdiyona
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    -
    -
    6
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    5
    2
    2
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    6
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Pakhtakor Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 28 April 2026 as part of the PFL tournament (home team - Pakhtakor, away - Nasaf). The match ended with a score of 2:2.

    Here are the game statistics (Pakhtakor vs Nasaf):

    • ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.
    🏆Throughout the PFL season, the team Pakhtakor has engaged in 10 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 8 wins,
    • 1 losses,
    • 1 draws.

    📈Currently, Pakhtakor stands at a mid-tier position within the PFL standings, with a win percentage of 80% and a loss percentage of 10%.

    ⚽Pakhtakor has scored a total of 21 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 11 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Pakhtakor

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    UZB Cup
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    Kattaqo'rg'on
    Kattaqo'rg'on
    -
    -
    8
    1
    12
    13
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    12
    13
    0
    0
    W
    18.05.26
    UZB Cup
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    -
    -
    5
    12
    13
    11
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    12
    13
    11
    3
    2
    L
    13.05.26
    UZB Cup
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    Yaypan FK
    Yaypan FK
    -
    -
    1
    4
    17
    9
    0
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    17
    9
    0
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    PFL
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    -
    -
    0
    11
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    11
    -
    -
    2
    2
    D
    28.04.26
    PFL
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    Nasaf
    Nasaf
    1
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    0
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    0
    3
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 13;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 9, draws - 2.

    Statistics: Surkhon Termez vs Pakhtakor

    • matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
    • wins: 3 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 30% vs 80%;
    • losses: 5 vs 1;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 7;
    • losses: 5 vs 2;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Surkhon Termez won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games against Pakhtakor (PFL).
    • Surkhon Termez won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 home games (PFL).
    👉Prediction: Surkhon Termez Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.53)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.69, the guests - 2.46;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.15;
    • both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.

    Statistics: Surkhon Termez vs Pakhtakor

    • average total in the tournament: 2.7 vs 3.2;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 2.1;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.3 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.7 vs 1.1;
    • Surkhon Termez: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Pakhtakor: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.9 (away - 1.6).
    Trends
    • Pakhtakor have scored under 2.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Surkhon Termez (PFL).
    • Pakhtakor have scored under 2.5 goals in last 7 away games.
    • Pakhtakor have scored under 2.5 goals in last 6 away games (PFL).
    👉Prediction: Pakhtakor Total goals Under (2.5) (odds: 1.35)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (12/80, 15%), 2:1 (12/80, 15%);
    • Surkhon Termez at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 0:3 , 2:1 , 3:1 (1/5, 20%);
    • Pakhtakor away most often play: 0:1 (2/3, 66.7%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Pakhtakor have won in 6 of last 7 games (PFL).

    Our choice
    Pakhtakor Win at odds of -156*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 February 2004, 17:01)

    Betting Tips: Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor

    Pakhtakor have won
    fc-pakhtakor-tashkentin 6 of last 7 games (PFL).
    Pakhtakor Win
    Bovada
    -179
    Pakhtakor have not lost
    fc-pakhtakor-tashkentin 22 of last 23 games (PFL).
    fc-pakhtakor-tashkentin 13 of last 14 away games.
    fc-pakhtakor-tashkentin last 7 games.
    Pakhtakor will not lose
    -588
    Surkhon Termez have conceded
    surkhon-termezfc-pakhtakor-tashkentin 12 of last 13 games against Pakhtakor (PFL).
    surkhon-termezfc-pakhtakor-tashkentin last 6 home games against Pakhtakor (PFL).
    Pakhtakor have scored
    fc-pakhtakor-tashkentin 11 of last 12 games (PFL).
    fc-pakhtakor-tashkentin last 7 games.
    Pakhtakor will score goal
    -1429
    Pakhtakor have scored under 2.5 goals
    surkhon-termezfc-pakhtakor-tashkentin 7 of last 8 games against Surkhon Termez (PFL).
    fc-pakhtakor-tashkentin last 7 away games.
    fc-pakhtakor-tashkentin last 6 away games (PFL).
    Pakhtakor Total goals Under (2.5)
    -286
    View more facts

    Termez - Pakhtakor Table position

    Superliga 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Neftchi Fargona
    Neftchi Fargona
    1191125-328
    2.
    Pakhtakor
    Pakhtakor
    1182122-1226
    3.
    Buxoro
    Buxoro
    1162315-1120
    11.
    Qizilqum
    Qizilqum
    114168-1513
    12.
    Surkhon Termez
    Surkhon Termez
    1133511-1812
    13.
    Dinamo Samarqand
    Dinamo Samarqand
    1132617-2111

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 16
    -1
    +11
    21 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    7
    2
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    21
    16
    Conceded
    10
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.1
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats